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205 S 54th St #12 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 77.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

205 S 54th St #12 · Springfield, OR 97478
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 868 sqft · Manufactured public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1974 $46/sqft · 30% below area Est $57k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this stunning, professionally designed 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom manufactured home in Chalet Village, a vibrant 55+ community full of amenities. Built in 1974, this home has been completely remodeled with modern finishes and high-end upgrades, blending timeless charm with contemporary luxury. Step inside to enjoy an open living space with beautiful new flooring, fresh paint, new walls with added insulation, and stylish tile countertops. The ductless mini-split system provides efficient heating and cooling with low electric bills. The bathroom has been thoughtfully updated with a new toilet, stone flooring, and upscale, spa-inspired touches. Offered at just $39,900, this charming home is an incredible value. For only $3,000 more ($42,900) you can make this truly move-in ready - purchasing it fully furnished, professionally curated by an interior designer, includes nearly everything you see—from the dining table and chairs, cozy couch, electric fireplace, Lexington sofa back table, accent chair and ottoman, tasteful wall décor, and two queen beds—including one brand new. Every detail has been carefully selected to create a refined, move-in-ready retreat. Step outside to your own private oasis on the front porch with lighting and curtains—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. The landscaping is meticulously maintained with decorative river rock, and there’s a covered carport with a storage shed for convenience. Chalet Village offers a welcoming, connected lifestyle with a recreation center, dining hall, billiards room, sauna, and seasonal pool. This home is perfect for someone relocating or seeking a fresh start in a peaceful, low-maintenance, and luxurious environment. Space rent is $1,015/month; buyer must be approved by the park. Schedule your private tour today!

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • Completely remodeled
  • New flooring

Tags

PROFESSIONALLY DESIGNEDCOMPLETELY REMODELEDOPEN LIVING SPACENEW FLOORINGFRESH PAINTADDED INSULATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $39,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$56,758) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $920 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 34.0% vs local median 3.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#40 in OR, #934 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment D+.
  • Springfield SD 19 (suburban): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #48 of 58 in OR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $37,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.79%
Cap rate
33.96%
Cash-on-cash
98.82%
DSCR
5.40
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$56,758
List price
$39,900
Delta
-29.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
205 S 54th St #35 0.00mi 2/2.0 880 (+1%) 14mo $35,500 $40 86
205 S 54th St #64 0.00mi 2/2.0 924 (+6%) 8mo $30,000 $32 83
205 S 54th St #115 0.00mi 2/2.0 924 (+6%) 9mo $39,000 $42 82
205 S 54th St #117 0.00mi 2/2.0 800 (-8%) 8mo $9,000 $11 81
5335 Main St #229 0.16mi 2/1.0 896 (+3%) 8mo $27,650 $31 76
5335 Main St #187 0.16mi 2/1.0 784 (-10%) 2mo $55,000 $70 71
5335 Daisy St #131 0.28mi 2/1.0 924 (+6%) 3mo $40,000 $43 70
5179 Daisy St 0.35mi 2/2.0 924 (+6%) 9mo $250,000 $271 65
621 S 57th Pl 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 936 (+8%) 7mo $250,000 $267 62
5660 Daisy St #44 0.19mi 2/1.0 960 (+11%) 10mo $258,000 $269 61
524 S 53rd St 0.29mi 2/2.0 960 (+11%) 16mo $190,000 $198 55
5335 Daisy St #58 0.28mi 2/1.0 784 (-10%) 14mo $57,000 $73 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.72×
Total profit
$52,737
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.09×
Total profit
$123,873
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97478

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
263
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,514 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $598/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$920

Break-even live

Break-even rent $349
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
176 S 53rd St Unit 04 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.5 971 $1,250 $1.29 43d 1 0.22mi
5312 Main St Unit 14 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 780 $1,199 $1.54 43d 1 0.26mi
5312 Main St Unit 13 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 780 $1,299 $1.67 43d 1 0.26mi
421 S 58th St Unit 00136 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 13d 1 0.38mi
5817 Aster St Apt 3 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,295 $1.29 13d 1 0.42mi
4830 Elderberry Loop Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 950 $1,595 $1.68 43d 1 0.66mi
4885 Aster St Springfield, OR 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,734 $1.73 13d 18 0.75mi
4800 B St Springfield, OR 2.0 2.0 968 $1,662 $1.72 13d 1 0.80mi
5040 E St #12 Springfield, OR 3.0 1.0 912 $1,895 $2.08 43d 1 0.81mi
5040 E St #1 Springfield, OR 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 13d 1 0.81mi
5040 E St #21 Springfield, OR 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,795 $1.79 13d 1 0.81mi
1075 56th Pl Springfield, OR 3.0 1.0 904 $1,795 $1.99 43d 1 0.86mi
274 S 47th St Unit B Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 940 $1,150 $1.22 21d 1 0.94mi
5580 High Banks Rd Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 800 $1,590 $1.99 43d 1 0.96mi
4625 Main St Unit 8 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 650 $1,250 $1.92 13d 1 1.03mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,900 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,900 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,900 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,900 Active 49 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,900 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,900 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $39,900 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-04-15
    listed $39,900 Active 1829-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1829 chars)

    Welcome to this stunning, professionally designed 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom manufactured home in Chalet Village, a vibrant 55+ community full of amenities. Built in 1974, this home has been completely remodeled with modern finishes and high-end upgrades, blending timeless charm with contemporary luxury. Step inside to enjoy an open living space with beautiful new flooring, fresh paint, new walls with added insulation, and stylish tile countertops. The ductless mini-split system provides efficient heating and cooling with low electric bills. The bathroom has been thoughtfully updated with a new toilet, stone flooring, and upscale, spa-inspired touches. Offered at just $39,900, this charming home is an incredible value. For only $3,000 more ($42,900) you can make this truly move-in ready - purchasing it fully furnished, professionally curated by an interior designer, includes nearly everything you see—from the dining table and chairs, cozy couch, electric fireplace, Lexington sofa back table, accent chair and ottoman, tasteful wall décor, and two queen beds—including one brand new. Every detail has been carefully selected to create a refined, move-in-ready retreat. Step outside to your own private oasis on the front porch with lighting and curtains—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. The landscaping is meticulously maintained with decorative river rock, and there’s a covered carport with a storage shed for convenience. Chalet Village offers a welcoming, connected lifestyle with a recreation center, dining hall, billiards room, sauna, and seasonal pool. This home is perfect for someone relocating or seeking a fresh start in a peaceful, low-maintenance, and luxurious environment. Space rent is $1,015/month; buyer must be approved by the park. Schedule your private tour today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,164
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$598
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,453
− Management
−$1,453
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$11,064
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,655
After-tax cash flow
$8,385/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield SD 19
NCES district ID
4111670
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$42,236
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7746
State rank
#48 of 58 in OR

Livability — Springfield

Score
83/100
State rank
#40
US rank
#934

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, OR
County
Lane County · 310,476 people
City population
76,907
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
Population (ZIP)
39,373
Household income
$80,086
Rent vs Own
31.0% rent · 69.0% own
Severe rent burden
904.0

Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
391,933 people
By 2030
405,860 · +3.6%
By 2040
429,386 · +9.6%
By 2050
452,016 · +15.3%
By 2075
508,825 · +29.8%
By 2100
531,208 · +35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lane

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -395.83%
Current HPI
302.9203
Rent YoY
▲ 3.38%
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $39,900 RMLS

Property tax history

-40.0%/yr

Latest (2015): $6 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…