204 Broken Antler · Castroville, TX 78253

$219,000

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 96 Days on market

Built 2021 6,534 sqft lot $156/sqft · 22% below area Est $280k · 22% under $58/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 2% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +7.1/30.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• 1% rule +2.8/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.2/5.0
• DSCR +1.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Turnkey investment opportunity located in the established Hunter Ranch subdivision on the growing west side of San Antonio. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home features a functional open-concept layout with 9-foot ceilings that create a bright and spacious living environment appealing to long-term tenants. Interior highlights include durable vinyl plank flooring in all wet areas and the family room, an open kitchen overlooking the main living space, and a spacious primary suite featuring a full walk-in shower in the master bath. The thoughtful floor plan provides comfortable separation between bedrooms while maintaining a welcoming central living area ideal for everyday living. Currently tenant occupied through August 17, 2026, offering immediate rental income for investors seeking a low-maintenance addition to their portfolio. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining, and area amenities in the expanding West San Antonio corridor. Excellent opportunity for investors looking for a performing asset with an established tenant already in place.

Key facts

• Open kitchen
• Open-concept layout
• 6,534 sq ft lot

Tags

• TURNKEY INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY
• HUNTER RANCH SUBDIVISION
• OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUT
• DURABLE VINYL PLANK FLOORING
• OPEN KITCHEN
• SPACIOUS PRIMARY SUITE

🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $219,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$279,910) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-310 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (25.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (21.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $164k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.9% in Castroville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#212 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Medina Valley ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #148 of 826 in TX (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Potranco El (math 50% / reading 51%, grade D+, #833 of 4,322 statewide, top 20%, 847 students, 47% FRL); Medina Valley Middle (math 47% / reading 49%, grade C-, #400 of 1,662 statewide, top 24%, 1,029 students, 62% FRL); Medina Valley H S (math 34% / reading 55%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 2,147 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 728 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 102 units permitted in Medina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Medina County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $164,237 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.78% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.59%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.07%
• DSCR: 0.73
• GRM: 10.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $279,910
• List price: $219,000
• Delta: -21.76%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
124 Fawn Trce	0.14mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,362 (-3%)	0mo	$279,990	$206	79
208 Hunters Cp	0.23mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,516 (+8%)	8mo	$323,764	$214	60
211 Antelope Vly	0.31mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,465 (+4%)	12mo	$264,990	$181	59
164 Porcupine Ln	0.17mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,589 (+13%)	7mo	$209,500	$132	55
329 Hunters Rnch E	0.26mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,565 (+12%)	9mo	$235,000	$150	52
189 Antelope Vly	0.29mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,500 (+7%)	18mo	$279,990	$187	51
188 Antelope Vly	0.31mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,500 (+7%)	19mo	$269,990	$180	50
139 Kildeer Crk	0.75mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,442 (+3%)	2mo	$246,500	$171	50
250 Antelope Vly	0.36mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,500 (+7%)	19mo	$259,990	$173	47
136 Jessica Knl	0.44mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,553 (+11%)	15mo	$298,639	$192	40
135 Hunters Ldg	0.38mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,582 (+13%)	21mo	$247,000	$156	34
162 Butercup Aly	0.74mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,470 (+5%)	23mo	$299,800	$204	30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -30.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.02×
• Total profit: $-60,135
• Equity at exit: $32,654

10-year hold

• IRR: -55.4%
• Equity multiple: -0.58×
• Total profit: $-96,713
• Equity at exit: $18,935

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78253

• Home prices YoY: -33.4%
• Rents YoY: -1.1%
• Active inventory: 728
• Price-to-rent: 10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,713 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,148
• Tax from tax record: −$366 /mo · $4,390/yr
• Insurance: −$91
• HOA: −$58
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$360
• Net cashflow: $-310

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,106

Max offer price $164,237

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-186	-5% $-248	+0% $-310	+5% $-372	+10% $-434
Rent	-10% $-445	-5% $-378	+0% $-310	+5% $-242	+10% $-175
Rate	-1.0pp $-200	-0.5pp $-254	base $-310	+0.5pp $-367	+1.0pp $-424

