14 Clinton St · Potsdam, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Schools +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 14 Clinton Street in Potsdam, NY! This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers the convenience of village amenities, including public water, sewer, and natural gas, along with a spacious backyard. The main floor features wood floors, a large kitchen with an eating area, a living room, and a flexible central room that can be used as a dining room, office, or whatever suits your needs. There’s also a laundry area and a bathroom with a shower. An enclosed side porch or the front covered porch are ideal for entry muddy days. At the back of the home, you’ll find a large storage room that’s currently unfinished but could be expanded into usable space. Behind it, there’s another two-story unfinished area, also used for storage. Upstairs are three good-sized bedrooms and a bathroom. One bedroom is accessible through the unfinished upstairs area or the bathroom, offering extra flexibility. Outside there is a detached two car garage in which half has been turned into a workspace and a large amount of green space in the backyard. . With a spacious backyard and great potential for additional space, this home is ready for your personal touch.
Key facts
- Enclosed side porch
- Front covered porch
- Spacious backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.6% in Potsdam — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#249 in NY, #3,908 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Potsdam Central School District (town): math 53% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #258 of 590 in NY (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Lawrence Avenue Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 551 students, 39% FRL); A A Kingston Middle School (math 27% / reading 54%, grade F, #409 of 729 statewide, top 56%, 368 students, 40% FRL); Potsdam Senior High School (math 92% / reading 92%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 372 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $125k implies a 317% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.74%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $247,429
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -49.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Lawrence Ave | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 | 2,356 (+1%) | 22mo | $194,000 | $82 | 74 |
| 10 Hamilton St | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 | 2,246 (-4%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $67 | 69 |
| 18 Broad St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,228 (-5%) | 13mo | $147,000 | $66 | 69 |
| 17 Pleasant St | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 | 2,490 (+6%) | 12mo | $196,000 | $79 | 66 |
| 21 Leroy St | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 | 2,061 (-12%) | 12mo | $254,000 | $123 | 64 |
| 79 Main St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 2,134 (-9%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $59 | 62 |
| 86 Market St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 2,205 (-6%) | 12mo | $150,520 | $68 | 60 |
| 111 Leroy St | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 2,298 (-2%) | 5mo | $236,000 | $103 | 56 |
| 3 Drumlin Dr | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 | 2,368 (+1%) | 14mo | $245,000 | $103 | 55 |
| 37 Main St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,029 (-13%) | 7mo | $201,000 | $99 | 51 |
| 108 Leroy St | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,390 (+2%) | 14mo | $275,000 | $115 | 44 |
| 5 Bradley Dr | 0.74mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,543 (+9%) | 13mo | $345,000 | $136 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $80,593
- Equity at exit
- $112,610
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.50×
- Total profit
- $227,492
- Equity at exit
- $242,848
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 10 active · 5 under contract
- Months of supply
- 12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $232,000 ($98/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 40 d
- This list price
- 10% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +8.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 13676
- Home prices YoY
- 17.7%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,302 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $196
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $267 | -5% $232 | +0% $196 | +5% $161 | +10% $126 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $94 | -5% $145 | +0% $196 | +5% $248 | +10% $299 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $259 | -0.5pp $228 | base $196 | +0.5pp $164 | +1.0pp $131 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $125,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $125,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $125,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $125,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $125,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $125,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $125,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $125,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $125,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $125,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $125,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $125,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $125,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $125,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $125,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $125,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $125,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $125,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $125,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $125,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $125,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $125,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $125,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $125,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $125,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $125,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $125,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $125,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $125,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $125,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $125,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $125,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $125,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $125,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $125,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $125,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $125,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $125,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $125,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 92 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,498 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,805 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- +$307/yr (+$26/mo · 20.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,629
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,250
- − Management
- −$1,250
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $367
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$88
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,270/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including painting the exterior and landscaping, to improve its curb appeal and value.
Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — The roof appears to be in poor condition with visible damage and missing shingles.
- Major Windows (windows) — The windows appear to be old and possibly in need of replacement.
- Major Electrical (electrical) — The electrical panel appears to be outdated and may need to be replaced.
- Major Plumbing (plumbing) — The plumbing fixtures appear to be old and may need to be replaced.
- Major Exterior (exterior) — The exterior of the house appears to be in poor condition with peeling paint and possible structural issues.
Repairs flagged
- Major Painting exterior — Peeling paint on siding
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Painting interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Potsdam Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3623670
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,144
- Composite
- 50.05/100
- National rank
- #1915
- State rank
- #258 of 590 in NY
Livability — Potsdam
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #249
- US rank
- #3908
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Potsdam, NY
- County
- St. Lawrence · 110,027 people
- City population
- 2,123
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,408
- Household income
- $56,900
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 25% of renters
Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,027 people
- By 2030
- 107,455 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 100,492 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 94,254 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 80,175 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 63,140 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 48.01%
- Current HPI
- 318.7704
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+316.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Listed $125,000 SLCMLS
- 1997-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,498 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…