2776 Aristides Ct · Morrow, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.4/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$499,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Gorgeous, 4 yr old home in popular Villages of Classicway pool community very close to Little Miami HS! 1st flr w 9ft ceilings and easy to maintain LV flrs! Kitchen w upgraded white cabs, huge island w seating, granite cntrs, SS appliances, dbl oven, gas cooktop, and open to dining room, large living room and walkout to large 10 x 15 deck and fenced yard! Second flr features large owners suite, 2 more bedrooms, loft/rec rm, and laundry! Finished LL w 4th bedroom, full bath, family rm, bar area, and lots of storage space! Gas fireplace! Ceiling fans! Recessed Lighting! Covered front porch! Private fenced yard! Quiet CDS street!
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $500k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $500k).
- Recommended offer: $455k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.8% in Morrow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#266 in OH, #4,231 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Little Miami Local (rural): math 67% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #140 of 656 in OH (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,995/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($120k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $140k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($455k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $420k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.06%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $439,984
- List price
- $499,900
- Delta
- 13.62%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2807 Aristides Ct | 0.06mi | 4/3.5 | 3,235 (0%) | 11mo | $467,000 | $144 | 88 |
| 2719 Aristides Ct | 0.10mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 3,235 (0%) | 4mo | $435,000 | $134 | 88 |
| 5783 Classicway Blvd | 0.27mi | 4/3.5 | 3,195 (-1%) | 0mo | $467,000 | $146 | 85 |
| 2843 Alysheba Ct | 0.07mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 3,148 (-3%) | 11mo | $440,000 | $140 | 78 |
| 2727 Unbridled Way | 0.05mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,769 (-14%) | 9mo | $440,000 | $159 | 61 |
| 5320 Man O War Dr | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 | 2,882 (-11%) | 9mo | $380,000 | $132 | 58 |
| 5781 Montrose Ct | 0.24mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,826 (-13%) | 10mo | $395,000 | $140 | 55 |
| 2301 Sir Barton Dr | 0.41mi | 4/3.5 | 3,534 (+9%) | 14mo | $432,000 | $122 | 53 |
| 5185 Appaloosa Cir | 0.45mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,825 (-13%) | 10mo | $380,000 | $135 | 45 |
| 5259 Venetian Way | 0.39mi | 4/3.0 | 2,751 (-15%) | 14mo | $430,000 | $156 | 43 |
| 5181 Man O War Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 | 2,803 (-13%) | 13mo | $440,000 | $157 | 40 |
| 5518 Chancellor Ln | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 2,904 (-10%) | 6mo | $740,000 | $255 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $1,278
- Equity at exit
- $74,537
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $107,301
- Equity at exit
- $43,222
Cash invested: $139,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45152
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,995 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,622
- Tax from tax record
- −$576 /mo · $6,908/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- HOA
- −$40
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,259
- Net cashflow
- $1,291
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $124,975
- Closing costs
- $14,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5738 Azra Ct Morrow, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2600 | $5,995 | $2.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $40 · $480/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspool
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $499,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $499,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $499,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $499,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $499,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $499,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $499,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $499,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $499,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $499,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $499,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $499,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-02-28$499,900 Active 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Gorgeous, 4 yr old home in popular Villages of Classicway pool community very close to Little Miami HS! 1st flr w 9ft ceilings and easy to maintain LV flrs! Kitchen w upgraded white cabs, huge island w seating, granite cntrs, SS appliances, dbl oven, gas cooktop, and open to dining room, large living room and walkout to large 10 x 15 deck and fenced yard! Second flr features large owners suite, 2 more bedrooms, loft/rec rm, and laundry! Finished LL w 4th bedroom, full bath, family rm, bar area, and lots of storage space! Gas fireplace! Ceiling fans! Recessed Lighting! Covered front porch! Private fenced yard! Quiet CDS street!
-
2026-01-09historical 676-char remark
Show marketing remark (676 chars)
Modern 2022 home at 2776 Aristedes Court! This spacious 4-bed, 3.5-bath,3,395 sq ft, 2-car garage house boasts a full finished basement with a bedroom, bathroom, and a tiled bar. The main level shines with granite countertops, upgraded cabinets, backsplash, double ovens, gas range, and a Samsung screen fridge within the stainless steel appliance suite. Relax by the gas fireplace or on the 10x15' deck overlooking the fenced yard. The master suite is a true retreat: a huge 24x14' bedroom with two ceiling fans, and a luxurious double shower with two heads inside the 16x7.5' master closet. A loft and French door-enclosed office complete this stunning property. A must-see!
