2147 Oak Valley Ln · Dallas, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MUST SEE! Investor's dream! SHORT SALE, Pre-foreclosure, BRING ALL OFFERS! BANK MUST APPROVE OFFER! Over sized rooms. Huge master suit with 3 closests, REAR ENTRY GARAGE, LARGE UTILITY ROOM. Buyer to verify all information, measurements and schools.
Key facts
- Exposed wood beams
- Natural light
- Vaulted ceilings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession in 30–60 days; Standard listing; active for sale
- Financial info: Second mortgage present; Listing terms include cash, conventional, FHA, fixed, and owner-carry options
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage; 2-car carport; Garage dimensions approx. 15' wide x 15' long x 10' high
- Security: Burglar alarm; Owned security system
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Sidewalks available; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Preowned (built in 1967)
- Construction: Shingle roof; Built in 1967
- Exterior features: Private yard; Fenced; City street frontage; Asphalt road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Double oven; Ice maker; Trash compactor; Breakfast bar; Built-in cabinets
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Walk-in closets; Two living areas; Two dining areas; Room count of 4; One-level living
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($343/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $245k).
- Recommended offer: $241k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: J N Ervin El (math 17% / reading 20%, grade F, #3,759 of 4,322 statewide, top 88%, 646 students, 98% FRL); Judge Louis A Bedford Jr Law Academy (math 39% / reading 32%, grade F, #827 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 559 students, 97% FRL); David W Carter H S (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,451 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 1,082 students, 80% FRL).
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.50%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $319,976
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2147 Oak Valley Ln | 0.00mi | 3/3.0 | 2,162 (0%) | 0mo | $245,000 | $113 | 98 |
| 2133 Oak Valley Ln | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 2,203 (+2%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $113 | 91 |
| 2224 Reynoldston Ln | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 2,060 (-5%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $175 | 82 |
| 6115 Red Bird Ct | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 2,200 (+2%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $114 | 70 |
| 1720 Meadow Valley Ln | 0.40mi | 3/3.0 | 2,158 (-0%) | 11mo | $434,999 | $202 | 70 |
| 2217 W Red Bird Ln | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 2,010 (-7%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $104 | 58 |
| 1225 W Red Bird Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 2,118 (-2%) | 13mo | $326,000 | $154 | 50 |
| 2207 Trinidad Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,876 (-13%) | 14mo | $278,000 | $148 | 49 |
| 4812 Dove Creek Way | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,041 (-6%) | 7mo | $289,999 | $142 | 48 |
| 5420 Spruce View Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,842 (-15%) | 9mo | $295,000 | $160 | 46 |
| 1438 Boca Chica Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,410 (+12%) | 9mo | $500,000 | $207 | 36 |
| 1431 Oak Meadows Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,856 (-14%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $140 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-37,689
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-29,700
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75232
- Home prices YoY
- -4.0%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,495 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$556 /mo · $6,667/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $29
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $167 | -5% $98 | +0% $29 | +5% $-41 | +10% $-110 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-169 | -5% $-70 | +0% $29 | +5% $127 | +10% $226 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $152 | -0.5pp $91 | base $29 | +0.5pp $-35 | +1.0pp $-99 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6115 Red Bird Ct Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,250 | $1.02 | 9d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1523 Russell Glen Ln Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2088 | $2,350 | $1.13 | 9d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 6530 Talbot Pkwy Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2507 | $2,800 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4921 Jade Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $1,800 | $1.05 | 9d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1135 Holly Glen Cir Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $3,400 | $1.99 | 9d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4318 Lashley Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $2,100 | $1.34 | 7d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1256 Golden Trophy Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $2,750 | $1.76 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4028 Treeline Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1872 | $3,000 | $1.60 | 9d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3716 Ovid Ave Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2554 | $3,200 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 925 Bluewood Dr Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $245,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $245,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $245,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $245,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $245,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $245,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $245,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-20$245,000 Active
-
2026-04-20soldstatus
-
2017-06-02soldstatus
-
2012-03-07historical
-
2012-03-07$1,250 Active
-
2007-09-11soldstatus
-
2007-08-29soldstatus 249-char remark
Show marketing remark (249 chars)
MUST SEE! Investor's dream! SHORT SALE, Pre-foreclosure, BRING ALL OFFERS! BANK MUST APPROVE OFFER! Over sized rooms. Huge master suit with 3 closests, REAR ENTRY GARAGE, LARGE UTILITY ROOM. Buyer to verify all information, measurements and schools.
-
2007-07-13historical 249-char remark
Show marketing remark (249 chars)
MUST SEE! Investor's dream! SHORT SALE, Pre-foreclosure, BRING ALL OFFERS! BANK MUST APPROVE OFFER! Over sized rooms. Huge master suit with 3 closests, REAR ENTRY GARAGE, LARGE UTILITY ROOM. Buyer to verify all information, measurements and schools.
-
2007-01-23$96,000 249-char remark
Show marketing remark (249 chars)
MUST SEE! Investor's dream! SHORT SALE, Pre-foreclosure, BRING ALL OFFERS! BANK MUST APPROVE OFFER! Over sized rooms. Huge master suit with 3 closests, REAR ENTRY GARAGE, LARGE UTILITY ROOM. Buyer to verify all information, measurements and schools.
-
2002-05-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,667 · $556/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,667 · $556/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$6,667
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,395
- − Management
- −$2,395
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$3,593
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$862
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,205/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dallas ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 28.41/100
- National rank
- #6763
- State rank
- #559 of 826 in TX
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #1380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dallas, TX
- City population
- 1,168,437
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,967
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 45% Two or more races 20% White 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 39%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 35%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.24%
- Current HPI
- 389.7618
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+155.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $245,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-06-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-03-07 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2012-03-07 Listed $1,250 NTREIS
- 2007-09-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-08-29 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2007-07-13 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2007-01-23 Listed $96,000 NTREIS
- 2002-05-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $6,667 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…