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None 🌊 Lakefront
F Composite 31.82
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.0/30.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +1.4/15.0
  • DSCR +0.4/10.0

$325,000

None · Salem, PA 18436
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,664 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1997 0.34 ac lot Est $286k · 14% over $200/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

It's your time! Pamper yourself in this great home with master suite encompassing the second floor. Here you will enjoy an oversize bedroom with your own private balcony for your morning coffee, a bath ensuite with a soothing jetted tub, separate shower, and an awesome sauna for pure relaxation. On the main floor you will find a modern kitchen, sunroom, two more decks, a bright living room, bedroom and a bath. The lower level will give your guests privacy with a bedroom, bath, and family room. You will have a circular drive and a two car garage. No need to worry about the big ticket items like a roof as this roof is only three years old and the water heater is also new. All this in the full amenity community of The Hideout which offers golf, skiing, lakes, pools, tennis, clubhouse, lodge fitness center, security, central sewer and water, and so much more. There is something to do all year round making it perfect for either full time living or as your secret getaway.

Key facts

  • Office space
  • Rear grilling deck
  • Private bath

Tags

PRIVATE BATHSPACIOUS PRIMARY SUITEMULTIPLE SPACES TO RELAXREAR GRILLING DECKCOVERED SIDE PORCHOFFICE SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in The Hideout community; directions: From Entrance of The Hideout take Lakeview Dr for 0.5 miles, home on the left
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee (approximately $2,400 / $200 monthly); Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, tennis and sport courts, basketball court, fitness center, playground, picnic area, party room, restaurant, golf, marina/boat access (powered boats allowed), fishing, trash and water services, recreation facilities, and gated entry

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Basement access and gravel parking
  • Security: Community security (gated community)
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Updated/remodeled condition; Two levels
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Wooded lot with many trees; View of Roamingwood Lake; Private maintained road, asphalt surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedrooms not individually listed)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Fireplace(s); Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Daylight, full basement with interior and exterior entry
  • Laundry & utility: Stacked washer/dryer; Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-616 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (27.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (28.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $232k (28.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Western Wayne SD (rural): math 39% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #165 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 337 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $244k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $231,705 (28.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  6. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  7. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.02%
Cash-on-cash
-8.12%
DSCR
0.64
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$286,208
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Greenview Court Ct 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,593 (-4%) 9mo $315,000 $198 64
12 Parkwood Dr Lot 429 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,547 (-7%) 4mo $370,000 $239 63
582 Lakeview Dr W 0.67mi 3/3.0 1,692 (+2%) 9mo $275,000 $163 59
445 Lakewood Dr 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,512 (-9%) 1mo $250,000 $165 54
145 Lakeview Dr W 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,806 (+8%) 4mo $310,000 $172 49
470 Oakwood Ct 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (-8%) 8mo $290,000 $189 45
70 Lakewood Dr 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (+8%) 10mo $280,000 $156 42
24 Lakewood Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,900 (+14%) 5mo $240,000 $126 39
123 Ridgewood Cir 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,514 (-9%) 19mo $210,000 $139 30
1555 Ledgedale Rd 0.53mi 3/2.5 1,908 (+15%) 23mo $382,000 $200 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$137,958
Equity at exit
$292,786
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
5.81×
Total profit
$437,407
Equity at exit
$631,404

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18436

Home prices YoY
16.9%
Active inventory
337
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,317 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax est. 1.5%
$406 /mo · $4,875/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$200
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$487
Net cashflow
$-616

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,096
Max offer price $235,931
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$200 · $2,400/yr
Likely covers
watersewerpoolgymsecurity

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $325,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,805
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$4,875
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,224
− Management
−$2,224
− HOA
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$13,204
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,169
After-tax cash flow
$-4,217/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Western Wayne SD
NCES district ID
4226070
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$51,358
Composite
43.65/100
National rank
#2964
State rank
#165 of 539 in PA

Livability — Salem

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
The Hideout, PA
Population (ZIP)
13,225

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,924 people
By 2030
46,191 · -3.6%
By 2040
42,815 · -10.7%
By 2050
39,873 · -16.8%
By 2075
34,556 · -27.9%
By 2100
28,358 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4%
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.1) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-24.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -37.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.1 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 47.95%
Current HPI
331.9645
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $325,000 PWMLS
  • 2021-12-20 Sold (MLS) $244,000 PWMLS
  • 2021-12-20 Sold (MLS) PWMLS
  • 2021-07-31 Listed $259,000 PWMLS
  • 2021-07-31 Listed $259,000 PWMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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