715 Village Rd · Muncy, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.1/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This well maintained 2 bedroom 1 bath home located in the quaint Village of Pennsdale situated on just under 1/2 acre, in cooperation with the Fraley Auction Company, will be offered at Public Auction on July 2, 2026 at 6:00 PM and will be sold at $125,000 or more. Here is a great opportunity for those just starting out or as an addition to your rental portfolio. The floor plan includes an updated kitchen, dining and living room area, a large sunroom/toy room/flex space, an updated bath, enclosed porch/mudroom and deck. The mechanicals have all been updated recently including a newer heat pump/central air system and the shingle roof was replaced in 2014. The basement adds plenty of space fo
Key facts
- Updated bath
- Large sunroom
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#674 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Muncy SD (town): math 49% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #99 of 539 in PA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $125k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.14%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $217,956
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -15.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $17,199
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $63,300
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17756
- Home prices YoY
- -3.2%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,996/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $588
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $658 | -5% $623 | +0% $588 | +5% $552 | +10% $517 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $441 | -5% $514 | +0% $588 | +5% $661 | +10% $734 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $650 | -0.5pp $619 | base $588 | +0.5pp $555 | +1.0pp $522 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87 Quaker Church Rd Unit A Pennsdale, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,850 | $1.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-04-18price $185,000
-
2026-03-26price $194,900
-
1989-09-05soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,996 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,996 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,996
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,776
- − Management
- −$1,776
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $5,388
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,293
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,757/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muncy SD
- NCES district ID
- 4216230
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,309
- Composite
- 48.27/100
- National rank
- #2157
- State rank
- #99 of 539 in PA
Livability — Muncy
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #674
- US rank
- #6583
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,525
Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,164 people
- By 2030
- 112,221 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 107,613 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 102,950 · -9.8%
- By 2075
- 92,987 · -18.5%
- By 2100
- 80,924 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.73%
- Current HPI
- 233.9965
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+285.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $185,000 WBVAR
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $194,900 WBVAR
- 1989-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,996 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…