🏷️ Likely Rental
205 S 54th St #12 · Springfield, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this stunning, professionally designed 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom manufactured home in Chalet Village, a vibrant 55+ community full of amenities. Built in 1974, this home has been completely remodeled with modern finishes and high-end upgrades, blending timeless charm with contemporary luxury. Step inside to enjoy an open living space with beautiful new flooring, fresh paint, new walls with added insulation, and stylish tile countertops. The ductless mini-split system provides efficient heating and cooling with low electric bills. The bathroom has been thoughtfully updated with a new toilet, stone flooring, and upscale, spa-inspired touches. Offered at just $39,900, this charming home is an incredible value. For only $3,000 more ($42,900) you can make this truly move-in ready - purchasing it fully furnished, professionally curated by an interior designer, includes nearly everything you see—from the dining table and chairs, cozy couch, electric fireplace, Lexington sofa back table, accent chair and ottoman, tasteful wall décor, and two queen beds—including one brand new. Every detail has been carefully selected to create a refined, move-in-ready retreat. Step outside to your own private oasis on the front porch with lighting and curtains—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. The landscaping is meticulously maintained with decorative river rock, and there’s a covered carport with a storage shed for convenience. Chalet Village offers a welcoming, connected lifestyle with a recreation center, dining hall, billiards room, sauna, and seasonal pool. This home is perfect for someone relocating or seeking a fresh start in a peaceful, low-maintenance, and luxurious environment. Space rent is $1,015/month; buyer must be approved by the park. Schedule your private tour today!
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- Completely remodeled
- New flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $920 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 34.0% vs local median 3.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#40 in OR, #934 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment D+.
- Springfield SD 19 (suburban): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #48 of 58 in OR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 98.82%
- DSCR
- 5.40
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $56,758
- List price
- $39,900
- Delta
- -29.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 S 54th St #35 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 880 (+1%) | 14mo | $35,500 | $40 | 86 |
| 205 S 54th St #64 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+6%) | 8mo | $30,000 | $32 | 83 |
| 205 S 54th St #115 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+6%) | 9mo | $39,000 | $42 | 82 |
| 205 S 54th St #117 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (-8%) | 8mo | $9,000 | $11 | 81 |
| 5335 Main St #229 | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+3%) | 8mo | $27,650 | $31 | 76 |
| 5335 Main St #187 | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-10%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $70 | 71 |
| 5335 Daisy St #131 | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (+6%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $43 | 70 |
| 5179 Daisy St | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+6%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $271 | 65 |
| 621 S 57th Pl | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 936 (+8%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $267 | 62 |
| 5660 Daisy St #44 | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+11%) | 10mo | $258,000 | $269 | 61 |
| 524 S 53rd St | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+11%) | 16mo | $190,000 | $198 | 55 |
| 5335 Daisy St #58 | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-10%) | 14mo | $57,000 | $73 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.72×
- Total profit
- $52,737
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.09×
- Total profit
- $123,873
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97478
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 263
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,514 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $598/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $920
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176 S 53rd St Unit 04 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 971 | $1,250 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 5312 Main St Unit 14 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,199 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5312 Main St Unit 13 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,299 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 421 S 58th St Unit 00136 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 5817 Aster St Apt 3 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4830 Elderberry Loop Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,595 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4885 Aster St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,734 | $1.73 | 13d | 18 | 0.75mi |
| 4800 B St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,662 | $1.72 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5040 E St #12 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,895 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5040 E St #1 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5040 E St #21 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1075 56th Pl Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,795 | $1.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 274 S 47th St Unit B Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,150 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5580 High Banks Rd Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,590 | $1.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4625 Main St Unit 8 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,250 | $1.92 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $39,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $39,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $39,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $39,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-15$39,900 Active 1829-char remark
Show marketing remark (1829 chars)
Welcome to this stunning, professionally designed 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom manufactured home in Chalet Village, a vibrant 55+ community full of amenities. Built in 1974, this home has been completely remodeled with modern finishes and high-end upgrades, blending timeless charm with contemporary luxury. Step inside to enjoy an open living space with beautiful new flooring, fresh paint, new walls with added insulation, and stylish tile countertops. The ductless mini-split system provides efficient heating and cooling with low electric bills. The bathroom has been thoughtfully updated with a new toilet, stone flooring, and upscale, spa-inspired touches. Offered at just $39,900, this charming home is an incredible value. For only $3,000 more ($42,900) you can make this truly move-in ready - purchasing it fully furnished, professionally curated by an interior designer, includes nearly everything you see—from the dining table and chairs, cozy couch, electric fireplace, Lexington sofa back table, accent chair and ottoman, tasteful wall décor, and two queen beds—including one brand new. Every detail has been carefully selected to create a refined, move-in-ready retreat. Step outside to your own private oasis on the front porch with lighting and curtains—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. The landscaping is meticulously maintained with decorative river rock, and there’s a covered carport with a storage shed for convenience. Chalet Village offers a welcoming, connected lifestyle with a recreation center, dining hall, billiards room, sauna, and seasonal pool. This home is perfect for someone relocating or seeking a fresh start in a peaceful, low-maintenance, and luxurious environment. Space rent is $1,015/month; buyer must be approved by the park. Schedule your private tour today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,164
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$598
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,453
- − Management
- −$1,453
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $11,064
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,655
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,385/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield SD 19
- NCES district ID
- 4111670
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,236
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7746
- State rank
- #48 of 58 in OR
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #934
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 76,907
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,373
- Household income
- $80,086
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 904.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -395.83%
- Current HPI
- 302.9203
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.38%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $39,900 RMLS
Property tax history
-40.0%/yrLatest (2015): $6 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…