🏷️ Likely Rental
8 Old Buck Ct · Lake Delton, WI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated Seller bring me an OFFER. . Affordable 3 bed, 2 bath single-wide mobile home in Deer Run Estates with an amazing Sunroom with a field of dreams view! Enjoy all the perks of community living?swim in the pool on hot summer days, host gatherings at the clubhouse or outdoor shelter, and have fun with horseshoe pits, a basketball court, and a playground for the kids. Located just minutes from all the attractions of Wisconsin Dells. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a vacation retreat, this one fits the bill. Lot rent is $600/month. All Buyers must be approved by Deer Run Estate prior to buying
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Sunroom
- Basketball court
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $781 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 2.1% in Lake Delton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#120 in WI, #3,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, commute F.
- Wisconsin Dells School District (town): math 44% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #135 of 342 in WI (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 527 units permitted in Sauk County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.51%
- DSCR
- 3.29
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $235,994
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -72.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 Deer Path #118 | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (+5%) | 0mo | $142,000 | $95 | 74 |
| 311 Alcan Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (-10%) | 8mo | $462,000 | $358 | 58 |
| 289 Mariealain Dr | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-9%) | 13mo | $362,300 | $279 | 45 |
| 350 S Burritt Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,625 (+14%) | 24mo | $210,000 | $129 | 31 |
| S1788 White Birch Dr | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,640 (+14%) | 18mo | $300,000 | $183 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $39,245
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 54.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.40×
- Total profit
- $98,337
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53913
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,557 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $781
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Fieldstone Dr Unit 115 Wisconsin Dells, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,825 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
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2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 191 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 187 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $65,000 Active 182 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 179 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 178 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 177 DOM
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2026-05-12price $65,000 623-char remark
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Motivated Seller bring me an OFFER. . Affordable 3 bed, 2 bath single-wide mobile home in Deer Run Estates with an amazing Sunroom with a field of dreams view! Enjoy all the perks of community living?swim in the pool on hot summer days, host gatherings at the clubhouse or outdoor shelter, and have fun with horseshoe pits, a basketball court, and a playground for the kids. Located just minutes from all the attractions of Wisconsin Dells. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a vacation retreat, this one fits the bill. Lot rent is $600/month. All Buyers must be approved by Deer Run Estate prior to buying
-
2026-04-15price $89,000 623-char remark
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Motivated Seller bring me an OFFER. . Affordable 3 bed, 2 bath single-wide mobile home in Deer Run Estates with an amazing Sunroom with a field of dreams view! Enjoy all the perks of community living?swim in the pool on hot summer days, host gatherings at the clubhouse or outdoor shelter, and have fun with horseshoe pits, a basketball court, and a playground for the kids. Located just minutes from all the attractions of Wisconsin Dells. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a vacation retreat, this one fits the bill. Lot rent is $600/month. All Buyers must be approved by Deer Run Estate prior to buying
-
2026-01-13price $104,900 623-char remark
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Motivated Seller bring me an OFFER. . Affordable 3 bed, 2 bath single-wide mobile home in Deer Run Estates with an amazing Sunroom with a field of dreams view! Enjoy all the perks of community living?swim in the pool on hot summer days, host gatherings at the clubhouse or outdoor shelter, and have fun with horseshoe pits, a basketball court, and a playground for the kids. Located just minutes from all the attractions of Wisconsin Dells. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a vacation retreat, this one fits the bill. Lot rent is $600/month. All Buyers must be approved by Deer Run Estate prior to buying
-
2025-12-03$109,000 Active 623-char remark
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Motivated Seller bring me an OFFER. . Affordable 3 bed, 2 bath single-wide mobile home in Deer Run Estates with an amazing Sunroom with a field of dreams view! Enjoy all the perks of community living?swim in the pool on hot summer days, host gatherings at the clubhouse or outdoor shelter, and have fun with horseshoe pits, a basketball court, and a playground for the kids. Located just minutes from all the attractions of Wisconsin Dells. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a vacation retreat, this one fits the bill. Lot rent is $600/month. All Buyers must be approved by Deer Run Estate prior to buying
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,690
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,495
- − Management
- −$1,495
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $8,867
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,128
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,246/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Painting the exterior and interior, and replacing the carpet will significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant damage and wear
- Major interior walls — Worn wallpaper
- Major flooring — Worn carpet
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and value
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Significant damage and wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · Worn wallpaper | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Worn carpet | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and value ↑
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wisconsin Dells School District
- NCES district ID
- 5517040
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,233
- Composite
- 35.91/100
- National rank
- #4810
- State rank
- #135 of 342 in WI
Livability — Lake Delton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #120
- US rank
- #3121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Delton, WI
- County
- Sauk County · 36,155 people
- Metro
- Baraboo, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,704
- Household income
- $74,629
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 651.0
Population outlook (Sauk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,065 people
- By 2030
- 66,755 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 66,999 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 65,499 · -0.9%
- By 2075
- 60,000 · -9.2%
- By 2100
- 51,070 · -22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sauk
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: D+1.7 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+18.5 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.28%
- Current HPI
- 195.5466
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baraboo, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
-40.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $65,000 SCWMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $89,000 SCWMLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $104,900 SCWMLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $109,000 SCWMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…