1155 Cedar Pond Ln · Salisbury, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for a fixer, and love privacy and the outdoors? This 2-acre property is off the beaten path and includes a stocked pond, fruit trees, mature landscaping, plus a detached garage/workshop and other outbuildings. The pond is stocked with bass per seller. There are pear trees, a grape vine, and blueberries and blackberries. The 3 bed, 2 bath home needs some TLC and has some soft spots in the flooring in various areas throughout the home and needs updates throughout. There is a newer deck out front and a nice metal ramp in the rear. The primary bedroom and bath are spacious, and this home has a great layout! A wonderful opportunity for a buyer looking for a project! This home is being so
Key facts
- 2 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2001
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property sits on a private maintained gravel/dirt road; Approximately 2 acres
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Well water; Septic system
- Home design: Manufactured doublewide single-family residence; One level; RA zoning
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl exterior; Crawl space / permanent foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Back yard with chain link fencing (fenced); Orchard(s) on the property; Pond(s) on the property; Private lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms located on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Central heating; Central air; Electric range
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.2% in Salisbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities D-.
- Rowan-Salisbury Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #142 of 178 in NC (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 230 active listings in the ZIP; 592 units permitted in Rowan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rowan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.38%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,472
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $23,616
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28146
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Active inventory
- 230
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,540 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $470/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $328
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $413 | -5% $371 | +0% $328 | +5% $286 | +10% $243 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $207 | -5% $267 | +0% $328 | +5% $389 | +10% $450 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $404 | -0.5pp $366 | base $328 | +0.5pp $289 | +1.0pp $250 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $150,000
-
2026-04-24$160,000 Active
-
2026-04-23historical $160,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $470 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,230 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$760/yr (+$63/mo · 161.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,478
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$470
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,478
- − Management
- −$1,478
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $1,536
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$369
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,570/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rowan-Salisbury Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704050
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,953
- Composite
- 26.01/100
- National rank
- #7317
- State rank
- #142 of 178 in NC
Livability — Salisbury
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #365
- US rank
- #14533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Rowan County · 103,630 people
- City population
- 85,081
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,292
- Household income
- $69,279
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 299.0
Population outlook (Rowan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 140,430 people
- By 2030
- 140,193 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 137,617 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 131,826 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 115,123 · -18.0%
- By 2100
- 92,774 · -33.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rowan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.6% · R 67.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: -22.8pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+35.7 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+22.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.32%
- Current HPI
- 273.7508
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-6.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $150,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Listed $160,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-23 Coming Soon $160,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $470 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…