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412 Contentment Dr
D Composite 43.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0

$329,900

412 Contentment Dr · Locust, NC 28097
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,064 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 2019 8,712 sqft lot Est $347k · at est. $33/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully maintained home in the growing community of Locust offering modern finishes, spacious living areas, and a thoughtfully designed layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy a bright open-concept floorplan, generously sized bedrooms, and a private backyard perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. Residents will also enjoy access to a brand-new community pool currently under construction and expected to be completed within the next few months — adding even more value and amenities to this desirable neighborhood. Conveniently located near local dining, shopping, and commuter routes while still offering the charm and tranquility of small-town living.

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Private backyard
  • Modern finishes

Tags

MODERN FINISHESOPEN-CONCEPT FLOORPLANPRIVATE BACKYARDCOMMUNITY POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA managed by Braesael Management; Annual association fee of $400

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Main level garage
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Two levels; Entry level: Main
  • Construction: Site-built construction; Aluminum, stone and vinyl exterior materials; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot; Corner lot; Concrete and paved road access; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Common area laundry available
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room; Laundry on upper level; Common area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-334 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $271k (17.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (29.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $232k (29.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.6% in Locust — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#458 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Stanly County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #113 of 178 in NC (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Locust Elementary (math 60% / reading 54%, grade C+, #249 of 1,410 statewide, top 20%, 486 students, 99% FRL); West Stanly Middle School (math 40% / reading 47%, grade D, #182 of 475 statewide, top 40%, 619 students, 43% FRL); West Stanly High (math 72% / reading 62%, grade B, #142 of 535 statewide, top 28%, 762 students, 36% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 56% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Stanly County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 367 units permitted in Stanly County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Stanly County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$57k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($325k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $231,798 (29.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.08%
Cash-on-cash
-4.35%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$346,752
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8836 Cornwall St 0.51mi 3/2.5 2,107 (+2%) 3mo $340,000 $161 68
8160 Thornton St 0.56mi 3/2.5 1,939 (-6%) 2mo $330,000 $170 60
8050 Midas Ln 0.56mi 3/2.5 1,939 (-6%) 3mo $324,990 $168 59
333 Whispering Hills Dr Unit 62A 0.36mi 3/2.5 2,346 (+14%) 3mo $365,000 $156 56
8808 Cornwall St 0.58mi 3/2.5 2,221 (+8%) 5mo $330,000 $149 54
8114 Chilkoot Ln 0.63mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,939 (-6%) 0mo $341,990 $176 53
8163 Thornton St 0.53mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,285 (+11%) 2mo $354,990 $155 51
8164 Thornton St 0.56mi 3/2.5 1,808 (-12%) 2mo $344,990 $191 50
8062 Midas Ln 0.55mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,285 (+11%) 3mo $356,990 $156 49
8058 Midas Ln 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,808 (-12%) 4mo $339,990 $188 48
8122 Chilkoot Ln 0.62mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,285 (+11%) 0mo $374,990 $164 48
8118 Chilkoot Ln 0.63mi 3/2.5 1,808 (-12%) 1mo $352,000 $195 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$158,335
Equity at exit
$297,200
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
6.23×
Total profit
$482,952
Equity at exit
$640,923

Cash invested: $92,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28097

Home prices YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
175
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,318 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,730
Tax from tax record
$265 /mo · $3,182/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$487
Net cashflow
$-334

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,741
Max offer price $270,815
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-148 -5% $-241 +0% $-334 +5% $-428 +10% $-521
Rent -10% $-518 -5% $-426 +0% $-334 +5% $-243 +10% $-151
Rate -1.0pp $-168 -0.5pp $-251 base $-334 +0.5pp $-420 +1.0pp $-507

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,475
Closing costs
$9,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
450 Babbling Brook Ln Locust, NC 4.0 2.5 2403 $2,395 $1.00 22d 1 0.10mi
306 Prosperous Path Locust, NC 4.0 2.5 2412 $2,305 $0.96 0d 1 0.18mi
8319 Knapp Ct Locust, NC 3.0 2.5 2266 $1,960 $0.86 4d 1 0.54mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $329,900 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $329,900 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $329,900 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $329,900 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $329,900 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-05-21
    price $334,900
  7. 2026-05-12
    price $339,900
  8. 2026-05-08
    listed $344,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,182 · $265/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,182 · $265/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,816
− Mortgage interest
−$18,480
− Property taxes
−$3,182
− Insurance
−$1,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,225
− Management
−$2,225
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$9,597
Taxable loss
−$9,939
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,385
After-tax cash flow
$-1,628/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stanly County Schools
NCES district ID
3704320
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$43,802
Composite
33.9/100
National rank
#5343
State rank
#113 of 178 in NC

Livability — Locust

Score
62/100
State rank
#458
US rank
#16792

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Locust, NC
Population (ZIP)
7,976

Population outlook (Stanly County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
60,082 people
By 2030
59,485 · -1.0%
By 2040
57,407 · -4.5%
By 2050
54,051 · -10.0%
By 2075
45,384 · -24.5%
By 2100
34,694 · -42.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stanly

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.9) · D 24.2% · R 75.1%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -50.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.9 2020: R+51.1 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 26.92%
Current HPI
409.27
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $334,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $339,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $344,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+45.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,182 · +15.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…