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917 Baltimore St
B- Composite 69.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,995

917 Baltimore St · Penn, PA 17331
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,020 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1920 7,405 sqft lot Est $221k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Short Sale. Buyer pays $6,000 loss mitigation fee. Enter at your own risk. ONE SHOWING WINDOW ONLY, SUNDAY MARCH 1, BETWEEN 1pm and 3pm.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Close to shopping
  • 7,405 sq ft lot

Tags

SPACIOUS YARDSOUTH WESTERN SCHOOL DISTRICTCLOSE TO SHOPPINGEASY ACCESS TO AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public septic; Hot water supplied by natural gas
  • Home design: Detached property; Above-grade finished area (estimated)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Above-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; No tidal water on the lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; Two bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window cooling units (electric)
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,637 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • South Western SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #206 of 539 in PA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $95k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,120 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.08%
Cash-on-cash
9.94%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$221,340
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
917 Baltimore St 0.00mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,020 (0%) 2mo $95,000 $93 94
9 Little Knoll Dr 0.22mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,128 (+11%) 5mo $310,000 $275 59
15 Wilmar Ave 0.47mi 2/2.0 998 (-2%) 18mo $205,000 $205 58
522 S High St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 988 (-3%) 2mo $244,900 $248 53
407 Wirt Ave 0.59mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,092 (+7%) 10mo $257,000 $235 47
402 Wirt Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 1,092 (+7%) 13mo $170,000 $156 47
400 Wirt Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,124 (+10%) 7mo $255,000 $227 41
100 Lion Dr 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,020 (0%) 24mo $200,000 $196 41
9 Lafayette St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,104 (+8%) 10mo $239,900 $217 37
12 Willow Ct 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 941 (-8%) 22mo $177,200 $188 37
541 S Franklin St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,124 (+10%) 6mo $220,000 $196 36
20 Hill St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,140 (+12%) 14mo $250,000 $219 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$923
Equity at exit
$18,637
10-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$36,092
Equity at exit
$10,807

Cash invested: $34,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17331

Home prices YoY
-33.8%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
386
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,550 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$227 /mo · $2,724/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$290

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,183
Max offer price $124,995
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,249
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1234 Baltimore St Unit 4 Hanover, PA 2.0 1.0 784 $475 $0.61 43d 1 0.62mi
101 Pacer Dr Unit K Hanover, PA 3.0 2.5 1252 $1,846 $1.47 43d 1 0.78mi
101 Pacer Dr Unit M Hanover, PA 3.0 2.5 1252 $1,751 $1.40 43d 1 0.78mi
101 Pacer Dr Unit L Hanover, PA 3.0 2.5 1252 $1,901 $1.52 13d 1 0.78mi
807 W Alvin St Unit 835 Hanover, PA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,000 $1.43 20d 1 1.13mi
807 W Alvin St Hanover, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 625 $1,000 $1.60 13d 2 1.15mi
24 E Middle St Apt A Hanover, PA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,400 $2.00 13d 1 1.29mi
1004 Admiral Ln Apt 301 Hanover, PA 1.0 1.0 991 $1,657 $1.67 20d 1 1.43mi
1006 Admiral Ln Unit 101 Hanover, PA 1.0 1.0 847 $1,545 $1.82 43d 1 1.44mi
1014 Crew St Unit 303 Hanover, PA 1.0 1.0 924 $1,606 $1.74 20d 1 1.46mi
1001 Admiral Ln Unit 108 Hanover, PA 1.0 1.0 774 $1,571 $2.03 20d 1 1.48mi
1003 Admiral Ln Unit 204 Hanover, PA 2.0 2.0 1039 $1,749 $1.68 43d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,995 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,995 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,995 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,995 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $124,995 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,995 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,995 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,995 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,995 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,995 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    remarks 572-char remark
  12. 2026-05-31
    listed $134,995 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,724 · $227/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,724 · $227/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,599
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,724
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,488
− Management
−$1,488
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$1,637
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$393
After-tax cash flow
$3,086/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Western SD
NCES district ID
4222470
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$67,689
Composite
41.5/100
National rank
#3456
State rank
#206 of 539 in PA

Livability — Penn

Score
56/100
State rank
#1637
US rank
#22584

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Parkville, PA
County
York County · 278,806 people
Metro
York-Hanover, PA
Population (ZIP)
56,443
Household income
$79,488
Rent vs Own
23.6% rent · 76.4% own
Severe rent burden
1076.0

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
454,205 people
By 2030
457,407 · +0.7%
By 2040
457,529 · +0.7%
By 2050
448,261 · -1.3%
By 2075
427,388 · -5.9%
By 2100
384,218 · -15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.48%
Current HPI
251.8974
Rent YoY
▲ 4.67%
Metro
York-Hanover, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+132.8% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $134,995 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-05 Sold (MLS) $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-03 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $118,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-18 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-17 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-11 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-10 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-14 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $149,000 Public Records
  • 2006-06-21 Sold (MLS) $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-03-20 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 2005-09-16 Sold (MLS) $58,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-09-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-08-29 Listed $58,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,724 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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