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2776 Aristides Ct
C Composite 59.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$499,900

2776 Aristides Ct · Morrow, OH 45152
4 bd · 3.5 ba · 3,235 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 10,402 sqft lot $155/sqft · 14% above area Est $440k · 14% over $40/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Gorgeous, 4 yr old home in popular Villages of Classicway pool community very close to Little Miami HS! 1st flr w 9ft ceilings and easy to maintain LV flrs! Kitchen w upgraded white cabs, huge island w seating, granite cntrs, SS appliances, dbl oven, gas cooktop, and open to dining room, large living room and walkout to large 10 x 15 deck and fenced yard! Second flr features large owners suite, 2 more bedrooms, loft/rec rm, and laundry! Finished LL w 4th bedroom, full bath, family rm, bar area, and lots of storage space! Gas fireplace! Ceiling fans! Recessed Lighting! Covered front porch! Private fenced yard! Quiet CDS street!

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $500k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $500k).
  • Recommended offer: $455k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.8% in Morrow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#266 in OH, #4,231 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Little Miami Local (rural): math 67% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #140 of 656 in OH (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,995/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($120k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $140k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($455k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $420k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $454,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.39%
Cash-on-cash
11.06%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$439,984
List price
$499,900
Delta
13.62%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2807 Aristides Ct 0.06mi 4/3.5 3,235 (0%) 11mo $467,000 $144 88
2719 Aristides Ct 0.10mi 3/3.5 (-1) 3,235 (0%) 4mo $435,000 $134 88
5783 Classicway Blvd 0.27mi 4/3.5 3,195 (-1%) 0mo $467,000 $146 85
2843 Alysheba Ct 0.07mi 3/3.5 (-1) 3,148 (-3%) 11mo $440,000 $140 78
2727 Unbridled Way 0.05mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,769 (-14%) 9mo $440,000 $159 61
5320 Man O War Dr 0.26mi 4/2.5 2,882 (-11%) 9mo $380,000 $132 58
5781 Montrose Ct 0.24mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,826 (-13%) 10mo $395,000 $140 55
2301 Sir Barton Dr 0.41mi 4/3.5 3,534 (+9%) 14mo $432,000 $122 53
5185 Appaloosa Cir 0.45mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,825 (-13%) 10mo $380,000 $135 45
5259 Venetian Way 0.39mi 4/3.0 2,751 (-15%) 14mo $430,000 $156 43
5181 Man O War Dr 0.49mi 4/2.5 2,803 (-13%) 13mo $440,000 $157 40
5518 Chancellor Ln 0.74mi 4/2.5 2,904 (-10%) 6mo $740,000 $255 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$1,278
Equity at exit
$74,537
10-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$107,301
Equity at exit
$43,222

Cash invested: $139,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45152

Home prices YoY
-31.1%
Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,995 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,622
Tax from tax record
$576 /mo · $6,908/yr
Insurance
$208
HOA
$40
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,259
Net cashflow
$1,291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,361
Max offer price $499,900
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$124,975
Closing costs
$14,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5738 Azra Ct Morrow, OH 4.0 2.5 2600 $5,995 $2.31 44d 1 0.15mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$40 · $480/yr
Likely covers
gaspool

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $499,900 Active 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $499,900 Active 110 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $499,900 Active 109 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $499,900 Active 108 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $499,900 Active 106 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $499,900 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $499,900 Active 101 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $499,900 Active 100 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $499,900 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $499,900 Active 95 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $499,900 Active 94 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $499,900 Active 93 DOM
  13. 2026-02-28
    listed $499,900 Active 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Gorgeous, 4 yr old home in popular Villages of Classicway pool community very close to Little Miami HS! 1st flr w 9ft ceilings and easy to maintain LV flrs! Kitchen w upgraded white cabs, huge island w seating, granite cntrs, SS appliances, dbl oven, gas cooktop, and open to dining room, large living room and walkout to large 10 x 15 deck and fenced yard! Second flr features large owners suite, 2 more bedrooms, loft/rec rm, and laundry! Finished LL w 4th bedroom, full bath, family rm, bar area, and lots of storage space! Gas fireplace! Ceiling fans! Recessed Lighting! Covered front porch! Private fenced yard! Quiet CDS street!

  14. 2026-01-09
    historical 676-char remark
    Show marketing remark (676 chars)

    Modern 2022 home at 2776 Aristedes Court! This spacious 4-bed, 3.5-bath,3,395 sq ft, 2-car garage house boasts a full finished basement with a bedroom, bathroom, and a tiled bar. The main level shines with granite countertops, upgraded cabinets, backsplash, double ovens, gas range, and a Samsung screen fridge within the stainless steel appliance suite. Relax by the gas fireplace or on the 10x15' deck overlooking the fenced yard. The master suite is a true retreat: a huge 24x14' bedroom with two ceiling fans, and a luxurious double shower with two heads inside the 16x7.5' master closet. A loft and French door-enclosed office complete this stunning property. A must-see!

