3503 Commonwealth Ave · Portsmouth, VA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy this beautiful and well-maintained home offering comfort, charm, and convenience in the heart of Portsmouth. This inviting residence features a functional layout with bright living spaces and comfortable bedrooms, providing the perfect setting for everyday living. The spacious yard offers ample room for outdoor enjoyment, entertaining, or future enhancements. Ideally located just minutes from major highways, including I-264, making commuting to Norfolk, Chesapeake, and Virginia Beach effortless, and conveniently close to shopping, dining, and local schools. Don’t miss this exceptional opportunity to own a move-in-ready home in a centrally located and established neighborhood. Sc
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Move-in-ready
- Outdoor enjoyment
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA/POA fees listed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Detached Cape Cod; 2 stories; Simple ownership; Crawl foundation
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Back fenced yard; Ocean waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom; Additional bedroom; No bedroom with full bath on first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Full bathroom (additional room listed)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Assigned storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-114 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (10.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (24.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $151k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Westhaven Elementary (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #933 of 1,108 statewide, top 86%, 442 students, 100% FRL); William E. Waters Middle (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B, #160 of 342 statewide, top 48%, 534 students, 99% FRL); I.C. Norcom High (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #301 of 319 statewide, top 95%, 1,043 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 60% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.44%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $243,798
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -14.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Neville St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 946 (+5%) | 6mo | $238,900 | $253 | 67 |
| 3210 Brighton St | 0.30mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,005 (+12%) | 1mo | $211,000 | $210 | 61 |
| 109 Woodstock St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+7%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $229 | 59 |
| 4103 Scott St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+7%) | 5mo | $240,000 | $250 | 58 |
| 521 Beacon Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-4%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $156 | 58 |
| 312 Killian Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 992 (+10%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $257 | 56 |
| 4109 Arlington Pl | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 962 (+7%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $234 | 51 |
| 1012 Rodman Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,003 (+11%) | 8mo | $199,990 | $199 | 50 |
| 9 Shelby St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,028 (+14%) | 2mo | $239,000 | $232 | 48 |
| 3521 County St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (+13%) | 2mo | $227,000 | $223 | 45 |
| 505 Howard St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,003 (+11%) | 2mo | $254,000 | $253 | 43 |
| 3312 Knox St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 770 (-14%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $273 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-39,676
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-43,990
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23707
- Home prices YoY
- -23.7%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,510 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,106/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $-114
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1 | -5% $-57 | +0% $-114 | +5% $-171 | +10% $-227 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-233 | -5% $-174 | +0% $-114 | +5% $-54 | +10% $5 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-13 | -0.5pp $-63 | base $-114 | +0.5pp $-166 | +1.0pp $-218 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 Carver Cir Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,450 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1 Shelby St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3626 Bart St Unit BAR3626-DF Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 9d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 11 Carver Cir Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $1,395 | $2.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3304 Killian Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,000 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 70 Manly St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3310 Glasgow St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 13 Hedge Ln Unit I Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 816 | $1,275 | $1.56 | 9d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 21 DeKalb Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,550 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3724 Deep Creek Blvd Unit 3728 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3724 Deep Creek Blvd Unit 3754 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2810 Roanoke Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 231 Edison Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 231 Edison Ave Unit 231 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 200 Chowan Dr Portsmouth, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 737 | $1,600 | $2.17 | 4d | 8 | 1.37mi |
| 124 Tyler Cres E Unit B Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 26 Byers Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,575 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1915 Des Moines Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,700 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1915 Des Moines Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,700 | $1.59 | 18d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 647 Mount Vernon Ave Unit B Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 9d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $209,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $209,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $209,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $209,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-08status Active 842-char remark
-
2026-03-24status Under Contract 842-char remark
-
2026-03-13price $209,000 842-char remark
-
2026-02-19$214,000 Active 842-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,106 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,106 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,123
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,106
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,450
- − Management
- −$1,450
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$4,895
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,175
- After-tax cash flow
- $-193/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portsmouth City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103000
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,152
- Composite
- 39.01/100
- National rank
- #4071
- State rank
- #107 of 131 in VA
Livability — Portsmouth
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #5381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portsmouth, VA
- County
- Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
- City population
- 96,366
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,766
- Household income
- $48,926
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 963.0
Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,730 people
- By 2030
- 96,760 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 96,573 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 95,606 · -1.2%
- By 2075
- 93,579 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 83,756 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 41% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.03%
- Current HPI
- 299.832
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-6.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $199,900 REINMLS
- 2026-06-03 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-03-24 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $209,000 REINMLS
- 2026-02-19 Listed $214,000 REINMLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,106 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…