575 Lyon #142 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.6
$33,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to the well taken care neighborhood of GOLDEN COACH MANOR MOBILE HOME PARK , great Mobile home with a bonus room for an office or an extra bedroom . Master bedroom offers plenty of space with a double closet and built on drawers. Enjoy your laundry with indoor washer and dryer , kitchen provides organized places for your pantry needs , this mobile home features Central Air and Heat for your comfort, home has two sheds for storing your gardening equipment , you will be pleased with the extra room for your vehicle with a extra large carport space.
Key facts
- Charming brick patio
- Extra-wide carport
- Two storage sheds
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $33k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $703 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $33k).
- Cap rate 31.8% vs local median 4.4% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Whittier Elementary (886 students, 92% FRL); Diamond Valley Middle (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #474 of 498 statewide, top 99%, 1,078 students, 91% FRL); West Valley High (math 18% / reading 40%, grade F, #770 of 1,170 statewide, top 66%, 1,898 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 66% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 368 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 76d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $228 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $990 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 91.27%
- DSCR
- 5.06
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,000
- List price
- $33,000
- Delta
- -61.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 575 S Lyon Ave #40 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 624 (-7%) | 3mo | $36,999 | $59 | 86 |
| 270 Santa Clara Cir | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 672 (0%) | 12mo | $103,000 | $153 | 61 |
| 1445 W Florida Ave #56 | 0.63mi | 1/1.0 | 720 (+7%) | 3mo | $63,500 | $88 | 56 |
| 281 Santa Clara Cir | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 684 (+2%) | 16mo | $139,000 | $203 | 55 |
| 1200 W Johnston | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 720 (+7%) | 4mo | $87,000 | $121 | 54 |
| 858 S Lyon Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 720 (+7%) | 15mo | $63,000 | $88 | 54 |
| 590 Santa Clara Cir | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 640 (-5%) | 13mo | $120,000 | $188 | 52 |
| 631 Santa Clara | 0.54mi | 1/1.0 | 750 (+12%) | 5mo | $118,000 | $157 | 51 |
| 2750 W Acacia Ave Unit M15 | 0.71mi | 1/1.0 | 650 (-3%) | 14mo | $44,000 | $68 | 50 |
| 893 S Palm | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 720 (+7%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $125 | 46 |
| 851 San Rafael Dr | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 720 (+7%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $201 | 39 |
| 1380 W Florida Ave #6 | 0.73mi | 1/1.0 | 572 (-15%) | 10mo | $42,000 | $73 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 90.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.11×
- Total profit
- $37,976
- Equity at exit
- $4,920
- IRR
- 93.3%
- Equity multiple
- 10.20×
- Total profit
- $84,963
- Equity at exit
- $2,853
Cash invested: $9,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 12 active · 7 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.5 mo (15%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $39,250 ($52/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 96 d
- This list price
- 33% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +145.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 92543
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 368
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,178 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$173
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$41 /mo · $495/yr
- Insurance
- −$14
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $703
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $726 | -5% $714 | +0% $703 | +5% $691 | +10% $680 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $610 | -5% $656 | +0% $703 | +5% $749 | +10% $796 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $719 | -0.5pp $711 | base $703 | +0.5pp $694 | +1.0pp $685 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,250
- Closing costs
- $990
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,595 | $1.78 | 0d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 685 Jonquil St Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,700 | $2.27 | 6d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1074 W Johnston Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,399 | $2.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 893 S Palm Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 720 | $1,375 | $1.91 | 100d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 807 | $1,525 | $1.89 | 3d | 3 | 0.79mi |
| 201 N Valley View Dr Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 552 | $1,500 | $2.72 | 139d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1150 S Palm Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $1,534 | $2.29 | 120d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1025 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $1,858 | $2.57 | 0d | 3 | 0.99mi |
| 2770 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 735 | $1,575 | $2.14 | 0d | 9 | 1.08mi |
| 224 S Alessandro St Unit ADU Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 380 | $1,250 | $3.29 | 84d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 126 W Central Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $1,400 | $2.41 | 33d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1377 Provence Ct Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,900 | $2.92 | 120d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 113 E Kimball Ave Unit 2 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,295 | $2.59 | 139d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 233 N Alessandro St Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,400 | $2.03 | 139d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 199 N Inez St Apt D Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,350 | $2.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 199 N Inez St Apt D Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,300 | $2.00 | 103d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 199 N Inez St Apt D Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,300 | $2.00 | 95d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 323 E Florida Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,400 | $2.33 | 75d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3800 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $1,895 | $2.32 | 0d | 8 | 1.50mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- One padElevation reported in feetLiving area source: public recordsHome faces north
- Financial info
- Monthly land lease of $625 (current)
- HOA & community
- Senior communityStreet lightingPark: Golden Coach ManorManager approval required
Exterior
- Parking
- Two covered carport spaces
- Security
- Smoke detectorResident manager
- Utilities
- Public sewerDistrict/public water
- Home design
- Manufactured/mobile home (12' x 56') — mobile home remainsSingle-story
- Construction
- Year built per public records
- Exterior features
- Two shedsShed storageRectangular lot shapeClose to clubhousePorchAssociation poolPaved road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas rangeDishwasherVented exhaust fanGas water heaterWater heater unit
- Bedrooms
- Main floor bedroomSun room
- Flooring
- TileCarpet
- Bathrooms
- One full bathroom with bathtub and exhaust fan
- Heating & cooling
- Central furnace heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- One-level homeNorth-facing entryPorchAssociation spaSmoke detectorResident manager
- Laundry & utility
- Inside laundryStackable laundry hookups
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $33,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $33,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $33,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $33,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $33,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $33,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $33,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $33,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-09-11pricedays on market $33,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $36,999 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $36,999 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $36,999 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $36,999 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $36,999 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $36,999 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $36,999 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $36,999 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $36,999 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $36,999 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $36,999 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $36,999 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $36,999 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $36,999 1715-char remark
-
2026-03-09price $47,900 1715-char remark
-
2026-01-31$58,000 Active 1715-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,139
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,849
- − Property taxes
- −$495
- − Insurance
- −$165
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,131
- − Management
- −$1,131
- − Depreciation
- −$960
- Taxable income
- $8,408
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,018
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,415/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home is in fair condition with cosmetic repairs needed. It offers a cozy and spacious living space with a large patio and community amenities.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Exterior siding — Weathered appearance
- Minor Awning paint — Faded color
- Minor Interior wall paint — Faded appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls and ceiling fan — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace worn carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Both Replace faded awning paint — Fresh paint improves curb appeal and enhances home's appearance ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,664,475 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,937
- Household income
- $49,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19% of renters
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.46%
- Current HPI
- 405.1277
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.76%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-43.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-09-17 Listed $33,000 CRMLS
- 2026-09-14 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-09-11 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-09-08 Listed $33,000 CRMLS
- 2026-06-20 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $36,999 CRMLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $47,900 CRMLS
- 2026-01-31 Listed $58,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…