3924 37th Ave N · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Darling framed style home with lots of charm. Roof installed 4 years ago. Central heating & air. Separate dining room. Large front porch and Large rooms. Spacious kitchen with lots of cabinets
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Inviting front porch
- Oversized kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $70k implies a 204% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.24%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $47,903
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- 56.57%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3840 35th Ave N | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,078 (+1%) | 13mo | $25,000 | $23 | 80 |
| 3413 38th Pl N | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-6%) | 1mo | $30,000 | $30 | 78 |
| 3929 41st Ave N | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (+5%) | 2mo | $52,000 | $46 | 72 |
| 4125 40th Ave N | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (+7%) | 4mo | $67,000 | $59 | 67 |
| 4009 44th St N | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-1%) | 9mo | $85,000 | $80 | 65 |
| 4316 Gadsden St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,048 (-2%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $48 | 62 |
| 4232 42nd St N | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (+2%) | 11mo | $126,000 | $115 | 60 |
| 4300 Pulaski St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,045 (-2%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $43 | 59 |
| 4125 43rd Ave N | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 981 (-8%) | 4mo | $28,000 | $29 | 56 |
| 4021 43rd Ave N | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,150 (+8%) | 10mo | $18,000 | $16 | 55 |
| 4421 43rd St N | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+12%) | 4mo | $42,000 | $35 | 44 |
| 4344 N 44th Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,018 (-5%) | 13mo | $108,000 | $106 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $16,640
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $52,524
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35217
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,165 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,159/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $428
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4028 40th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $950 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4236 39th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4231 40th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $850 | $0.67 | 19d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4220 40th Ct N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3823 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3823 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4217 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4244 Jackson St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,100 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4317 41st Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,000 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4316 Gadsden St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4301 Greenwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,025 | $0.90 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4400 43rd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $850 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4400 43rd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $850 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1303 Main St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,300 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4549 40th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $850 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4329 Pulaski St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,353 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3708 42nd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $950 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4344 Pulaski St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,050 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4329 Harmon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1227 | $950 | $0.77 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4329 Harmon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1227 | $950 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1316 Spring St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,195 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3376 34th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1217 43rd St N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4513 13th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 778 | $1,175 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4101 50th Ave N Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $900 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 732 Fulton Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4208 50th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4925 43rd Way N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,461 | $1.19 | 1d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3376 34th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3376 34th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 11d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5015 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3373 33rd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,150 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1117 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $900 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5025 43rd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,300 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1017 Cahaba St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3920 11th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,025 | $0.85 | 2d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1601 48th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1313 | $1,200 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1101 47th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,200 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1045 Waverly St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1224 Maple St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $690 | $0.85 | 19d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricestatusdays on market $69,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-03-14price $75,000
-
2022-08-27price $995
-
2018-07-27soldstatus $23,000 Sold 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Darling framed style home with lots of charm. Roof installed 4 years ago. Central heating & air. Separate dining room. Large front porch and Large rooms. Spacious kitchen with lots of cabinets
-
2018-06-22historical 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Darling framed style home with lots of charm. Roof installed 4 years ago. Central heating & air. Separate dining room. Large front porch and Large rooms. Spacious kitchen with lots of cabinets
-
2018-04-12$25,000 Active 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Darling framed style home with lots of charm. Roof installed 4 years ago. Central heating & air. Separate dining room. Large front porch and Large rooms. Spacious kitchen with lots of cabinets
-
2017-07-12price $24,500
-
2016-11-07price $34,900
-
2000-10-27soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,159 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,159 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,978
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,159
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,118
- − Management
- −$1,118
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $4,285
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,028
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,108/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,240
- Household income
- $40,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 594.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.54%
- Current HPI
- 117.416
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.58%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+150.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $75,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-08-27 Price Changed $995 RENT.
- 2018-07-27 Sold (MLS) $23,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-06-22 Delisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-04-12 Listed $25,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2017-07-12 Price Changed $24,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-11-07 Price Changed $34,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2000-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,159 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…