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $54,750
• Closing costs: $6,570
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
100 Hunters Cp San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1785	$1,845	$1.03	45d	1	0.21mi
347 Hunters Rnch E San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1296	$1,695	$1.31	45d	1	0.30mi
345 Nespral Dr , TX	3.0	2.0	1484	$1,595	$1.07	6d	1	0.46mi
339 Nespral Dr San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1484	$1,595	$1.07	6d	1	0.46mi
339 Nespral Dr San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1484	$1,595	$1.07	12d	1	0.46mi
335 Nespral Dr San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1484	$1,595	$1.07	25d	1	0.47mi
255 Nespral Dr Unit 259 San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.5	1640	$2,050	$1.25	45d	1	0.55mi
210 Nespral Dr San Antonio, TX	3.0–4.0	2.0–2.5	1487	$1,595	$1.07	45d	1	0.59mi
209 Nespral Dr San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1484	$1,595	$1.07	25d	1	0.60mi
197 Nespral Dr Unit 197 Nespral San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.5	1676	$1,595	$0.95	6d	1	0.61mi
194 Nespral Dr Unit 194 San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1299	$1,700	$1.31	16d	1	0.61mi
186 Nespral Dr San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.5	1676	$1,650	$0.98	25d	1	0.61mi
153 Nespral Dr San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1484	$1,595	$1.07	25d	1	0.66mi
344 Abigail Aly San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1245	$1,295	$1.04	4d	1	0.72mi
452 Abigail Aly San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1245	$1,295	$1.04	0d	1	0.74mi
478 Abigail Aly San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1250	$1,325	$1.06	45d	1	0.75mi
486 Abigail Aly San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1250	$1,325	$1.06	6d	1	0.75mi
486 Abigail Aly San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1250	$1,325	$1.06	25d	1	0.75mi
139 Kildeer Crk San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1615	$1,650	$1.02	45d	1	0.77mi
139 Kildeer Crk San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1442	$1,650	$1.14	23d	1	0.77mi
211 Finch Knl San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1799	$1,700	$0.94	45d	1	0.77mi
168 Stefan Est San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1250	$1,475	$1.18	45d	1	0.78mi
180 Stefan Est San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1250	$1,450	$1.16	45d	1	0.79mi
166 Marigold Pl San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1250	$1,450	$1.16	14d	1	0.79mi
166 Marigold Pl San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1250	$1,450	$1.16	16d	1	0.79mi
127 Damon Dv San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1244	$1,495	$1.20	6d	1	0.79mi
134 Damon Dv San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1350	$1,495	$1.11	45d	1	0.80mi
213 Stefan Est San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1242	$1,425	$1.15	6d	1	0.81mi
208 Marigold Pl San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1250	$1,395	$1.12	45d	1	0.82mi
222 Amy Aly San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.0	1676	$1,650	$0.98	45d	1	0.83mi
249 Marigold Pl San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1250	$1,350	$1.08	25d	1	0.85mi
219 Damon Dv San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1250	$1,350	$1.08	16d	1	0.85mi
266 Stefan Est San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1249	$1,295	$1.04	5d	1	0.86mi
732 Abigail Aly San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1244	$1,495	$1.20	45d	1	0.86mi
736 Abigail Aly San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1244	$1,495	$1.20	45d	1	0.86mi
263 Damon Dv San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1245	$1,325	$1.06	25d	1	0.88mi
784 Abigail Aly San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1244	$1,495	$1.20	45d	1	0.88mi
139 Nesting Gdn San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1588	$1,600	$1.01	6d	1	0.89mi
271 Damon Dv San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1245	$1,375	$1.10	4d	1	0.89mi
619 Ryan Xing San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1250	$1,350	$1.08	18d	1	0.91mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $58 · $696/yr

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $219,000 Active 96 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $219,000 Active 93 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $219,000 Active 92 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $219,000 Active 91 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $219,000 Active 90 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $219,000 Active 88 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $219,000 Active 84 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $219,000 Active 83 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $219,000 Active 82 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $219,000 Active 79 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,000 Active 78 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,000 Active 77 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,000 Active 76 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,000 Active 75 DOM
15. 2026-03-17
    listed $219,000 New 1066-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1066 chars)

    Turnkey investment opportunity located in the established Hunter Ranch subdivision on the growing west side of San Antonio. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home features a functional open-concept layout with 9-foot ceilings that create a bright and spacious living environment appealing to long-term tenants. Interior highlights include durable vinyl plank flooring in all wet areas and the family room, an open kitchen overlooking the main living space, and a spacious primary suite featuring a full walk-in shower in the master bath. The thoughtful floor plan provides comfortable separation between bedrooms while maintaining a welcoming central living area ideal for everyday living. Currently tenant occupied through August 17, 2026, offering immediate rental income for investors seeking a low-maintenance addition to their portfolio. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining, and area amenities in the expanding West San Antonio corridor. Excellent opportunity for investors looking for a performing asset with an established tenant already in place.

16. 2021-06-28
    soldstatus Sold 248-char remark

    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    New Bella Vista home in Hunters Ranch! Alpine plan 1394qft. Home features An open layout, 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom, full walk in shower at master bath, vinyl plank all wet areas including the family room, 9' Ceilings, and a full sod landscape package!

17. 2021-02-25
    status Pending 248-char remark

    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    New Bella Vista home in Hunters Ranch! Alpine plan 1394qft. Home features An open layout, 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom, full walk in shower at master bath, vinyl plank all wet areas including the family room, 9' Ceilings, and a full sod landscape package!

18. 2021-01-17
    listed $224,275 New 248-char remark

    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    New Bella Vista home in Hunters Ranch! Alpine plan 1394qft. Home features An open layout, 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom, full walk in shower at master bath, vinyl plank all wet areas including the family room, 9' Ceilings, and a full sod landscape package!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,390 · $366/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,390 · $366/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,561
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,267
• − Property taxes: −$4,390
• − Insurance: −$1,095
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,645
• − Management: −$1,645
• − HOA: −$696
• − Depreciation: −$6,371
• Taxable loss: −$7,549
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,812
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,908/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Medina Valley ISD
• NCES district ID: 4830060
• Math proficiency: 48% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $60,596
• Composite: 44.2/100
• National rank: #2851
• State rank: #148 of 826 in TX

Livability — Castroville

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #212
• US rank: #5267

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
• City population: 1,806,925
• Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
• Population (ZIP): 69,282
• Household income: $106,373
• Rent vs Own: 23.0% rent · 77.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1496.0

Population outlook (Medina County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 54,332 people
• By 2030: 57,250 · +5.4%
• By 2040: 62,563 · +15.1%
• By 2050: 67,386 · +24.0%
• By 2075: 79,538 · +46.4%
• By 2100: 84,624 · +55.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 47% White 34% Two or more races 27% Black 9% Asian 4% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 38% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada
• Languages at home: 73% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Medina

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+42.8) · D 28.2% · R 71.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.9pp · 2024: -42.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+42.8 2020: R+39.2 2016: R+43.2 2012: R+39.2 2008: R+33.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -99.92%
• Current HPI: 199.1827
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.10%
• Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-2.4% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-17 Listed $219,000 LERA
• 2021-06-28 Sold (MLS) — LERA
• 2021-02-25 Pending — LERA
• 2021-01-17 Listed $224,275 LERA

Property tax history

+153.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,390 · -9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.