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3700 S Ironwood Dr #64
C Composite 56.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

3700 S Ironwood Dr #64 · Apache Junction, AZ 85120
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,792 sqft · Manufactured · 80 Days on market
Built 2003 Good condition 4,438 sqft lot Est $131k · 38% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming double-wide modular home built in 2003 by Cavco, perfectly situated on a corner lot with stunning Superstition Mountain views. This well-maintained home features vaulted ceilings, tile flooring, dual-pane windows, and wood shutters, creating a bright and inviting living space. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, under-cabinet lighting, and ample cabinetry, ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious floor plan includes 3 bedrooms plus a den and 3 bathrooms, including a primary suite with a private ensuite. Bathrooms have been tastefully upgraded, and additional features include a water softener and a recently replaced AC unit. Enjoy Arizona living ou

Key facts

  • Water softener
  • Granite countertops
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTSUPERSTITION MOUNTAIN VIEWSGRANITE COUNTERTOPSUNDER-CABINET LIGHTINGWATER SOFTENEREXTENDED COVERED PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: North to entrance on west side of road; enter through the gate, take the first right; home is the first on the right.
  • Financial info: Current financing: Conventional
  • HOA & community: Community pool; Community spa (heated); Fitness center; Gated community; Association maintains grounds; No visible truck/trailer/RV/boat permitted; Land lease required: $930 monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 open parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold ownership
  • Construction: Metal siding; Wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof; Builder-sourced building area
  • Exterior features: Built-in barbecue; Desert front and back landscaping; Block fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Multiple ovens; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Up to 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat; Electric heating; Ceiling heating
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Granite counters; Double vanity in bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; No interior steps; Vaulted ceilings; Pantry; 3/4 bath in primary bedroom; Dual-pane windows; Solar tubes; Bath grab bars; Accessible hallways
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 455 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,319/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 686% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.22%
Cash-on-cash
14.02%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$130,816
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2208 W Baseline Ave #171 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,904 (+6%) 8mo $94,500 $50 62
2208 W Baseline Ave #94 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (-6%) 9mo $122,500 $73 56
2208 W Baseline Ave #21 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,680 (-6%) 15mo $154,900 $92 56
2208 W Baseline Ave #153 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-12%) 16mo $115,000 $73 45
2208 W Baseline Ave #146 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (-12%) 13mo $125,500 $80 42
2208 W Baseline Ave #115 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,540 (-14%) 23mo $70,000 $45 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,566
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$23,504
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85120

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Rents YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
455
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,319 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax est. 1.5%
$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$487
Net cashflow
$588

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,574
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $713 -5% $651 +0% $588 +5% $526 +10% $464
Rent -10% $405 -5% $497 +0% $588 +5% $680 +10% $772
Rate -1.0pp $679 -0.5pp $634 base $588 +0.5pp $542 +1.0pp $494

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3668 S Warner Dr Apache Junction, AZ 4.0 3.0 2264 $2,550 $1.13 25d 1 0.57mi
2611 W Gypsum Ave Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 2.5 2001 $2,235 $1.12 2d 1 0.60mi
3454 S Warner Dr Apache Junction, AZ 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,500 $1.92 25d 1 0.70mi
2043 S Thunderbird Dr Apache Junction, AZ 3.0 2.0 1348 $1,925 $1.43 25d 1 1.09mi
650 W 22nd Ave Apache Junction, AZ 4.0 2.0 1564 $2,635 $1.68 5d 1 1.17mi
932 W 19th Ave Apache Junction, AZ 4.0 2.0 1666 $1,995 $1.20 25d 1 1.26mi
2101 S Yellow Wood #60 Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 1371 $2,600 $1.90 1d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,900 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,900 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-04-16
    price $179,900
  8. 2026-03-19
    price $184,900
  9. 2026-03-19
    listed $174,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,823
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,698
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,226
− Management
−$2,226
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable income
$4,463
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,071
After-tax cash flow
$5,990/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained, good-condition home is ready for a new owner. It features a spacious floor plan, granite countertops, and tastefully upgraded bathrooms. The exterior could benefit from a fresh coat of paint to enhance curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps home in good condition

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps home in good condition

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
NCES district ID
0400790
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,930
Composite
15.34/100
National rank
#9325
State rank
#195 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Apache Junction

Score
66/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#11242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Apache Junction, AZ
County
Pinal County · 399,947 people
City population
56,611
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
31,191
Household income
$57,786
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
686.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.31%
Current HPI
313.4666
Rent YoY
▼ -3.50%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $179,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $184,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $174,900 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…