1734 Fort Morris Rd · Richmond Hill, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large fixer upper mobile home on a full acre on historic Fort Morris Rd in Midway, GA. This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home has an immense amount of space and can be maximized to have up to as many as 6 bedrooms. You will find not one but TWO different living spaces in this home with a fireplace! The kitchen opens to one of the living spaces and is large with a spacious corner pantry. The primary suite has a walk in closet, shower and separate tub, two sinks and a dressing table. The three guest bedrooms all have sizable closets. This is the deal you have been waiting for! Unlock the potential of this home!
Key facts
- Two living spaces
- Full acre
- Walk in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 8-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $668 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 4.1% in Richmond Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#122 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Liberty County (urban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #133 of 174 in GA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 211 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 471 units permitted in Liberty County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Liberty County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.35%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $264,900
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -33.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $14,192
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $67,247
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31320
- Home prices YoY
- -9.7%
- Active inventory
- 211
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,376 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$499
- Net cashflow
- $668
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-01-16price $175,000 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Large fixer upper mobile home on a full acre on historic Fort Morris Rd in Midway, GA. This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home has an immense amount of space and can be maximized to have up to as many as 6 bedrooms. You will find not one but TWO different living spaces in this home with a fireplace! The kitchen opens to one of the living spaces and is large with a spacious corner pantry. The primary suite has a walk in closet, shower and separate tub, two sinks and a dressing table. The three guest bedrooms all have sizable closets. This is the deal you have been waiting for! Unlock the potential of this home!
-
2026-01-14price $175,000 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Large fixer upper mobile home on a full acre on historic Fort Morris Rd in Midway, GA. This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home has an immense amount of space and can be maximized to have up to as many as 6 bedrooms. You will find not one but TWO different living spaces in this home with a fireplace! The kitchen opens to one of the living spaces and is large with a spacious corner pantry. The primary suite has a walk in closet, shower and separate tub, two sinks and a dressing table. The three guest bedrooms all have sizable closets. This is the deal you have been waiting for! Unlock the potential of this home!
-
2025-10-14$200,000 Active 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Large fixer upper mobile home on a full acre on historic Fort Morris Rd in Midway, GA. This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home has an immense amount of space and can be maximized to have up to as many as 6 bedrooms. You will find not one but TWO different living spaces in this home with a fireplace! The kitchen opens to one of the living spaces and is large with a spacious corner pantry. The primary suite has a walk in closet, shower and separate tub, two sinks and a dressing table. The three guest bedrooms all have sizable closets. This is the deal you have been waiting for! Unlock the potential of this home!
-
2025-10-14$200,000 Active 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Large fixer upper mobile home on a full acre on historic Fort Morris Rd in Midway, GA. This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home has an immense amount of space and can be maximized to have up to as many as 6 bedrooms. You will find not one but TWO different living spaces in this home with a fireplace! The kitchen opens to one of the living spaces and is large with a spacious corner pantry. The primary suite has a walk in closet, shower and separate tub, two sinks and a dressing table. The three guest bedrooms all have sizable closets. This is the deal you have been waiting for! Unlock the potential of this home!
-
2025-08-12$175,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,510
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,281
- − Management
- −$2,281
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $5,555
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,333
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,677/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Liberty County
- NCES district ID
- 1303300
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,911
- Composite
- 20.2/100
- National rank
- #8630
- State rank
- #133 of 174 in GA
Livability — Richmond Hill
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #8778
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Liberty County · 58,565 people
- City population
- 37,406
- Metro
- Hinesville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,794
- Household income
- $77,195
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 136.0
Population outlook (Liberty County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,689 people
- By 2030
- 57,670 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 55,750 · -5.0%
- By 2050
- 54,155 · -7.7%
- By 2075
- 58,947 · +0.4%
- By 2100
- 66,919 · +14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 33% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Liberty
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.4) · D 58.5% · R 41.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.9pp toward R · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 17.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.4 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+30.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -25.67%
- Current HPI
- 239.3136
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hinesville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $175,000 HABR
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $175,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-10-14 Listed $200,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-10-14 Listed $200,000 HABR
- 2025-08-12 Listed $175,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $179 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…