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1546 W 1st St
D+ Composite 49.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,900

1546 W 1st St · Dayton, OH 45402
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,332 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1885 5,279 sqft lot $71/sqft · 223% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover a harmonious blend of classic charm and contemporary comfort in this inviting Dayton residence. This property offers an exceptional opportunity for a sophisticated lifestyle, seamlessly integrating spacious living with thoughtful design across two well-appointed stories. With three generously sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, this home provides ample space for relaxation and personal sanctuary. The expansive living area, spanning 2332 square feet, ensures comfortable gatherings and everyday living. The sizable lot, encompassing 0.12 acres, offers a private outdoor retreat, perfect for enjoying the pleasant Dayton weather. Situated in a vibrant community, this address provides

Key facts

  • 5,279 sq ft lot
  • Built 1885
  • Listed 44 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water and sewer (assumed from typical connections)
  • Home design: Two-story home; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Residential lot (approx. 0.12 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the second floor)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window AC units
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (5.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $165k implies a 358% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $156,495 (5.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.94%
Cash-on-cash
5.87%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$51,091
List price
$164,900
Delta
222.76%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1507 W 2nd St 0.08mi 4/1.0 2,252 (-3%) 3mo $30,000 $13 84
1527 W 1st St 0.04mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,240 (-4%) 6mo $37,000 $17 81
139 Cambria Ct 0.33mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,215 (-5%) 2mo $419,000 $189 68
216 S Conover St 0.36mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,128 (-9%) 1mo $140,000 $66 59
915 Superior Ave 0.65mi 5/1.0 (+1) 2,386 (+2%) 2mo $112,000 $47 55
1407 W Grand Ave 0.72mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,352 (+1%) 8mo $45,500 $19 51
857 Saint Agnes Ave 0.53mi 4/1.5 2,098 (-10%) 10mo $76,000 $36 48
1606 W Grand Ave 0.70mi 4/1.5 2,148 (-8%) 5mo $73,500 $34 48
905 Superior Ave 0.65mi 4/2.0 2,121 (-9%) 10mo $49,133 $23 46
714 Superior Ave 0.71mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,400 (+3%) 18mo $96,500 $40 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-10,844
Equity at exit
$24,587
10-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$15,362
Equity at exit
$14,258

Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45402

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,565 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $926/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$329
Net cashflow
$226

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,279
Max offer price $164,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $319 -5% $272 +0% $226 +5% $179 +10% $132
Rent -10% $102 -5% $164 +0% $226 +5% $288 +10% $349
Rate -1.0pp $309 -0.5pp $268 base $226 +0.5pp $183 +1.0pp $139

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,225
Closing costs
$4,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
127 Mound St Dayton, OH 3.0 3.0 1726 $1,600 $0.93 15d 1 0.61mi
1011 N Broadway St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1700 $950 $0.56 44d 1 0.75mi
942 Harvard Blvd Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1596 $1,200 $0.75 4d 1 1.13mi
932 Harvard Blvd Dayton, OH 5.0 2.0 1986 $1,500 $0.76 44d 1 1.13mi
132 Wroe Ave Unit 132 Dayton, OH 3.0 2.5 1934 $1,297 $0.67 44d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $164,900 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $164,900 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $164,900 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $164,900 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $164,900 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $164,900 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $164,900 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $164,900 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $164,900 ActiveUnderContract 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $164,900 ActiveUnderContract 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $164,900 ActiveUnderContract 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $164,900 ActiveUnderContract 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $164,900 ActiveUnderContract 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $164,900 ActiveUnderContract 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $164,900 ActiveUnderContract 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-05
    listed $164,900 Active 925-char remark
  17. 1991-04-25
    soldstatus $36,000
  18. 1991-04-25
    soldstatus $36,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$926 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,749 · $146/mo
Expected delta
+$823/yr (+$69/mo · 88.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,779
− Mortgage interest
−$9,237
− Property taxes
−$926
− Insurance
−$824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,502
− Management
−$1,502
− Depreciation
−$4,797
Taxable loss
−$10
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2
After-tax cash flow
$2,711/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
9,407
Household income
$48,401
Rent vs Own
64.1% rent · 35.9% own
Severe rent burden
404.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 32% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.89%
Current HPI
149.7909
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+358.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-25 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $164,900 Dayton MLS
  • 1991-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
  • 1991-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $926 · +94.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…