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303 Cavin Ave
F Composite 33.1
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,000

303 Cavin Ave · Mount Holly, NC 28120
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,340 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1949 0.73 ac lot Est $330k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fixer Upper! Have you dreamed of the opportunity to channel your inner Chip and Joanna Gaines? Well, here is your chance! This house has sat elegantly on this beautiful, mature lot for many years and needs new life breathed into it! Priced with the repairs in mind. Sold as is. So much opportunity with this large, corner lot home. Make your dream of home ownership come true today and put all of YOUR special touches into this house. You can make it the home you’ve always imagined. The character is already peeking through…if you are a visionary and have home repair skills, this is the deal you’ve been looking for. Please let me know if you have any questions.

Key facts

  • 0.73 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1949

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway with room for 4+ cars; Additional parking spaces (4 open spaces)
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential home; Site-built construction; One and one-half story
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Concrete and paved roads; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total (3 on the main level, 1 on the upper level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (1 on the main level, 1 on the upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Living room fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in a common area on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-468 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (27.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (39.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (39.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#214 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Gaston County Schools (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #93 of 178 in NC (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pinewood Elementary (math 52% / reading 50%, grade C-, #397 of 1,410 statewide, top 28%, 485 students, 56% FRL); Mount Holly Middle (math 45% / reading 46%, grade D+, #154 of 475 statewide, top 33%, 557 students, 62% FRL); Stuart W Cramer High (math 77% / reading 53%, grade B, #161 of 535 statewide, top 30%, 964 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 37% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,069 units permitted in Gaston County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gaston County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $44k; list at $299k implies a 587% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,434 (39.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.61%
Cap rate
4.41%
Cash-on-cash
-6.71%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
13.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$329,640
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
113 S Mulberry Ct 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,294 (-3%) 5mo $345,000 $267 78
105 S Tanninger Rd 0.17mi 3/2.5 1,452 (+8%) 5mo $368,200 $254 68
504 N Hawthorne St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,202 (-10%) 4mo $317,500 $264 65
132 Sella Ridge Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,218 (-9%) 2mo $315,000 $259 64
781 Woodlawn Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,334 (-0%) 3mo $340,000 $255 63
501 N Hawthorne St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,221 (-9%) 8mo $300,000 $246 62
157 Brookstone Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,392 (+4%) 7mo $335,000 $241 58
402 N Hawthorne St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,469 (+10%) 10mo $280,000 $191 58
401 W Charlotte Ave 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,433 (+7%) 8mo $309,900 $216 50
1005 N Main St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,482 (+11%) 11mo $320,000 $216 48
708 Noles Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,485 (+11%) 2mo $289,900 $195 46
225 N Lee St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,488 (+11%) 6mo $280,000 $188 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-28.8%
Equity multiple
0.05×
Total profit
$-79,917
Equity at exit
$44,582
10-year hold
IRR
-32.2%
Equity multiple
-0.37×
Total profit
$-114,596
Equity at exit
$25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28120

Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
13.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,824 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$217 /mo · $2,605/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$383
Net cashflow
$-468

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,417
Max offer price $216,257
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-299 -5% $-384 +0% $-468 +5% $-553 +10% $-638
Rent -10% $-613 -5% $-540 +0% $-468 +5% $-396 +10% $-324
Rate -1.0pp $-318 -0.5pp $-392 base $-468 +0.5pp $-546 +1.0pp $-625

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
101 Cavin Ave Mount Holly, NC 2.0 2.0 924 $1,650 $1.79 6d 1 0.21mi
177 Brookstone Dr Mount Holly, NC 3.0 2.0 1218 $1,775 $1.46 25d 1 0.55mi
340 W Central Ave Mount Holly, NC 3.0 1.0 1315 $1,950 $1.48 25d 1 0.65mi
300 E Charlotte Ave Mount Holly, NC 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,358 $1.36 6d 3 0.67mi
300 E Charlotte Ave Mount Holly, NC 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,418 $1.42 0d 2 0.67mi
105 Julia St Mount Holly, NC 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,695 $1.70 3d 1 0.79mi
312 W Catawba Ave Unit CAT-01 Mt Holly, NC 2.0 1.5 940 $1,250 $1.33 0d 1 0.92mi
318 Highland St Unit 2 Mt Holly, NC 2.0 1.5 950 $1,250 $1.32 13d 1 0.97mi
318 Highland St Mount Holly, NC 2.0 2.0 980 $1,250 $1.28 23d 1 0.98mi
366 Crandon Rd Mount Holly, NC 3.0 2.5 1832 $2,650 $1.45 25d 1 0.99mi
104 Arbor Ridge Rd Mount Holly, NC 4.0 2.5 1833 $2,070 $1.13 14d 1 1.04mi
164 Silver Birch Ln Mount Holly, NC 3.0 2.0 1725 $2,000 $1.16 0d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $299,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 664-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $299,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,605 · $217/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,605 · $217/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,892
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$2,605
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,751
− Management
−$1,751
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable loss
−$11,157
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,678
After-tax cash flow
$-2,943/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gaston County Schools
NCES district ID
3701620
Math proficiency
44% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$43,644
Composite
36.39/100
National rank
#4680
State rank
#93 of 178 in NC

Livability — Mount Holly

Score
67/100
State rank
#214
US rank
#10224

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Holly, NC
County
Gaston County · 201,497 people
City population
25,805
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
25,805
Household income
$78,231
Rent vs Own
25.3% rent · 74.7% own
Severe rent burden
817.0

Population outlook (Gaston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
230,027 people
By 2030
237,300 · +3.2%
By 2040
249,659 · +8.5%
By 2050
257,806 · +12.1%
By 2075
272,163 · +18.3%
By 2100
268,652 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gaston

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.0) · D 37.0% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
0.0pp no change · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -25.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.0 2020: R+27.8 2016: R+32.1 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -141.08%
Current HPI
245.2596
Rent YoY
▲ 2.14%
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+587.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $299,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1982-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+79.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,605 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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