1855 W Wickenburg Way #133 · Wickenburg, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.8/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$56,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come see a hidden treasure at Country Club Mobile Home Park! Featuring some of the best views in the area, this home sits on a full-sized lot at the top of the park, on Aircleta Drive. Here you will find a brand new HVAC system, a very nicely enclosed carport with a security gate, and some beautiful home furnishings included in the sale! Extend the living space with your covered patios! Quiet area, good neighbors and guess what? A bonus room with stackable washer/dryer and half-bathroom! Roof is in great shape, under the home is nice and clean (both recently evaluated) and the sewer connections have been recently serviced. Living room features amazing views and a handy electric fireplace. T
Key facts
- Enclosed carport
- Covered patios
- Security gate
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease community (monthly land lease payment); Land lease $753 per month; Association covers sewer, water, street maintenance and grounds maintenance; Community amenities include pool, fitness center, biking/walking path and community laundry
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered parking space; 1 carport space; Gated parking
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer (connected)
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold ownership
- Construction: Wood siding and wood frame construction; Composition roof; Building area reported by owner
- Exterior features: Storage; Desert front and desert back lot characteristics; Asphalt road access; City, desert, panoramic, city lights and mountain views
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Kitchen island
- Bedrooms: Up to 2 possible bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (2 total)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Heat pump cooling; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Kitchen island; Full bathroom in the master bedroom; Zero-grade entry and multiple entries/exits
- Laundry & utility: Community laundry available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $56k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $56k).
- Cap rate 28.6% vs local median 3.0% in Wickenburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#41 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Wickenburg Unified District (4236) (rural): math 33% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 249 in AZ (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hassayampa Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #471 of 1,109 statewide, top 44%, 284 students, 50% FRL); Vulture Peak Middle School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #84 of 218 statewide, top 41%, 162 students, 51% FRL); Wickenburg High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #120 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 460 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 378 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 79.72%
- DSCR
- 4.55
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $54,000
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1855 W Wickenburg Way Way #119 | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (0%) | 2mo | $37,500 | $42 | 93 |
| 1855 W Wickenburg Way Way #95 | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 860 (-4%) | 13mo | $46,900 | $55 | 77 |
| 1855 W Wickenburg Way #108 | 0.06mi | 2/1.5 | 978 (+9%) | 10mo | $58,500 | $60 | 74 |
| 1855 W Wickenburg Way #36 | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (-11%) | 19mo | $50,000 | $63 | 62 |
| 2123 W Smoketree Dr | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+7%) | 18mo | $229,000 | $239 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 79.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.65×
- Total profit
- $57,300
- Equity at exit
- $8,350
- IRR
- 83.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.64×
- Total profit
- $135,439
- Equity at exit
- $4,842
Cash invested: $15,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85390
- Home prices YoY
- -17.4%
- Active inventory
- 378
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,808 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$294
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$70 /mo · $840/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $1,042
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,080 | -5% $1,061 | +0% $1,042 | +5% $1,022 | +10% $1,003 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $899 | -5% $970 | +0% $1,042 | +5% $1,113 | +10% $1,185 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,070 | -0.5pp $1,056 | base $1,042 | +0.5pp $1,027 | +1.0pp $1,012 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,000
- Closing costs
- $1,680
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 540 S West Rd #25 Wickenburg, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,800 | $2.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 540 S West Rd #30 Wickenburg, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,600 | $2.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 540 S West Rd Unit 20 Wickenburg, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,800 | $2.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 540 S West Rd Unit 21 Wickenburg, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,800 | $2.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 540 S West Rd #24 Wickenburg, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $2,200 | $2.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 540 S West Rd Wickenburg, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,700 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$56,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥109°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,702
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,137
- − Property taxes
- −$840
- − Insurance
- −$280
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,736
- − Management
- −$1,736
- − Depreciation
- −$1,629
- Taxable income
- $12,344
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,962
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,538/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home offers a good condition with a good roof and exterior, and a new HVAC system. Minor repairs and maintenance are needed, and updates to the exterior and landscaping can significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Carport roof — Slight discoloration visible on the carport roof.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
- Both Replace carport roof — Minor repairs can improve both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can boost both resale and rental appeal.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Carport roof · Slight discoloration visible on the carport roof. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 1 items | $500–3,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value. ↑
- Both Replace carport roof — Minor repairs can improve both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can boost both resale and rental appeal. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wickenburg Unified District (4236)
- NCES district ID
- 0409190
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,369
- Composite
- 29.27/100
- National rank
- #6560
- State rank
- #92 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Wickenburg
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #7975
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wickenburg, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 10,298
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,298
- Household income
- $68,591
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 251.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.26%
- Current HPI
- 314.3169
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $56,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…