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1855 W Wickenburg Way #133
B- Composite 68.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.8/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$56,000

1855 W Wickenburg Way #133 · Wickenburg, AZ 85390
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 900 sqft · Manufactured · 1 Days on market
Built 1968 Good condition Est $54k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come see a hidden treasure at Country Club Mobile Home Park! Featuring some of the best views in the area, this home sits on a full-sized lot at the top of the park, on Aircleta Drive. Here you will find a brand new HVAC system, a very nicely enclosed carport with a security gate, and some beautiful home furnishings included in the sale! Extend the living space with your covered patios! Quiet area, good neighbors and guess what? A bonus room with stackable washer/dryer and half-bathroom! Roof is in great shape, under the home is nice and clean (both recently evaluated) and the sewer connections have been recently serviced. Living room features amazing views and a handy electric fireplace. T

Key facts

  • Enclosed carport
  • Covered patios
  • Security gate

Tags

FULL SIZED LOTBRAND NEW HVAC SYSTEMENCLOSED CARPORTSECURITY GATECOVERED PATIOSBONUS ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Land lease community (monthly land lease payment); Land lease $753 per month; Association covers sewer, water, street maintenance and grounds maintenance; Community amenities include pool, fitness center, biking/walking path and community laundry

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 covered parking space; 1 carport space; Gated parking
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer (connected)
  • Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold ownership
  • Construction: Wood siding and wood frame construction; Composition roof; Building area reported by owner
  • Exterior features: Storage; Desert front and desert back lot characteristics; Asphalt road access; City, desert, panoramic, city lights and mountain views

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Kitchen island
  • Bedrooms: Up to 2 possible bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (2 total)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Heat pump cooling; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Kitchen island; Full bathroom in the master bedroom; Zero-grade entry and multiple entries/exits
  • Laundry & utility: Community laundry available

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $56k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $56k).
  • Cap rate 28.6% vs local median 3.0% in Wickenburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#41 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Wickenburg Unified District (4236) (rural): math 33% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 249 in AZ (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hassayampa Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #471 of 1,109 statewide, top 44%, 284 students, 50% FRL); Vulture Peak Middle School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #84 of 218 statewide, top 41%, 162 students, 51% FRL); Wickenburg High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #120 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 460 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 378 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $56,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.23%
Cap rate
28.62%
Cash-on-cash
79.72%
DSCR
4.55
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$54,000
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1855 W Wickenburg Way Way #119 0.06mi 2/1.0 900 (0%) 2mo $37,500 $42 93
1855 W Wickenburg Way Way #95 0.05mi 2/1.0 860 (-4%) 13mo $46,900 $55 77
1855 W Wickenburg Way #108 0.06mi 2/1.5 978 (+9%) 10mo $58,500 $60 74
1855 W Wickenburg Way #36 0.05mi 2/2.0 800 (-11%) 19mo $50,000 $63 62
2123 W Smoketree Dr 0.43mi 2/2.0 960 (+7%) 18mo $229,000 $239 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
79.9%
Equity multiple
4.65×
Total profit
$57,300
Equity at exit
$8,350
10-year hold
IRR
83.3%
Equity multiple
9.64×
Total profit
$135,439
Equity at exit
$4,842

Cash invested: $15,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85390

Home prices YoY
-17.4%
Active inventory
378
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,808 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$294
Tax est. 1.5%
$70 /mo · $840/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$1,042

Break-even live

Break-even rent $490
Max offer price $56,000
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,080 -5% $1,061 +0% $1,042 +5% $1,022 +10% $1,003
Rent -10% $899 -5% $970 +0% $1,042 +5% $1,113 +10% $1,185
Rate -1.0pp $1,070 -0.5pp $1,056 base $1,042 +0.5pp $1,027 +1.0pp $1,012

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,000
Closing costs
$1,680
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
540 S West Rd #25 Wickenburg, AZ 1.0 1.0 625 $1,800 $2.88 22d 1 0.12mi
540 S West Rd #30 Wickenburg, AZ 1.0 1.0 625 $1,600 $2.56 25d 1 0.12mi
540 S West Rd Unit 20 Wickenburg, AZ 2.0 1.0 792 $1,800 $2.27 25d 1 0.13mi
540 S West Rd Unit 21 Wickenburg, AZ 2.0 1.0 792 $1,800 $2.27 22d 1 0.13mi
540 S West Rd #24 Wickenburg, AZ 3.0 1.0 894 $2,200 $2.46 25d 1 0.14mi
540 S West Rd Wickenburg, AZ 2.0 1.0 792 $1,700 $2.15 25d 1 0.14mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $56,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥109°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,702
− Mortgage interest
−$3,137
− Property taxes
−$840
− Insurance
−$280
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,736
− Management
−$1,736
− Depreciation
−$1,629
Taxable income
$12,344
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,962
After-tax cash flow
$9,538/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home offers a good condition with a good roof and exterior, and a new HVAC system. Minor repairs and maintenance are needed, and updates to the exterior and landscaping can significantly increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Carport roof — Slight discoloration visible on the carport roof.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Both Replace carport roof — Minor repairs can improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can boost both resale and rental appeal.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Carport roof · Slight discoloration visible on the carport roof. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 1 items $500–3,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Both Replace carport roof — Minor repairs can improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can boost both resale and rental appeal.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wickenburg Unified District (4236)
NCES district ID
0409190
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,369
Composite
29.27/100
National rank
#6560
State rank
#92 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Wickenburg

Score
70/100
State rank
#41
US rank
#7975

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wickenburg, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
10,298
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
10,298
Household income
$68,591
Rent vs Own
17.9% rent · 82.1% own
Severe rent burden
251.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.26%
Current HPI
314.3169
Rent YoY
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $56,000 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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