3529 E Fayette St E · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$67,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property is being sold AS-IS. Buyer is responsible for removing all remaining garbage and debris. Buyer must bring appropriate tools, including a drill, to remove the front board in order to gain entry to the property.
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 125 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $67k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $832 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $67k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 393 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $67k implies a 153% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.23%
- DSCR
- 3.37
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $93,469
- List price
- $67,000
- Delta
- -28.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 615 N Clinton St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 920 (+1%) | 3mo | $60,500 | $66 | 82 |
| 3534 E Fairmount Ave | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 1,018 (+12%) | 2mo | $86,000 | $84 | 76 |
| 155 N Streeper St | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 912 (0%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $241 | 74 |
| 441 N East Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 976 (+7%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $179 | 68 |
| 530 N Curley St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+5%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $89 | 63 |
| 124 N Janney St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-13%) | 2mo | $63,800 | $81 | 59 |
| 26 N Decker Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 1,040 (+14%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $168 | 58 |
| 423 N Curley St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+10%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $55 | 55 |
| 20 N Decker Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+14%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $143 | 53 |
| 309 S Fagley St | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 | 1,030 (+13%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $218 | 52 |
| 735 N Lakewood Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 970 (+6%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $82 | 48 |
| 820 N Streeper St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+10%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $69 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $39,279
- Equity at exit
- $9,990
- IRR
- 54.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.86×
- Total profit
- $91,093
- Equity at exit
- $5,793
Cash invested: $18,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21224
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 393
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,766 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$351
- Tax from tax record
- −$184 /mo · $2,208/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $832
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $870 | -5% $851 | +0% $832 | +5% $813 | +10% $794 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $693 | -5% $762 | +0% $832 | +5% $902 | +10% $972 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $866 | -0.5pp $849 | base $832 | +0.5pp $815 | +1.0pp $797 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,750
- Closing costs
- $2,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3344 E Baltimore St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 545 | $1,250 | $2.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3205 Esther Pl Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,850 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3413 Leverton Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,000 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 203 N Ellwood Ave Unit Main Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $2,200 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 29 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,395 | $2.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 201 S Conkling St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,500 | $2.03 | 3d | 2 | 0.36mi |
| 520 N Decker Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 223 Grundy St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 321 Fagley St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,650 | $2.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 400 S Conkling St Unit 3 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,700 | $2.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 400 S Highland Ave Unit 402 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 415 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3905 Bank St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 909 | $2,350 | $2.58 | 3d | 20 | 0.58mi |
| 3232 Eastern Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.5 | 874 | $2,260 | $2.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 531 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3235 Eastern Ave Unit 2FL Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 552 | $1,795 | $3.25 | 5d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 127 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 4d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 415 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1092 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4015 Eastern Ave Unit 2L Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2608 E Fayette St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 16d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 502 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 827 | $1,250 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3801 Fleet St Unit 209 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.5 | 814 | $1,899 | $2.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2729 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 233 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 934 | $1,750 | $1.87 | 19d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 224 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1120 | $1,875 | $1.67 | 19d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 104 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,500 | $2.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 400 N Rose St #1 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,080 | $1.84 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 517 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,400 | $1.66 | 5d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 402 N Milton Ave Unit 402B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,290 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 107 N Port St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 870 | $1,995 | $2.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 643 S Potomac St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $1,650 | $2.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3200 Fait Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,700 | $2.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 437 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1310 N Ellwood Ave #1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1310 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 720 N Port St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 16 N Bradford St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 3.5 | 930 | $2,400 | $2.58 | 5d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,468 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,468 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2308 Jefferson St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,450 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $67,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $67,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $67,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $67,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $67,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $67,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $67,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $67,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $67,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $67,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-04-15price $67,000 218-char remark
Show marketing remark (218 chars)
Property is being sold AS-IS. Buyer is responsible for removing all remaining garbage and debris. Buyer must bring appropriate tools, including a drill, to remove the front board in order to gain entry to the property.
-
2026-02-09$83,000 Active 218-char remark
Show marketing remark (218 chars)
Property is being sold AS-IS. Buyer is responsible for removing all remaining garbage and debris. Buyer must bring appropriate tools, including a drill, to remove the front board in order to gain entry to the property.
-
2003-08-21soldstatus $26,500
-
2003-03-18historical
-
2003-02-27$26,500
-
1997-06-13soldstatus $44,900
-
1997-05-23soldstatus $44,900
-
1997-04-12historical
-
1997-03-26$44,900
-
1996-11-16historical
-
1996-08-16historical
-
1996-05-17
-
1996-05-17
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,208 · $184/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,208 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,196
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,753
- − Property taxes
- −$2,208
- − Insurance
- −$335
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,696
- − Management
- −$1,696
- − Depreciation
- −$1,949
- Taxable income
- $9,560
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,294
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,692/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,465
- Household income
- $89,017
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1786.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -332.23%
- Current HPI
- 241.284
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+49.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $67,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $83,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-08-21 Sold (MLS) $26,500 MRIS
- 2003-03-18 Delisted — MRIS
- 2003-02-27 Listed $26,500 MRIS
- 1997-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $44,900 Public Records
- 1997-05-23 Sold (MLS) $44,900 MRIS
- 1997-04-12 Delisted — MRIS
- 1997-03-26 Listed $44,900 MRIS
- 1996-11-16 Delisted — MRIS
- 1996-08-16 Delisted — MRIS
- 1996-05-17 Listed — MRIS
- 1996-05-17 Listed — MRIS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,208 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…