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A- Composite 80.84
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$90,000

3524 Lyndale Ave · Baltimore, MD 21213
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · Townhouse public records
Built 1942 1,800 sqft lot Est $135k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Listed and sold simultaneously.

Key facts

  • Built 1942

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $759 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $111 of equity ($622 loan paydown + $-511 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $70k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
16.41%
Cash-on-cash
36.14%
DSCR
2.61
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$135,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3564 Elmora Ave 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,478 (-2%) 1mo $133,500 $90 90
3620 Erdman Ave 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,600 (+7%) 2mo $120,000 $75 82
3533 Elmley Ave 0.03mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-10%) 1mo $70,000 $52 78
3114 Mareco Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,410 (-6%) 2mo $125,000 $89 75
3444 Belair Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,428 (-5%) 2mo $131,000 $92 68
3733 Ravenwood Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-10%) 1mo $135,000 $100 68
2846 Lake Ave 0.48mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,455 (-3%) 2mo $235,000 $162 64
3571 Dudley Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-7%) 1mo $175,000 $125 62
3406 Ramona Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-6%) 0mo $85,000 $60 60
2902 Clifton Park Ter 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-10%) 1mo $66,000 $49 59
1418 N Linwood Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,356 (-10%) 0mo $90,000 $66 48
1411 Kenhill Ave 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,356 (-10%) 1mo $240,000 $177 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.57% appreciation · 5.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.5%
Equity multiple
2.89×
Total profit
$47,692
Equity at exit
$23,606
10-year hold
IRR
43.5%
Equity multiple
6.23×
Total profit
$131,696
Equity at exit
$26,430

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21213

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
319
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,852 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$195 /mo · $2,334/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$389
Net cashflow
$759

Break-even live

Break-even rent $891
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3551 Elmley Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1872 $2,095 $1.12 24d 1 0.02mi
3512 Elmora Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1472 $1,900 $1.29 20d 1 0.09mi
3610 Elmley Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,550 $1.29 20d 1 0.12mi
3603 Ravenwood Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1566 $1,600 $1.02 43d 1 0.22mi
3914 Erdman Ave #1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,319 $1.10 17d 1 0.23mi
3525 Kentucky Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1536 $1,950 $1.27 43d 1 0.26mi
3519 Kentucky Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1536 $2,100 $1.37 11d 1 0.26mi
3335 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1344 $1,600 $1.19 24d 1 0.28mi
4104 Erdman Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1566 $1,075 $0.69 4d 1 0.29mi
3326 Elmora Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 24d 1 0.29mi
3005 Belair Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 2000 $1,600 $0.80 17d 1 0.31mi
3222 Lyndale Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,200 $1.47 12d 1 0.36mi
3572 Juneway Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1800 $1,200 $0.67 43d 1 0.37mi
3213 Elmley Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1188 $1,395 $1.17 43d 1 0.38mi
3544 Chesterfield Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,635 $1.36 43d 1 0.44mi
2113 Belair Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1344 $1,795 $1.34 43d 1 0.46mi
2828 Lake Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1164 $1,850 $1.59 4d 1 0.48mi
3436 Cardenas Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1146 $1,395 $1.22 43d 1 0.53mi
3305 Dudley Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1413 $1,950 $1.38 43d 1 0.53mi
3300 Dudley Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1724 $2,200 $1.28 43d 1 0.55mi
3028 Kenyon Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1075 $1,395 $1.30 43d 1 0.55mi
2837 Pelham Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1164 $1,675 $1.44 43d 1 0.55mi
2848 Pelham Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1164 $1,700 $1.46 43d 1 0.56mi
2817 Pelham Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1464 $1,950 $1.33 24d 1 0.57mi
3027 Shannon Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1950 $2,500 $1.28 43d 1 0.58mi
3573 Shannon Dr Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1493 $2,300 $1.54 17d 1 0.60mi
3515 Parklawn Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1240 $1,700 $1.37 2d 1 0.61mi
3551 Shannon Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1485 $2,358 $1.59 24d 1 0.61mi
2735 Chesterfield Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1536 $2,000 $1.30 11d 1 0.67mi
4300 Orchard Ridge Blvd Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1021 $1,809 $1.77 43d 1 0.69mi
4116 Raymonn Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1244 $1,950 $1.57 43d 1 0.73mi
1403 N Linwood Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1660 $1,995 $1.20 43d 1 0.73mi
1829 N Port St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 2000 $1,625 $0.81 43d 1 0.76mi
2522 E Federal St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1760 $1,400 $0.80 43d 1 0.79mi
1323 N Kenwood Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1060 $1,350 $1.27 24d 1 0.81mi
4244 Shamrock Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1920 $1,850 $0.96 24d 1 0.81mi
2621 E Oliver St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,700 $1.06 24d 1 0.81mi
1215 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1128 $1,795 $1.59 24d 1 0.81mi
4320 Sheldon Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1280 $1,800 $1.41 24d 1 0.84mi
2626 E Preston St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,800 $1.58 43d 1 0.90mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-23
    listed $90,000
  2. 2026-05-23
    historical
  3. 1991-06-17
    soldstatus $69,900
  4. 1987-07-07
    soldstatus $50,750

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,334 · $195/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,334 · $195/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,221
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$2,334
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,778
− Management
−$1,778
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$8,222
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,973
After-tax cash flow
$7,134/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
28,058
Household income
$51,344
Rent vs Own
48.0% rent · 52.0% own
Severe rent burden
1868.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.57%
Current HPI
427.4453
Rent YoY
▲ 5.25%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+77.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1991-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
  • 1987-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $50,750 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,334 · +308.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…