124 Hickory St · Levelland, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Mobile Home Package or Individual: 108 Hicks Place, 124 Hickory, 125 Pine, 1845 8th, 210 W Adams, 306 Ave M
Key facts
- 7,275 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 27 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Home design: Residential income property (multi-family, package property)
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal/other roof; Built as a multi-family dwelling
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Asphalt road frontage on a city street; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Central air; Ceiling fans; Central heating (natural gas)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($555/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (10.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $98k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#274 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Levelland ISD (town): math 33% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #566 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Levelland Middle (math 32% / reading 31%, grade F, #997 of 1,662 statewide, top 61%, 622 students, 79% FRL); Levelland H S (math 67% / reading 55%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 745 students, 67% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 46% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Levelland ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7 units permitted in Hockley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hockley County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.80%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-14,884
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-9,183
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79336
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $984 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,304/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $46
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $108 | -5% $77 | +0% $46 | +5% $15 | +10% $-16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-32 | -5% $7 | +0% $46 | +5% $85 | +10% $124 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $102 | -0.5pp $74 | base $46 | +0.5pp $18 | +1.0pp $-11 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226 Hickory St Unit B Levelland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $945 | $0.94 | 15d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 114 Holly St Levelland, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,300 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 226 Cherry St Levelland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $650 | $1.13 | 15d | 6 | 0.33mi |
| 226 Cherry St Unit 43 Levelland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $650 | $0.81 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 400 N Cedar Ave Levelland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 857 | $950 | $1.11 | 15d | 4 | 0.61mi |
| 710 9th St Levelland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1005 | $695 | $0.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 132 Railroad Ave Levelland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,150 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1819 Avenue I Pl Unit 5 Levelland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $650 | $0.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $524,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $524,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-25$524,500 Active
-
2002-04-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,304 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,013 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- +$709/yr (+$59/mo · 54.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,811
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,304
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$945
- − Management
- −$945
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$1,294
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$311
- After-tax cash flow
- $865/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Levelland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4827240
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,924
- Composite
- 28.09/100
- National rank
- #6833
- State rank
- #566 of 826 in TX
Livability — Levelland
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #274
- US rank
- #6392
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Levelland, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,265
Population outlook (Hockley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,295 people
- By 2030
- 26,230 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 28,268 · +11.8%
- By 2050
- 30,536 · +20.7%
- By 2075
- 36,867 · +45.7%
- By 2100
- 40,662 · +60.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (53%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% White 42% Two or more races 24% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 27%
Political lean MEDSL · Hockley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.3) · D 16.6% · R 82.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.0pp toward R · 2008: -52.3pp · 2024: -66.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.3 2020: R+62.4 2016: R+62.3 2012: R+57.0 2008: R+52.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -169.34%
- Current HPI
- 154.0713
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $524,500 LARMLS
- 2002-04-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,304 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…