-
2025-11-13price $510,000
-
2025-10-29price $510,000 676-char remark
Show marketing remark (676 chars)
Modern 2022 home at 2776 Aristedes Court! This spacious 4-bed, 3.5-bath,3,395 sq ft, 2-car garage house boasts a full finished basement with a bedroom, bathroom, and a tiled bar. The main level shines with granite countertops, upgraded cabinets, backsplash, double ovens, gas range, and a Samsung screen fridge within the stainless steel appliance suite. Relax by the gas fireplace or on the 10x15' deck overlooking the fenced yard. The master suite is a true retreat: a huge 24x14' bedroom with two ceiling fans, and a luxurious double shower with two heads inside the 16x7.5' master closet. A loft and French door-enclosed office complete this stunning property. A must-see!
-
2025-10-21price $520,000 676-char remark
Show marketing remark (676 chars)
Modern 2022 home at 2776 Aristedes Court! This spacious 4-bed, 3.5-bath,3,395 sq ft, 2-car garage house boasts a full finished basement with a bedroom, bathroom, and a tiled bar. The main level shines with granite countertops, upgraded cabinets, backsplash, double ovens, gas range, and a Samsung screen fridge within the stainless steel appliance suite. Relax by the gas fireplace or on the 10x15' deck overlooking the fenced yard. The master suite is a true retreat: a huge 24x14' bedroom with two ceiling fans, and a luxurious double shower with two heads inside the 16x7.5' master closet. A loft and French door-enclosed office complete this stunning property. A must-see!
-
2025-10-20$520,000,000 Active 676-char remark
Show marketing remark (676 chars)
Modern 2022 home at 2776 Aristedes Court! This spacious 4-bed, 3.5-bath,3,395 sq ft, 2-car garage house boasts a full finished basement with a bedroom, bathroom, and a tiled bar. The main level shines with granite countertops, upgraded cabinets, backsplash, double ovens, gas range, and a Samsung screen fridge within the stainless steel appliance suite. Relax by the gas fireplace or on the 10x15' deck overlooking the fenced yard. The master suite is a true retreat: a huge 24x14' bedroom with two ceiling fans, and a luxurious double shower with two heads inside the 16x7.5' master closet. A loft and French door-enclosed office complete this stunning property. A must-see!
-
2022-07-03soldstatus $420,180
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2022-07-03$420,180
-
2022-02-28soldstatus $54,075
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,908 · $576/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,353 · $613/mo
- Expected delta
- +$445/yr (+$37/mo · 6.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $71,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,002
- − Property taxes
- −$6,908
- − Insurance
- −$2,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,755
- − Management
- −$5,755
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$14,543
- Taxable income
- $7,998
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,919
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,568/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 4-year-old home in a popular community is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a spacious layout, upgraded kitchen, and a well-maintained exterior. Value-adding updates include painting the exterior and replacing the front porch furniture.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace the front porch furniture — Improves comfort and functionality
- Both Install new ceiling fans in bedrooms — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace the front porch furniture — Improves comfort and functionality ↑
- Both Install new ceiling fans in bedrooms — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Miami Local
- NCES district ID
- 3905044
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,949
- Composite
- 60.5/100
- National rank
- #844
- State rank
- #140 of 656 in OH
Livability — Morrow
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #266
- US rank
- #4231
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Warren · 227,646 people
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,577
- Household income
- $120,340
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5.6
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,603 people
- By 2030
- 259,345 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 277,666 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 289,599 · +16.5%
- By 2075
- 311,681 · +25.4%
- By 2100
- 302,738 · +21.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.5) · D 33.8% · R 65.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.5 2020: R+30.8 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+36.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.41%
- Current HPI
- 239.7828
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+824.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-28 Listed $499,900 Cincy MLS
- 2026-01-09 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $510,000 Dayton MLS
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $510,000 Cincy MLS
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $520,000 Cincy MLS
- 2025-10-20 Listed $520,000,000 Cincy MLS
- 2022-07-03 Listed $420,180 Cincy MLS
- 2022-07-03 Sold (MLS) $420,180 Cincy MLS
- 2022-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $54,075 Public Records
Property tax history
+72.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,908 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…