1926 NW 12th St · Ocala, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bring your vision and unlock the potential of this small home in a highly desirable location. This property requires a near complete rehabilitation, but the hard part has been done for you! The home has been cleaned out and a blank slate awaits! Just minutes away from parks, shopping and restaurants, this is a great opportunity for investors or home ownership!
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1974
- Listed 78 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $471 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,211/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 923% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $50k implies a 777% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.06%
- DSCR
- 3.27
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $102,037
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -51.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1007 NW 19th Ct | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+14%) | 21mo | $110,000 | $151 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $21,970
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 43.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.15×
- Total profit
- $58,143
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34475
- Home prices YoY
- -8.0%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,211 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $934/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $471
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1404 NW 18th Ave Unit 2 Ocala, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 619 | $1,149 | $1.86 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2150 NW 21st Ave Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 933 | $1,876 | $2.01 | 13d | 10 | 0.77mi |
| 12 NW 16th Ct Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,050 | $1.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1809 SW 3rd St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,025 | $1.71 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2305 SW 2nd St Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,175 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2006 SW 7th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 708 SW 20th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $999 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-03-23status Active 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Bring your vision and unlock the potential of this small home in a highly desirable location. This property requires a near complete rehabilitation, but the hard part has been done for you! The home has been cleaned out and a blank slate awaits! Just minutes away from parks, shopping and restaurants, this is a great opportunity for investors or home ownership!
-
2026-03-02status Pending 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Bring your vision and unlock the potential of this small home in a highly desirable location. This property requires a near complete rehabilitation, but the hard part has been done for you! The home has been cleaned out and a blank slate awaits! Just minutes away from parks, shopping and restaurants, this is a great opportunity for investors or home ownership!
-
2026-02-19status Active 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Bring your vision and unlock the potential of this small home in a highly desirable location. This property requires a near complete rehabilitation, but the hard part has been done for you! The home has been cleaned out and a blank slate awaits! Just minutes away from parks, shopping and restaurants, this is a great opportunity for investors or home ownership!
-
2026-02-19historical 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Bring your vision and unlock the potential of this small home in a highly desirable location. This property requires a near complete rehabilitation, but the hard part has been done for you! The home has been cleaned out and a blank slate awaits! Just minutes away from parks, shopping and restaurants, this is a great opportunity for investors or home ownership!
-
2026-02-18$50,000 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Bring your vision and unlock the potential of this small home in a highly desirable location. This property requires a near complete rehabilitation, but the hard part has been done for you! The home has been cleaned out and a blank slate awaits! Just minutes away from parks, shopping and restaurants, this is a great opportunity for investors or home ownership!
-
2006-01-10historical
-
2005-11-11$72,000
-
1971-06-01soldstatus $5,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $934 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $934 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,531
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$934
- − Insurance
- −$1,752
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,162
- − Management
- −$1,162
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $5,264
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,263
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,383/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocala, FL
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,301
- Household income
- $30,174
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 923.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 30% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.26%
- Current HPI
- 254.6319
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+777.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-02 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Listed $50,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-01-10 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-11 Listed $72,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1971-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.0%/yrLatest (2025): $934 · +13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…