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556 Greenway Dr
C- Composite 50.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

556 Greenway Dr · Saginaw, TX 76179
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,638 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1982 7,275 sqft lot Est $275k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here's a great opportunity! Make cosmetic repairs to match your personal taste. Living room with pretty brick wood-burning fireplace, kitchen features good wood cabinets and a convenient pantry, walk-in closet in master, master located in back of house for privacy, large backyard, major appliances included, convenient location close to schools and stores.

Key facts

  • Detached shed
  • 7,275 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

DETACHED SHEDFUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLAN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential single family; Subdivision: Saginaw North Add
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Garage faces front; Covered parking for 2 vehicles; No carport spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Sidewalk
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level; Residential property in a subdivision
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1982
  • Exterior features: Gutters; Storage; Front porch; Patio; Wood fenced backyard; Fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Built-in cabinets; Corian/Corian-type countertops in primary bath (countertops noted)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with walk-in closet; Two additional bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary ensuite bathroom with built-in cabinets and Corian-type countertop
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; Walk-in closet(s); Fireplace in living room; Built-in cabinets; Separate utility room
  • Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Utility room / separate utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($362/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (0.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (0.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.2% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#112 in TX, #3,623 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD (urban): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #361 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bryson El (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,013 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 547 students, 63% FRL); Wayside Middle (math 42% / reading 42%, grade D-, #572 of 1,662 statewide, top 36%, 1,077 students, 39% FRL); Boswell H S (math 49% / reading 62%, grade C, #364 of 1,632 statewide, top 23%, 2,547 students, 37% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 1074 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $224,087 (0.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
6.45%
Cash-on-cash
0.58%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$275,184
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
525 Cole Ave 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,489 (-9%) 2mo $249,900 $168 78
524 Cole Ave 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,451 (-11%) 3mo $245,000 $169 74
501 Fox Dr 0.19mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,745 (+6%) 2mo $279,900 $160 70
1133 Park Center Ct 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,782 (+9%) 3mo $260,500 $146 69
1300 N Creek Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,414 (-14%) 2mo $249,000 $176 68
512 Meadow St 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,752 (+7%) 2mo $274,900 $157 66
824 Bridle Trl 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,660 (+1%) 2mo $289,000 $174 59
400 Candlestick Trl 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,538 (-6%) 2mo $250,000 $163 57
8220 Buck Mountain Pass 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,724 (+5%) 1mo $279,900 $162 56
4553 High Cotton Trl 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,535 (-6%) 1mo $265,000 $173 56
8805 Highland Orchard Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,426 (-13%) 0mo $240,000 $168 49
632 Crestview Ct 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+10%) 1mo $318,000 $177 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-37,700
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-42,935
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76179

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
1074
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,241 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$466 /mo · $5,597/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$471
Net cashflow
$30

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,203
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $158 -5% $94 +0% $30 +5% $-33 +10% $-97
Rent -10% $-147 -5% $-58 +0% $30 +5% $119 +10% $207
Rate -1.0pp $144 -0.5pp $87 base $30 +0.5pp $-28 +1.0pp $-87

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
544 Fox Dr Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1320 $1,845 $1.40 0d 1 0.10mi
425 Park Center Blvd Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1752 $2,045 $1.17 7d 1 0.32mi
701 Saginaw Square Blvd Unit 9128 Saginaw, TX 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,599 $1.39 26d 1 0.45mi
701 Saginaw Square Blvd Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1140 $1,629 $1.43 6d 1 0.45mi
701 Saginaw Square Blvd Unit 222 Saginaw, TX 2.0 2.0 1139 $1,419 $1.25 26d 1 0.45mi
4536 Skipador Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1236 $2,000 $1.62 5d 1 0.45mi
725 Gray Wash Dr Unit Labs Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1888 $2,100 $1.11 26d 1 0.48mi
751 N Saginaw Blvd Unit 2102 Saginaw, TX 2.0 2.0 1139 $1,435 $1.26 14d 1 0.49mi
8408 Buck Mountain Pass Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 2131 $2,375 $1.11 26d 1 0.50mi
8660 Boswell Meadows Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,845 $1.42 3d 1 0.51mi
948 Fenway Ln Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1563 $2,025 $1.30 26d 1 0.53mi
8320 Buck Mountain Pass Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,999 $1.52 0d 1 0.53mi
1451 Beltmill Pkwy Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 865 $1,831 $2.12 0d 19 0.56mi
8348 Hawkview Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 2121 $3,000 $1.41 14d 1 0.60mi
912 Fenway Ln Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1627 $2,000 $1.23 19d 1 0.61mi
912 Fenway Ln Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1627 $2,000 $1.23 26d 1 0.61mi
136 Cranz Farm Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1940 $2,600 $1.34 26d 1 0.62mi
8204 Buck Mountain Pass Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1638 $2,100 $1.28 4d 1 0.63mi
140 Cranz Farm Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 2013 $2,700 $1.34 26d 1 0.63mi
152 Cranz Farm Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1940 $2,600 $1.34 26d 1 0.64mi
8205 Buck Mountain Pass Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,995 $1.52 14d 1 0.64mi
4749 Swan Neck Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1802 $2,200 $1.22 0d 1 0.65mi
8453 Shallow Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 3.0 1947 $2,195 $1.13 26d 1 0.66mi
8453 Shallow Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1947 $2,195 $1.13 9d 1 0.66mi
1505 Sutter Mill Rd Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 2013 $2,700 $1.34 26d 1 0.66mi
8633 Star Thistle Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1777 $2,000 $1.13 18d 1 0.68mi
219 Cranz Farm Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 2013 $2,700 $1.34 26d 1 0.71mi
225 Sutter Mill Rd Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1940 $2,600 $1.34 26d 1 0.72mi
4817 Cedar Springs Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1388 $1,809 $1.30 18d 1 0.72mi
8916 Highland Orchard Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1776 $2,135 $1.20 0d 1 0.73mi
228 Sutter Mill Rd Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 2013 $2,700 $1.34 26d 1 0.74mi
232 Sutter Mill Rd Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1940 $2,600 $1.34 26d 1 0.74mi
229 Cranz Farm Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1940 $2,600 $1.34 26d 1 0.74mi
1421 Twin Forks Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1790 $2,395 $1.34 3d 1 0.74mi
236 Sutter Mill Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1567 $2,395 $1.53 26d 1 0.75mi
4705 Harlequin Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1721 $2,300 $1.34 26d 1 0.75mi
235 Cranz Farm Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 2013 $2,700 $1.34 26d 1 0.76mi
244 Sutter Mill Rd Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 2013 $2,700 $1.34 26d 1 0.76mi
248 Sutter Mill Rd Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1940 $2,600 $1.34 26d 1 0.77mi
261 Sutter Mill Rd Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1940 $2,600 $1.34 26d 1 0.77mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $225,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 687-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $225,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,597 · $466/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,597 · $466/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,890
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$5,597
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,151
− Management
−$2,151
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$3,283
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$788
After-tax cash flow
$1,150/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD
NCES district ID
4817700
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$72,781
Composite
35.41/100
National rank
#4945
State rank
#361 of 826 in TX

Livability — Saginaw

Score
76/100
State rank
#112
US rank
#3623

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
56,322
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
80,090
Household income
$107,428
Rent vs Own
20.9% rent · 79.1% own
Severe rent burden
1494.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Black 12% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -137.12%
Current HPI
237.6676
Rent YoY
▲ 1.51%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+181.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $225,000 NTREIS
  • 2010-05-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-04-26 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2010-03-30 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2010-03-15 Listed $79,900 NTREIS
  • 1997-06-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-01-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,597 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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