1546 W 1st St · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover a harmonious blend of classic charm and contemporary comfort in this inviting Dayton residence. This property offers an exceptional opportunity for a sophisticated lifestyle, seamlessly integrating spacious living with thoughtful design across two well-appointed stories. With three generously sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, this home provides ample space for relaxation and personal sanctuary. The expansive living area, spanning 2332 square feet, ensures comfortable gatherings and everyday living. The sizable lot, encompassing 0.12 acres, offers a private outdoor retreat, perfect for enjoying the pleasant Dayton weather. Situated in a vibrant community, this address provides
Key facts
- 5,279 sq ft lot
- Built 1885
- Listed 44 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water and sewer (assumed from typical connections)
- Home design: Two-story home; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Residential lot (approx. 0.12 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the second floor)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window AC units
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (5.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $156k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $165k implies a 358% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.87%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $51,091
- List price
- $164,900
- Delta
- 222.76%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1507 W 2nd St | 0.08mi | 4/1.0 | 2,252 (-3%) | 3mo | $30,000 | $13 | 84 |
| 1527 W 1st St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,240 (-4%) | 6mo | $37,000 | $17 | 81 |
| 139 Cambria Ct | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,215 (-5%) | 2mo | $419,000 | $189 | 68 |
| 216 S Conover St | 0.36mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,128 (-9%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $66 | 59 |
| 915 Superior Ave | 0.65mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 2,386 (+2%) | 2mo | $112,000 | $47 | 55 |
| 1407 W Grand Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,352 (+1%) | 8mo | $45,500 | $19 | 51 |
| 857 Saint Agnes Ave | 0.53mi | 4/1.5 | 2,098 (-10%) | 10mo | $76,000 | $36 | 48 |
| 1606 W Grand Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.5 | 2,148 (-8%) | 5mo | $73,500 | $34 | 48 |
| 905 Superior Ave | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 | 2,121 (-9%) | 10mo | $49,133 | $23 | 46 |
| 714 Superior Ave | 0.71mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,400 (+3%) | 18mo | $96,500 | $40 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-10,844
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $15,362
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45402
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,565 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $926/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $226
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $319 | -5% $272 | +0% $226 | +5% $179 | +10% $132 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $102 | -5% $164 | +0% $226 | +5% $288 | +10% $349 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $309 | -0.5pp $268 | base $226 | +0.5pp $183 | +1.0pp $139 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 Mound St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1726 | $1,600 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1011 N Broadway St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $950 | $0.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 942 Harvard Blvd Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 4d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 932 Harvard Blvd Dayton, OH | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1986 | $1,500 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 132 Wroe Ave Unit 132 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1934 | $1,297 | $0.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $164,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $164,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $164,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 ActiveUnderContract 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,900 ActiveUnderContract 33 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $164,900 ActiveUnderContract 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $164,900 ActiveUnderContract 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,900 ActiveUnderContract 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,900 ActiveUnderContract 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,900 ActiveUnderContract 26 DOM
-
2026-05-05$164,900 Active 925-char remark
-
1991-04-25soldstatus $36,000
-
1991-04-25soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $926 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,749 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$823/yr (+$69/mo · 88.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,779
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$926
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,502
- − Management
- −$1,502
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable loss
- −$10
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,711/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,407
- Household income
- $48,401
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 404.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 32% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.89%
- Current HPI
- 149.7909
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+358.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-25 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $164,900 Dayton MLS
- 1991-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
- 1991-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-9.0%/yrLatest (2025): $926 · +94.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…