1823 Johnson St · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This tenant-occupied property is already producing steady income making it the perfect addition to your portfolio! This home offers reliable cash flow with a lease already in place and has been well maintained giving you a hassle-free start from day one. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting out, this is a turnkey opportunity to secure passive income in today’s market. Please do not disturb tenants. Showings available with an accepted offer.
Key facts
- Well maintained
- Detached
- Turnkey opportunity
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Forest Heights Stem Academy (math 45% / reading 57%, grade C-, #88 of 454 statewide, top 19%, 739 students, 50% FRL); Central High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #64 of 292 statewide, top 26%, 2,338 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 69% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 24% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Little Rock School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 286 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 286 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.95%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,246
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- 18.39%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1912 Booker St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-8%) | 16mo | $111,000 | $136 | 71 |
| 3015 W 24th | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+1%) | 16mo | $50,000 | $56 | 70 |
| 1613 Johnson St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 902 (+2%) | 19mo | $103,000 | $114 | 69 |
| 2401 S Pine St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+1%) | 4mo | $15,000 | $17 | 68 |
| 3407 W 12 St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 922 (+4%) | 6mo | $30,000 | $33 | 67 |
| 2013 S Maple St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+5%) | 12mo | $8,000 | $9 | 63 |
| 3224 W 13th St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 870 (-2%) | 18mo | $100,000 | $115 | 63 |
| 2100 Brown St | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 942 (+6%) | 23mo | $70,000 | $74 | 54 |
| 2323 S Valmar | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 784 (-12%) | 6mo | $16,000 | $20 | 52 |
| 3015 W 15th St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,016 (+14%) | 22mo | $55,000 | $54 | 41 |
| 2101 21st | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 967 (+9%) | 21mo | $35,000 | $36 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,117
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $30,524
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72204
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,061 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $697/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $243
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $296 | -5% $270 | +0% $243 | +5% $216 | +10% $189 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $159 | -5% $201 | +0% $243 | +5% $285 | +10% $326 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $290 | -0.5pp $267 | base $243 | +0.5pp $218 | +1.0pp $193 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1822 Booker St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1918 Allis St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $895 | $1.03 | 16d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2300 S Martin St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $795 | $0.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3109 W 11th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1055 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 46d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1205 Valmar St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,199 | $1.09 | 46d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2324 W Daisy L Gatson Bates Dr Unit 1 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $1,095 | $1.24 | 46d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2324 W Daisy L Gatson Bates Dr Unit 2 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $1,050 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3705 W 12th St Unit B Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 598 | $650 | $1.09 | 46d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2421 S Oak St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $950 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2200 Dennison St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 46d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 901 Johnson St Unit B Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $695 | $0.87 | 46d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3204 Maryland Ave Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $1,095 | $1.19 | 46d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1318 S Summit St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1320 S Summit St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4304 W 22nd St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $895 | $1.00 | 46d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4319 W 17th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $950 | $0.99 | 46d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 907 S Park St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,100 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1724 W 19th St Unit 2 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 843 | $1,150 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1724 W 19th St Unit 2 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 843 | $1,150 | $1.36 | 46d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1724 W 19th St Apt 3 Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $950 | $1.15 | 46d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1921 Wolfe St Unit A Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $875 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 610 S Maple St Unit A Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $825 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2701 Abigail St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 422 S Brown St Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $725 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 408 Booker St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,350 | $1.44 | 46d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 408 S Booker St Unit B Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $850 | $1.26 | 46d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 502 Rice St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $925 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4613 W 23rd St Unit B Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,200 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1320 Adams St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,025 | $1.00 | 46d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 128 S Woodrow St Unit N Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $895 | $1.17 | 46d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 217 Thayer St Apt B Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 306 S Valentine St Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $825 | $1.27 | 46d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 300 S Valentine St Ste 3 Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 605 | $1,095 | $1.81 | 46d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3409 W Markham St Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1008 Kavanaugh Blvd Unit 3 Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $795 | $1.08 | 46d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1008 Kavanaugh Blvd Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $795 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 306 S Schiller St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $1,795 | $1.73 | 46d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 223 S Park St Apt A Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 109 Barton St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $750 | $0.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3825 W Markham St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,095 | $1.15 | 46d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2025-09-02$95,000 New Listing 471-char remark
Show marketing remark (471 chars)
This tenant-occupied property is already producing steady income making it the perfect addition to your portfolio! This home offers reliable cash flow with a lease already in place and has been well maintained giving you a hassle-free start from day one. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting out, this is a turnkey opportunity to secure passive income in today’s market. Please do not disturb tenants. Showings available with an accepted offer.
-
2025-08-10historical
-
2025-05-08price $112,000
-
2025-02-16historical $895
-
2025-02-11$112,900 New Listing
-
2024-10-22price $895
-
2024-07-26$915
-
2024-01-31historical $875
-
2023-11-04$875
-
2022-05-09soldstatus $103,900
-
2022-05-02soldstatus $103,900 Sold
-
2022-02-09$103,900
-
2022-02-09historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $697 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $697 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,736
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$697
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,019
- − Management
- −$1,019
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,442
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$346
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,566/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,525
- Household income
- $40,882
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1553.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.17%
- Current HPI
- 172.3977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
-8.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-02 Listed $95,000 CARMLS
- 2025-08-10 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2025-05-08 Price Changed $112,000 CARMLS
- 2025-02-16 Rental Removed $895 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-02-11 Listed $112,900 CARMLS
- 2024-10-22 Price Changed $895 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-07-26 Listed for Rent $915 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-01-31 Rental Removed $875 CARMLS
- 2023-11-04 Listed for Rent $875 CARMLS
- 2022-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $103,900 Public Records
- 2022-05-02 Sold (MLS) $103,900 CARMLS
- 2022-02-09 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2022-02-09 Listed $103,900 CARMLS
Property tax history
+12.5%/yrLatest (2025): $697 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…