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6251 Stahelin Ave
B Composite 74.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

6251 Stahelin Ave · Detroit, MI 48228
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 849 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1951 4,792 sqft lot $106/sqft · 47% above area Est $126k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled on a desirable street in Warrendale, this solid, well-maintained home offers both quality construction and an unbeatable location — situated next to Paul and directly across from Carver STEM Academy. Built on a durable poured-concrete foundation, this home features a bright and inviting main floor with beautiful hardwood flooring throughout the spacious living room and dining area. The functional layout includes a well-sized kitchen, three comfortable bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Large, newer windows fill each room with natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere. Step outside to enjoy a charming, park-like yard with mature landscaping, plenty of storage space, and a generous front porch. The basement adds valuable living space and includes a nearly completed full bathroom. Updated plumbing, included washer and dryer, and a furnace and hot water tank in solid working condition. A clean, newer concrete driveway extends to the rear of the property, offering convenient off-street parking.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Built 1951
  • Listed 64 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $590 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 367 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,419/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 20 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $90k implies a 1024% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
14.17%
Cash-on-cash
28.14%
DSCR
2.25
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$126,026
List price
$89,900
Delta
-28.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6783 Westwood St 0.49mi 3/1.0 836 (-2%) 4mo $65,000 $78 71
6394 Westwood St 0.32mi 3/1.0 770 (-9%) 2mo $90,000 $117 68
6356 Rutland St 0.65mi 3/1.0 842 (-1%) 2mo $90,000 $107 66
6411 Greenview Ave 0.19mi 3/1.0 959 (+13%) 4mo $117,000 $122 66
6506 Stahelin Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 960 (+13%) 2mo $70,000 $73 65
6324 Rosemont Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 960 (+13%) 1mo $85,000 $89 62
6409 Grandville Ave 0.29mi 3/1.5 960 (+13%) 3mo $128,000 $133 60
6752 Evergreen Rd 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (+2%) 3mo $45,000 $52 60
6760 Warwick St 0.37mi 3/1.0 960 (+13%) 2mo $70,000 $73 60
6719 Westwood St 0.44mi 3/1.0 960 (+13%) 1mo $62,500 $65 57
7313 Grandville Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 765 (-10%) 0mo $70,000 $92 46
7320 Westwood St 0.72mi 3/1.0 738 (-13%) 2mo $115,000 $156 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$18,830
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$48,593
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48228

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
367
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,419 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $260/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$590

Break-even live

Break-even rent $672
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $641 -5% $616 +0% $590 +5% $565 +10% $539
Rent -10% $478 -5% $534 +0% $590 +5% $646 +10% $702
Rate -1.0pp $635 -0.5pp $613 base $590 +0.5pp $567 +1.0pp $543

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6490 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,299 $1.35 18d 1 0.19mi
5777 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0–2.0 667 $1,530 $2.29 0d 7 0.39mi
5965 Evergreen Rd Dearborn Heights, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,350 $1.64 6d 1 0.63mi
5521 Fairlane Woods Dr Dearborn, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1164 $2,430 $2.09 0d 10 0.67mi
6761 Memorial Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,100 $1.04 26d 1 0.73mi
7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 690 $1,350 $1.96 45d 1 0.99mi
7411 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 888 $1,428 $1.61 14d 1 1.05mi
7794 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 18d 1 1.14mi
8262 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 836 $1,200 $1.44 6d 1 1.23mi
20431 Tireman St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,350 $1.32 19d 1 1.27mi
8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 867 $1,150 $1.33 45d 1 1.34mi
7419 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 981 $1,100 $1.12 0d 1 1.34mi
4900 Heather Dr Dearborn, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 921 $1,980 $2.15 3d 1 1.36mi
8283 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1058 $1,294 $1.22 6d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,900 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-04-18
    listed $89,900 Active 1028-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1024 chars)

    Nestled on a desirable street in Warrendale, this solid, well-maintained home offers both quality construction and an unbeatable location - situated next to Paul and directly across from Carver STEM Academy. Built on a durable poured-concrete foundation, this home features a bright and inviting main floor with beautiful hardwood flooring throughout the spacious living room and dining area. The functional layout includes a well-sized kitchen, three comfortable bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Large, newer windows fill each room with natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere. Step outside to enjoy a charming, park-like yard with mature landscaping, plenty of storage space, and a generous front porch. The basement adds valuable living space and includes a nearly completed full bathroom. Updated plumbing, included washer and dryer, and a furnace and hot water tank in solid working condition. A clean, newer concrete driveway extends to the rear of the property, offering convenient off-street parking.

