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3924 37th Ave N
C+ Composite 60.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

3924 37th Ave N · Birmingham, AL 35217
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,070 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1930 8,712 sqft lot $65/sqft · 46% above area Est $48k · 46% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Darling framed style home with lots of charm. Roof installed 4 years ago. Central heating & air. Separate dining room. Large front porch and Large rooms. Spacious kitchen with lots of cabinets

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Inviting front porch
  • Oversized kitchen

Tags

OVERSIZED KITCHENGENEROUS LOTINVITING FRONT PORCHCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $70k implies a 204% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
13.64%
Cash-on-cash
26.24%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$47,903
List price
$69,900
Delta
56.57%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3840 35th Ave N 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,078 (+1%) 13mo $25,000 $23 80
3413 38th Pl N 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-6%) 1mo $30,000 $30 78
3929 41st Ave N 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,120 (+5%) 2mo $52,000 $46 72
4125 40th Ave N 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,144 (+7%) 4mo $67,000 $59 67
4009 44th St N 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,064 (-1%) 9mo $85,000 $80 65
4316 Gadsden St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,048 (-2%) 5mo $50,000 $48 62
4232 42nd St N 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,092 (+2%) 11mo $126,000 $115 60
4300 Pulaski St 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,045 (-2%) 1mo $45,000 $43 59
4125 43rd Ave N 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 981 (-8%) 4mo $28,000 $29 56
4021 43rd Ave N 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,150 (+8%) 10mo $18,000 $16 55
4421 43rd St N 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+12%) 4mo $42,000 $35 44
4344 N 44th Ave 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,018 (-5%) 13mo $108,000 $106 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$16,640
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
29.3%
Equity multiple
3.68×
Total profit
$52,524
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35217

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,165 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,159/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$428

Break-even live

Break-even rent $623
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4028 40th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1186 $950 $0.80 43d 1 0.28mi
4236 39th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 23d 1 0.44mi
4231 40th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1272 $850 $0.67 19d 1 0.45mi
4220 40th Ct N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 948 $1,200 $1.27 43d 1 0.47mi
3823 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 23d 1 0.48mi
3823 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 43d 1 0.48mi
4217 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,200 $1.05 3d 1 0.55mi
4244 Jackson St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 858 $1,100 $1.28 43d 1 0.58mi
4317 41st Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,000 $1.16 43d 1 0.58mi
4316 Gadsden St Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1048 $1,100 $1.05 3d 1 0.58mi
4301 Greenwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,025 $0.90 3d 1 0.67mi
4400 43rd St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1152 $850 $0.74 14d 1 0.73mi
4400 43rd St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1152 $850 $0.74 43d 1 0.73mi
1303 Main St Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1432 $1,300 $0.91 43d 1 0.73mi
4549 40th Pl N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 728 $850 $1.17 43d 1 0.75mi
4329 Pulaski St Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1240 $1,353 $1.09 23d 1 0.77mi
3708 42nd Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 876 $950 $1.08 43d 1 0.77mi
4344 Pulaski St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1268 $1,050 $0.83 43d 1 0.78mi
4329 Harmon St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1227 $950 $0.77 3d 1 0.80mi
4329 Harmon St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1227 $950 $0.77 43d 1 0.80mi
1316 Spring St Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 920 $1,195 $1.30 3d 1 0.83mi
3376 34th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 928 $1,200 $1.29 3d 1 0.90mi
1217 43rd St N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 43d 1 1.00mi
4513 13th Ave N Birmingham, AL 2.0 2.0 778 $1,175 $1.51 23d 1 1.02mi
4101 50th Ave N Unit B Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $900 $1.06 43d 1 1.03mi
732 Fulton Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1320 $1,450 $1.10 43d 1 1.04mi
4208 50th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,200 $1.09 43d 1 1.05mi
4925 43rd Way N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,461 $1.19 1d 1 1.07mi
3376 34th St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 928 $1,200 $1.29 23d 1 1.07mi
3376 34th St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 928 $1,200 $1.29 11d 1 1.07mi
5015 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 43d 1 1.10mi
3373 33rd Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,150 $1.26 3d 1 1.11mi
1117 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1026 $900 $0.88 43d 1 1.12mi
5025 43rd Pl N Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1017 $1,300 $1.28 43d 1 1.16mi
1017 Cahaba St Birmingham, AL 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,350 $1.30 3d 1 1.16mi
3920 11th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,025 $0.85 2d 1 1.17mi
1601 48th St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1313 $1,200 $0.91 23d 1 1.19mi
1101 47th St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,200 $0.93 23d 1 1.25mi
1045 Waverly St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,000 $0.99 43d 1 1.27mi
1224 Maple St Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 812 $690 $0.85 19d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $69,900 Active 1 DOM
  6. 2026-03-14
    price $75,000
  7. 2022-08-27
    price $995
  8. 2018-07-27
    soldstatus $23,000 Sold 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Darling framed style home with lots of charm. Roof installed 4 years ago. Central heating & air. Separate dining room. Large front porch and Large rooms. Spacious kitchen with lots of cabinets

  9. 2018-06-22
    historical 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Darling framed style home with lots of charm. Roof installed 4 years ago. Central heating & air. Separate dining room. Large front porch and Large rooms. Spacious kitchen with lots of cabinets

  10. 2018-04-12
    listed $25,000 Active 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Darling framed style home with lots of charm. Roof installed 4 years ago. Central heating & air. Separate dining room. Large front porch and Large rooms. Spacious kitchen with lots of cabinets

  11. 2017-07-12
    price $24,500
  12. 2016-11-07
    price $34,900
  13. 2000-10-27
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,159 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,159 · $97/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,978
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,159
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,118
− Management
−$1,118
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$4,285
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,028
After-tax cash flow
$4,108/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
12,240
Household income
$40,486
Rent vs Own
52.5% rent · 47.5% own
Severe rent burden
594.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.54%
Current HPI
117.416
Rent YoY
▲ 3.58%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $75,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-08-27 Price Changed $995 RENT.
  • 2018-07-27 Sold (MLS) $23,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-06-22 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-04-12 Listed $25,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2017-07-12 Price Changed $24,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2016-11-07 Price Changed $34,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2000-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,159 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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