  15. 2025-11-13
    price $510,000
  16. 2025-10-29
    price $510,000 676-char remark
    Show marketing remark (676 chars)

    Modern 2022 home at 2776 Aristedes Court! This spacious 4-bed, 3.5-bath,3,395 sq ft, 2-car garage house boasts a full finished basement with a bedroom, bathroom, and a tiled bar. The main level shines with granite countertops, upgraded cabinets, backsplash, double ovens, gas range, and a Samsung screen fridge within the stainless steel appliance suite. Relax by the gas fireplace or on the 10x15' deck overlooking the fenced yard. The master suite is a true retreat: a huge 24x14' bedroom with two ceiling fans, and a luxurious double shower with two heads inside the 16x7.5' master closet. A loft and French door-enclosed office complete this stunning property. A must-see!

  17. 2025-10-21
    price $520,000 676-char remark
    Show marketing remark (676 chars)

    Modern 2022 home at 2776 Aristedes Court! This spacious 4-bed, 3.5-bath,3,395 sq ft, 2-car garage house boasts a full finished basement with a bedroom, bathroom, and a tiled bar. The main level shines with granite countertops, upgraded cabinets, backsplash, double ovens, gas range, and a Samsung screen fridge within the stainless steel appliance suite. Relax by the gas fireplace or on the 10x15' deck overlooking the fenced yard. The master suite is a true retreat: a huge 24x14' bedroom with two ceiling fans, and a luxurious double shower with two heads inside the 16x7.5' master closet. A loft and French door-enclosed office complete this stunning property. A must-see!

  18. 2025-10-20
    listed $520,000,000 Active 676-char remark
    Show marketing remark (676 chars)

    Modern 2022 home at 2776 Aristedes Court! This spacious 4-bed, 3.5-bath,3,395 sq ft, 2-car garage house boasts a full finished basement with a bedroom, bathroom, and a tiled bar. The main level shines with granite countertops, upgraded cabinets, backsplash, double ovens, gas range, and a Samsung screen fridge within the stainless steel appliance suite. Relax by the gas fireplace or on the 10x15' deck overlooking the fenced yard. The master suite is a true retreat: a huge 24x14' bedroom with two ceiling fans, and a luxurious double shower with two heads inside the 16x7.5' master closet. A loft and French door-enclosed office complete this stunning property. A must-see!

  19. 2022-07-03
    soldstatus $420,180
  20. 2022-07-03
    listed $420,180
  21. 2022-02-28
    soldstatus $54,075

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,908 · $576/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,353 · $613/mo
Expected delta
+$445/yr (+$37/mo · 6.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$71,940
− Mortgage interest
−$28,002
− Property taxes
−$6,908
− Insurance
−$2,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,755
− Management
−$5,755
− HOA
−$480
− Depreciation
−$14,543
Taxable income
$7,998
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,919
After-tax cash flow
$13,568/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 4-year-old home in a popular community is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a spacious layout, upgraded kitchen, and a well-maintained exterior. Value-adding updates include painting the exterior and replacing the front porch furniture.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace the front porch furniture — Improves comfort and functionality
  • Both Install new ceiling fans in bedrooms — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace the front porch furniture — Improves comfort and functionality
  • Both Install new ceiling fans in bedrooms — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Little Miami Local
NCES district ID
3905044
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$74,949
Composite
60.5/100
National rank
#844
State rank
#140 of 656 in OH

Livability — Morrow

Score
75/100
State rank
#266
US rank
#4231

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Warren · 227,646 people
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
13,577
Household income
$120,340
Rent vs Own
11.8% rent · 88.2% own
Severe rent burden
5.6

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,603 people
By 2030
259,345 · +4.3%
By 2040
277,666 · +11.7%
By 2050
289,599 · +16.5%
By 2075
311,681 · +25.4%
By 2100
302,738 · +21.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.5) · D 33.8% · R 65.3%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -31.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.5 2020: R+30.8 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+36.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.41%
Current HPI
239.7828
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+824.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-28 Listed $499,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-01-09 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $510,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-10-29 Price Changed $510,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2025-10-21 Price Changed $520,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2025-10-20 Listed $520,000,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2022-07-03 Listed $420,180 Cincy MLS
  • 2022-07-03 Sold (MLS) $420,180 Cincy MLS
  • 2022-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $54,075 Public Records

Property tax history

+72.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,908 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…