31 Pennsylvania Ave · California, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$85,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1910
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Two total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home; Resale property; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Approximately 0.5-acre lot with ~85x250 dimensions
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 10x10); Stove; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two upper-level bedrooms (approx. 12x12 and 12x15)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-out basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Washer; Dryer; Some electric appliances
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($968 rent vs $86k).
- Recommended offer: $83k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,648 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
- California Area SD (rural): math 31% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #295 of 539 in PA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $116 of equity ($594 loan paydown + $-478 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $73k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.78%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,995
- List price
- $85,900
- Delta
- -37.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 233 6th St | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 936 (-1%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $118 | 77 |
| 275 Hillcrest Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 988 (+5%) | 13mo | $168,400 | $170 | 67 |
| 244 Seventh St | 0.15mi | 2/1.5 | 1,080 (+14%) | 22mo | $122,000 | $113 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $2,694
- Equity at exit
- $22,580
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $20,867
- Equity at exit
- $25,322
Cash invested: $24,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15419
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $968 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$450
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,952/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $116
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,475
- Closing costs
- $2,577
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 Second St Unit 6 California, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 300 Strawberry Way California, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $775 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 131 Spring Way Unit 1 California, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 785 | $950 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 456 Second St Unit 10 California, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $900 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 639 Russian St Unit 8 California, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $825 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 456 Second St Unit 3 California, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $1,000 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-04$85,900 Active 313-char remark
-
2022-08-26status Pending 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.
-
2022-08-26soldstatus $73,000 Closed 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.
-
2022-08-26soldstatus $65,000
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.
-
2022-04-30historical Contingent 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.
-
2022-04-01status Active 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.
-
2022-04-01price $70,000 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.
-
2022-03-15historical 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.
-
2022-03-06$74,900 Active 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,952 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,952 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,617
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,812
- − Property taxes
- −$1,952
- − Insurance
- −$430
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$929
- − Management
- −$929
- − Depreciation
- −$2,499
- Taxable income
- $66
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$16
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,374/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- California Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204710
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,621
- Composite
- 37.22/100
- National rank
- #4466
- State rank
- #295 of 539 in PA
Livability — California
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1648
- US rank
- #22817
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- California, PA
- City population
- 5,469
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,527
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.56%
- Current HPI
- 160.7366
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+14.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $85,900 West Penn MLS
- 2022-08-26 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2022-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-26 Sold (MLS) $73,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-04-30 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2022-04-01 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2022-04-01 Price Changed $70,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-03-15 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2022-03-06 Listed $74,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2026): $1,952 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…