  16. 2026-04-18
    listed $89,900 Active 1024-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1024 chars)

    Nestled on a desirable street in Warrendale, this solid, well-maintained home offers both quality construction and an unbeatable location - situated next to Paul and directly across from Carver STEM Academy. Built on a durable poured-concrete foundation, this home features a bright and inviting main floor with beautiful hardwood flooring throughout the spacious living room and dining area. The functional layout includes a well-sized kitchen, three comfortable bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Large, newer windows fill each room with natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere. Step outside to enjoy a charming, park-like yard with mature landscaping, plenty of storage space, and a generous front porch. The basement adds valuable living space and includes a nearly completed full bathroom. Updated plumbing, included washer and dryer, and a furnace and hot water tank in solid working condition. A clean, newer concrete driveway extends to the rear of the property, offering convenient off-street parking.

  17. 2026-04-14
    historical $89,900 1024-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1024 chars)

    Nestled on a desirable street in Warrendale, this solid, well-maintained home offers both quality construction and an unbeatable location - situated next to Paul and directly across from Carver STEM Academy. Built on a durable poured-concrete foundation, this home features a bright and inviting main floor with beautiful hardwood flooring throughout the spacious living room and dining area. The functional layout includes a well-sized kitchen, three comfortable bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Large, newer windows fill each room with natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere. Step outside to enjoy a charming, park-like yard with mature landscaping, plenty of storage space, and a generous front porch. The basement adds valuable living space and includes a nearly completed full bathroom. Updated plumbing, included washer and dryer, and a furnace and hot water tank in solid working condition. A clean, newer concrete driveway extends to the rear of the property, offering convenient off-street parking.

  18. 2026-01-19
    historical
  19. 2025-11-24
    status Active
  20. 2025-11-24
    status Active
  21. 2025-11-21
    historical
  22. 2025-11-01
    listed $89,900 Active
  23. 2025-10-31
    listed $89,900 Active
  24. 2016-09-30
    soldstatus $8,000 Sold
  25. 2016-09-30
    soldstatus $8,000 Closed
  26. 2016-09-29
    status Pending
  27. 2016-09-29
    status Pending
  28. 2016-09-18
    price $10,000
  29. 2016-09-18
    price $10,000
  30. 2016-09-13
    listed $15,000 Active
  31. 2016-09-13
    listed $15,000 Active
  32. 2016-02-11
    soldstatus $4,000 Sold
  33. 2016-02-11
    soldstatus $4,000
  34. 2016-01-27
    status Pending
  35. 2016-01-27
    historical
  36. 2015-12-28
    listed $4,900 Active
  37. 2015-12-28
    listed $4,900
  38. 2007-10-31
    soldstatus $105,000
  39. 2007-04-05
    historical
  40. 2007-04-05
    historical
  41. 2006-12-06
    listed $29,900
  42. 2006-12-06
    listed $29,900
  43. 2006-12-05
    historical
  44. 2006-12-05
    historical
  45. 2006-07-12
    listed $45,000
  46. 2006-07-12
    listed $45,000
  47. 2005-02-16
    soldstatus $100,000
  48. 2005-01-21
    historical
  49. 2004-12-20
    historical
  50. 2004-09-24
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$260 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$822 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$562/yr (+$47/mo · 216.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,024
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$260
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,362
− Management
−$1,362
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$5,940
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,426
After-tax cash flow
$5,657/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
50,117
Household income
$30,680
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
4144.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.81%
Current HPI
168.6843
Rent YoY
▼ -2.30%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+28.4% since first listed
48 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Coming Soon $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-24 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-24 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-01 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-09-30 Sold (MLS) $8,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-09-30 Sold (MLS) $8,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-09-29 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-09-29 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2016-09-18 Price Changed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-09-18 Price Changed $10,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-09-13 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-09-13 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-02-11 Sold (MLS) $4,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-02-11 Sold (MLS) $4,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-01-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2016-01-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-12-28 Listed $4,900 REALCOMP
  • 2015-12-28 Listed $4,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2007-04-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-04-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-12-06 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-12-06 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-12-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-12-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-07-12 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-07-12 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2005-01-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-12-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-09-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-09-20 Listed $102,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-07-21 Listed $79,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-07-21 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-04-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2002-12-02 Listed $81,900 REALCOMP
  • 2002-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $71,700 Public Records
  • 2002-07-26 Sold (MLS) $71,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-07-26 Sold (MLS) $71,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-05-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-05-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-05-07 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-05-06 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-14.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $260 · +108.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…