6000 Hatfield Cir · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful Cervin home on a corner lot in Puckett! This spacious property features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 living areas, a den, formal dining area, and a 2-car garage. With stunning curb appeal and priced below tax appraisal, this is an incredible opportunity you don't want to miss. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1977
- Listed 104 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($27/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $281k (6.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $272k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Puckett El (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #321 of 4,322 statewide, top 8%, 344 students, 32% FRL); Bonham Middle (math 61% / reading 49%, grade B-, #248 of 1,662 statewide, top 15%, 867 students, 37% FRL); Amarillo H S (math 55% / reading 64%, grade C+, #275 of 1,632 statewide, top 19%, 2,170 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 58% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 59% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Amarillo ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 157 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,806/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1640% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.03%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-41,711
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-7,825
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79109
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 157
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,806 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$522 /mo · $6,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$589
- Net cashflow
- $2
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $171 | -5% $87 | +0% $2 | +5% $-82 | +10% $-167 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-219 | -5% $-109 | +0% $2 | +5% $113 | +10% $224 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $153 | -0.5pp $78 | base $2 | +0.5pp $-75 | +1.0pp $-154 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5101 Harvard St Amarillo, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2339 | $2,275 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7501 Continental Pkwy Amarillo, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3418 | $5,595 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7111 Imperial Trl Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1970 | $2,150 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $299,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-18status $299,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,000 Active Under Contract 101 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,000 Active Under Contract 100 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,000 Active Under Contract 99 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $299,000 Active Under Contract 98 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $299,000 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Beautiful Cervin home on a corner lot in Puckett! This spacious property features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 living areas, a den, formal dining area, and a 2-car garage. With stunning curb appeal and priced below tax appraisal, this is an incredible opportunity you don't want to miss. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-22status Active 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Beautiful Cervin home on a corner lot in Puckett! This spacious property features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 living areas, a den, formal dining area, and a 2-car garage. With stunning curb appeal and priced below tax appraisal, this is an incredible opportunity you don't want to miss. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-15historical Active Under Contract 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Beautiful Cervin home on a corner lot in Puckett! This spacious property features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 living areas, a den, formal dining area, and a 2-car garage. With stunning curb appeal and priced below tax appraisal, this is an incredible opportunity you don't want to miss. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-21$305,000 Active 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Beautiful Cervin home on a corner lot in Puckett! This spacious property features 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 living areas, a den, formal dining area, and a 2-car garage. With stunning curb appeal and priced below tax appraisal, this is an incredible opportunity you don't want to miss. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-01-11price $320,000
-
2015-07-28soldstatus
-
2015-07-28soldstatus
-
2015-02-20$210,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,260 · $522/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,260 · $522/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,668
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$6,260
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,693
- − Management
- −$2,693
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable loss
- −$4,921
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,181
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,208/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- County
- Randall County · 137,351 people
- City population
- 185,802
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,578
- Household income
- $70,435
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1640.0
Population outlook (Randall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,140 people
- By 2030
- 163,107 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 184,999 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 206,948 · +36.0%
- By 2075
- 260,204 · +71.0%
- By 2100
- 294,980 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Randall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.3pp toward D · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -60.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+65.1 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.95%
- Current HPI
- 171.6795
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.24%
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+42.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $299,000 AARMLS
- 2026-03-22 Relisted — AARMLS
- 2026-03-15 Contingent — AARMLS
- 2026-02-21 Listed $305,000 AARMLS
- 2026-01-11 Price Changed $320,000 AARMLS
- 2015-07-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-07-28 Sold (MLS) — AARMLS
- 2015-02-20 Listed $210,000 AARMLS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,260 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…