3700 S Ironwood Dr #64 · Apache Junction, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming double-wide modular home built in 2003 by Cavco, perfectly situated on a corner lot with stunning Superstition Mountain views. This well-maintained home features vaulted ceilings, tile flooring, dual-pane windows, and wood shutters, creating a bright and inviting living space. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, under-cabinet lighting, and ample cabinetry, ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious floor plan includes 3 bedrooms plus a den and 3 bathrooms, including a primary suite with a private ensuite. Bathrooms have been tastefully upgraded, and additional features include a water softener and a recently replaced AC unit. Enjoy Arizona living ou
Key facts
- Water softener
- Granite countertops
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: North to entrance on west side of road; enter through the gate, take the first right; home is the first on the right.
- Financial info: Current financing: Conventional
- HOA & community: Community pool; Community spa (heated); Fitness center; Gated community; Association maintains grounds; No visible truck/trailer/RV/boat permitted; Land lease required: $930 monthly
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 open parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold ownership
- Construction: Metal siding; Wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof; Builder-sourced building area
- Exterior features: Built-in barbecue; Desert front and back landscaping; Block fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Multiple ovens; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Up to 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat; Electric heating; Ceiling heating
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Granite counters; Double vanity in bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; No interior steps; Vaulted ceilings; Pantry; 3/4 bath in primary bedroom; Dual-pane windows; Solar tubes; Bath grab bars; Accessible hallways
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 455 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,319/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 686% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.02%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $130,816
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2208 W Baseline Ave #171 | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,904 (+6%) | 8mo | $94,500 | $50 | 62 |
| 2208 W Baseline Ave #94 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-6%) | 9mo | $122,500 | $73 | 56 |
| 2208 W Baseline Ave #21 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (-6%) | 15mo | $154,900 | $92 | 56 |
| 2208 W Baseline Ave #153 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-12%) | 16mo | $115,000 | $73 | 45 |
| 2208 W Baseline Ave #146 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (-12%) | 13mo | $125,500 | $80 | 42 |
| 2208 W Baseline Ave #115 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (-14%) | 23mo | $70,000 | $45 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,566
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $23,504
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85120
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Rents YoY
- -3.5%
- Active inventory
- 455
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,319 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$487
- Net cashflow
- $588
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $713 | -5% $651 | +0% $588 | +5% $526 | +10% $464 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $405 | -5% $497 | +0% $588 | +5% $680 | +10% $772 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $679 | -0.5pp $634 | base $588 | +0.5pp $542 | +1.0pp $494 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3668 S Warner Dr Apache Junction, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2264 | $2,550 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2611 W Gypsum Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2001 | $2,235 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3454 S Warner Dr Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2043 S Thunderbird Dr Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $1,925 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 650 W 22nd Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $2,635 | $1.68 | 5d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 932 W 19th Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $1,995 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2101 S Yellow Wood #60 Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $2,600 | $1.90 | 1d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $179,900
-
2026-03-19price $184,900
-
2026-03-19$174,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,823
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,698
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,226
- − Management
- −$2,226
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $4,463
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,071
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,990/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, good-condition home is ready for a new owner. It features a spacious floor plan, granite countertops, and tastefully upgraded bathrooms. The exterior could benefit from a fresh coat of paint to enhance curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps home in good condition
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps home in good condition ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
- NCES district ID
- 0400790
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,930
- Composite
- 15.34/100
- National rank
- #9325
- State rank
- #195 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Apache Junction
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #11242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Apache Junction, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 56,611
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,191
- Household income
- $57,786
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 686.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -128.31%
- Current HPI
- 313.4666
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.50%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+2.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $179,900 ARMLS
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $184,900 ARMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $174,900 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…