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6928 Jacksonville Cut Off Rd
B+ Composite 75.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

6928 Jacksonville Cut Off Rd · Sherwood, AR 72120
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,976 sqft · SingleFamily · 405 Days on market
Built 1955 Poor condition $61/sqft · 31% below area Est $174k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Pick your interior design in paint color and floor coverings. Property is sold as is with no seller's disclosure. the home has a nice setting between Sherwood and Jacksonville.

Key facts

  • Built 1955
  • Listed 404 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $585 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 4.4% in Sherwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#19 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pulaski County Spec. School District (rural): math 27% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #150 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Harris Elementary School (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #429 of 454 statewide, top 96%, 199 students, 97% FRL); Sylvan Hills Middle School (math 26% / reading 30%, grade F, #150 of 201 statewide, top 76%, 1,122 students, 52% FRL); Sylvan Hills High School (math 16% / reading 29%, grade F, #211 of 292 statewide, top 73%, 1,017 students, 38% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 405 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 405 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.15%
Cash-on-cash
20.90%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,540
List price
$120,000
Delta
-30.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$21,177
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
3.40×
Total profit
$80,683
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72120

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,791 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$585

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $668 -5% $627 +0% $585 +5% $544 +10% $502
Rent -10% $444 -5% $515 +0% $585 +5% $656 +10% $727
Rate -1.0pp $646 -0.5pp $616 base $585 +0.5pp $554 +1.0pp $523

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $120,000 Active 405 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 402 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 401 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 400 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 399 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 397 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 396 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 394 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 393 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 392 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 391 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $120,000 Active 388 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 387 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 386 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 385 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 384 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 383 DOM
  18. 2025-11-04
    status Back on Market 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Pick your interior design in paint color and floor coverings. Property is sold as is with no seller's disclosure. the home has a nice setting between Sherwood and Jacksonville.

  19. 2025-11-01
    historical 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Pick your interior design in paint color and floor coverings. Property is sold as is with no seller's disclosure. the home has a nice setting between Sherwood and Jacksonville.

  20. 2025-06-06
    status Back on Market 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Pick your interior design in paint color and floor coverings. Property is sold as is with no seller's disclosure. the home has a nice setting between Sherwood and Jacksonville.

  21. 2025-05-20
    status Pending (FC, SS, REO) 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Pick your interior design in paint color and floor coverings. Property is sold as is with no seller's disclosure. the home has a nice setting between Sherwood and Jacksonville.

  22. 2025-04-22
    listed $120,000 New Listing 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Pick your interior design in paint color and floor coverings. Property is sold as is with no seller's disclosure. the home has a nice setting between Sherwood and Jacksonville.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,487
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,800
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,719
− Management
−$1,719
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$5,436
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,305
After-tax cash flow
$5,718/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including new siding and windows, to become move-in ready.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Peeling siding — Significant damage to exterior
  • Major Exposed windows — Structural damage

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New siding — Improves curb appeal and durability
  • Both New windows — Enhances energy efficiency and safety
  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Peeling siding · Significant damage to exterior Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed windows · Structural damage Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both New siding — Improves curb appeal and durability
  • Both New windows — Enhances energy efficiency and safety
  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pulaski County Spec. School District
NCES district ID
0511850
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$53,218
Composite
25.67/100
National rank
#7394
State rank
#150 of 238 in AR

Livability — Sherwood

Score
73/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#5246

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pulaski County · 372,764 people
City population
34,365
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
34,365
Household income
$76,598
Rent vs Own
28.5% rent · 71.5% own
Severe rent burden
774.0

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 26% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.93%
Current HPI
198.9456
Rent YoY
▲ 4.81%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-04 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2025-11-01 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2025-06-06 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2025-05-20 Pending CARMLS
  • 2025-04-22 Listed $120,000 CARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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