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31 Pennsylvania Ave
C+ Composite 64.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$85,900

31 Pennsylvania Ave · California, PA 15419
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 944 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1910 0.50 ac lot $91/sqft · 30% below area Est $137k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.

Key facts

  • 0.5 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1910

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Two total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story home; Resale property; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Approximately 0.5-acre lot with ~85x250 dimensions

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 10x10); Stove; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two upper-level bedrooms (approx. 12x12 and 12x15)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-out basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Washer; Dryer; Some electric appliances

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($968 rent vs $86k).
  • Recommended offer: $83k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,648 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • California Area SD (rural): math 31% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #295 of 539 in PA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $116 of equity ($594 loan paydown + $-478 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $73k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,323 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
7.91%
Cash-on-cash
5.78%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,995
List price
$85,900
Delta
-37.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
233 6th St 0.16mi 3/1.5 (+1) 936 (-1%) 9mo $110,000 $118 77
275 Hillcrest Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 988 (+5%) 13mo $168,400 $170 67
244 Seventh St 0.15mi 2/1.5 1,080 (+14%) 22mo $122,000 $113 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$2,694
Equity at exit
$22,580
10-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$20,867
Equity at exit
$25,322

Cash invested: $24,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15419

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$968 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$450
Tax from tax record
$163 /mo · $1,952/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$116

Break-even live

Break-even rent $821
Max offer price $85,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,475
Closing costs
$2,577
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
72 Second St Unit 6 California, PA 3.0 2.0 1004 $1,250 $1.25 23d 1 0.38mi
300 Strawberry Way California, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $775 $0.86 43d 1 0.39mi
131 Spring Way Unit 1 California, PA 2.0 2.0 785 $950 $1.21 43d 1 0.41mi
456 Second St Unit 10 California, PA 2.0 1.0 615 $900 $1.46 43d 1 0.50mi
639 Russian St Unit 8 California, PA 1.0 1.0 525 $825 $1.57 23d 1 0.51mi
456 Second St Unit 3 California, PA 2.0 1.0 615 $1,000 $1.63 43d 1 0.52mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,900 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,900 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,900 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,900 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,900 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $85,900 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,900 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,900 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,900 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,900 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,900 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,900 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,900 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-04
    listed $85,900 Active 313-char remark
  15. 2022-08-26
    status Pending 114-char remark
    Show marketing remark (114 chars)

    Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.

  16. 2022-08-26
    soldstatus $73,000 Closed 114-char remark
    Show marketing remark (114 chars)

    Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.

  17. 2022-08-26
    soldstatus $65,000
    Show marketing remark (114 chars)

    Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.

  18. 2022-04-30
    historical Contingent 114-char remark
    Show marketing remark (114 chars)

    Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.

  19. 2022-04-01
    status Active 114-char remark
    Show marketing remark (114 chars)

    Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.

  20. 2022-04-01
    price $70,000 114-char remark
    Show marketing remark (114 chars)

    Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.

  21. 2022-03-15
    historical 114-char remark
    Show marketing remark (114 chars)

    Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.

  22. 2022-03-06
    listed $74,900 Active 114-char remark
    Show marketing remark (114 chars)

    Great house on large lot and detached 2 car detached garage. Two bedrooms, upstairs. Covered front and side porch.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,952 · $163/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,952 · $163/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,617
− Mortgage interest
−$4,812
− Property taxes
−$1,952
− Insurance
−$430
− Repairs & maintenance
−$929
− Management
−$929
− Depreciation
−$2,499
Taxable income
$66
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$16
After-tax cash flow
$1,374/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
California Area SD
NCES district ID
4204710
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$40,621
Composite
37.22/100
National rank
#4466
State rank
#295 of 539 in PA

Livability — California

Score
56/100
State rank
#1648
US rank
#22817

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
California, PA
City population
5,469
Population (ZIP)
3,527

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
208,060 people
By 2030
207,168 · -0.4%
By 2040
202,738 · -2.6%
By 2050
195,269 · -6.1%
By 2075
175,588 · -15.6%
By 2100
145,827 · -29.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.56%
Current HPI
160.7366
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+14.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $85,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2022-08-26 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2022-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-26 Sold (MLS) $73,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2022-04-30 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2022-04-01 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2022-04-01 Price Changed $70,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2022-03-15 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2022-03-06 Listed $74,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,952 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…