Duplex
812 E Elmer St · Vineland, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$330,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Very nice location, 1 - 1 room apt on 1st floor, another unit on 1st floor currently used commercially for a barber shop, 2 bedroom apartment on 2nd floor. Owner provides gas heat for entire building and pays electric. Barber would leave all equipment except barber chair. New heat/AC and windows and vinyl siding.
Key facts
- 5,001 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 130 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership; Assessor improvement value reported; Assessor land value reported; Tax assessed value reported (2025)
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water; Natural gas for heating and cooling
- Home design: Detached structure; Frame construction
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 100; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Assessor-reported above-grade finished area of 1,649
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $820 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $410/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $330k).
- Recommended offer: $290k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.5% in Vineland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#363 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
- Vineland Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #418 of 472 in NJ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,795/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1328% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.65%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $280,330
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 636 E Pear St | 0.34mi | 3/— (-1) | 1,588 (-4%) | 5mo | $315,000 | $198 | 68 |
| 3 N State St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,622 (-2%) | 5mo | $305,000 | $188 | 64 |
| 1021 New Pear St | 0.39mi | 3/— (-1) | 1,802 (+9%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $139 | 52 |
| 14 N Myrtle St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,474 (-11%) | 16mo | $250,000 | $170 | 46 |
| 916 E Cherry St | 0.38mi | 3/— (-1) | 1,424 (-14%) | 17mo | $200,000 | $140 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-1,233
- Equity at exit
- $49,204
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $66,179
- Equity at exit
- $28,532
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08360
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 15.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,795 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax from tax record
- −$310 /mo · $3,716/yr
- Insurance
- −$138
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$797
- Net cashflow
- $820
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,755 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $2,040 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,795 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $330,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $330,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $330,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $330,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $330,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $330,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $330,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $330,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $330,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $330,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $330,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $330,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $330,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $330,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $330,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $330,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-04-01price $330,000
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2026-02-09$359,000 Active
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2026-02-06historical $359,000
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2021-09-16historical 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Very nice location, 1 - 1 room apt on 1st floor, another unit on 1st floor currently used commercially for a barber shop, 2 bedroom apartment on 2nd floor. Owner provides gas heat for entire building and pays electric. Barber would leave all equipment except barber chair. New heat/AC and windows and vinyl siding.
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2021-07-15historical
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2020-09-18$139,900 Active
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2020-09-15$139,900 Active 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Very nice location, 1 - 1 room apt on 1st floor, another unit on 1st floor currently used commercially for a barber shop, 2 bedroom apartment on 2nd floor. Owner provides gas heat for entire building and pays electric. Barber would leave all equipment except barber chair. New heat/AC and windows and vinyl siding.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,716 · $310/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,967 · $497/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,250/yr (+$188/mo · 60.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,540
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$3,716
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,643
- − Management
- −$3,643
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable income
- $4,802
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,153
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,691/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vineland Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416800
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,168
- Composite
- 19.17/100
- National rank
- #8819
- State rank
- #418 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Vineland
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #363
- US rank
- #12180
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vineland, NJ
- County
- Cumberland County · 80,266 people
- City population
- 45,038
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,038
- Household income
- $65,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1328.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,743 people
- By 2030
- 150,373 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 146,881 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 142,653 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 129,468 · -15.2%
- By 2100
- 107,456 · -29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 32% Two or more races 17% Black 11% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 33% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Subsaharan African 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 37% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -320.06%
- Current HPI
- 278.786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+135.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $330,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $359,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-06 Coming Soon $359,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-09-16 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2021-07-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-09-18 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-09-15 Listed $139,900 SJSRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…