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1734 Fort Morris Rd
B Composite 74.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

1734 Fort Morris Rd · Richmond Hill, GA 31320
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,500 sqft · Other · 61 Days on market
Built 2000 1.00 ac lot $70/sqft · 34% below area Est $265k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large fixer upper mobile home on a full acre on historic Fort Morris Rd in Midway, GA. This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home has an immense amount of space and can be maximized to have up to as many as 6 bedrooms. You will find not one but TWO different living spaces in this home with a fireplace! The kitchen opens to one of the living spaces and is large with a spacious corner pantry. The primary suite has a walk in closet, shower and separate tub, two sinks and a dressing table. The three guest bedrooms all have sizable closets. This is the deal you have been waiting for! Unlock the potential of this home!

Key facts

  • Two living spaces
  • Full acre
  • Walk in closet

Tags

FULL ACREHISTORIC FORT MORRIS RDTWO LIVING SPACESFIREPLACESPACIOUS CORNER PANTRYWALK IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $668 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 4.1% in Richmond Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#122 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Liberty County (urban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #133 of 174 in GA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 211 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 471 units permitted in Liberty County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Liberty County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
10.87%
Cash-on-cash
16.35%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$264,900
List price
$175,000
Delta
-33.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$14,192
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$67,247
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31320

Home prices YoY
-9.7%
Active inventory
211
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,376 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$499
Net cashflow
$668

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,531
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on marketlisting id $175,000 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 171 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 170 DOM
  4. 2026-01-16
    price $175,000 618-char remark
    Show marketing remark (618 chars)

    Large fixer upper mobile home on a full acre on historic Fort Morris Rd in Midway, GA. This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home has an immense amount of space and can be maximized to have up to as many as 6 bedrooms. You will find not one but TWO different living spaces in this home with a fireplace! The kitchen opens to one of the living spaces and is large with a spacious corner pantry. The primary suite has a walk in closet, shower and separate tub, two sinks and a dressing table. The three guest bedrooms all have sizable closets. This is the deal you have been waiting for! Unlock the potential of this home!

  5. 2026-01-14
    price $175,000 618-char remark
    Show marketing remark (618 chars)

    Large fixer upper mobile home on a full acre on historic Fort Morris Rd in Midway, GA. This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home has an immense amount of space and can be maximized to have up to as many as 6 bedrooms. You will find not one but TWO different living spaces in this home with a fireplace! The kitchen opens to one of the living spaces and is large with a spacious corner pantry. The primary suite has a walk in closet, shower and separate tub, two sinks and a dressing table. The three guest bedrooms all have sizable closets. This is the deal you have been waiting for! Unlock the potential of this home!

  6. 2025-10-14
    listed $200,000 Active 618-char remark
    Show marketing remark (618 chars)

    Large fixer upper mobile home on a full acre on historic Fort Morris Rd in Midway, GA. This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home has an immense amount of space and can be maximized to have up to as many as 6 bedrooms. You will find not one but TWO different living spaces in this home with a fireplace! The kitchen opens to one of the living spaces and is large with a spacious corner pantry. The primary suite has a walk in closet, shower and separate tub, two sinks and a dressing table. The three guest bedrooms all have sizable closets. This is the deal you have been waiting for! Unlock the potential of this home!

  7. 2025-10-14
    listed $200,000 Active 618-char remark
    Show marketing remark (618 chars)

    Large fixer upper mobile home on a full acre on historic Fort Morris Rd in Midway, GA. This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home has an immense amount of space and can be maximized to have up to as many as 6 bedrooms. You will find not one but TWO different living spaces in this home with a fireplace! The kitchen opens to one of the living spaces and is large with a spacious corner pantry. The primary suite has a walk in closet, shower and separate tub, two sinks and a dressing table. The three guest bedrooms all have sizable closets. This is the deal you have been waiting for! Unlock the potential of this home!

  8. 2025-08-12
    listed $175,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,510
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,281
− Management
−$2,281
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$5,555
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,333
After-tax cash flow
$6,677/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Liberty County
NCES district ID
1303300
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$43,911
Composite
20.2/100
National rank
#8630
State rank
#133 of 174 in GA

Livability — Richmond Hill

Score
69/100
State rank
#122
US rank
#8778

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Liberty County · 58,565 people
City population
37,406
Metro
Hinesville, GA
Population (ZIP)
10,794
Household income
$77,195
Rent vs Own
21.4% rent · 78.6% own
Severe rent burden
136.0

Population outlook (Liberty County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,689 people
By 2030
57,670 · -1.7%
By 2040
55,750 · -5.0%
By 2050
54,155 · -7.7%
By 2075
58,947 · +0.4%
By 2100
66,919 · +14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 33% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Liberty

2024 margin
D (+17.4) · D 58.5% · R 41.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.9pp toward R · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 17.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.4 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+30.2 2008: D+28.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.67%
Current HPI
239.3136
Rent YoY
Metro
Hinesville, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $175,000 HABR
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $175,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-10-14 Listed $200,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-10-14 Listed $200,000 HABR
  • 2025-08-12 Listed $175,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $179 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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