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C Composite 55.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,000

3902 W Wilson St · Farmville, NC 27828
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,472 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 332 Days on market
Built 1913 9,147 sqft lot Est $243k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 3 bed, 2 bath home in a prime location. This beautifully updated home features hardwood floors, a welcoming front porch, along with recently replaced roof, updated HVAC, New Windows, and new doors. Plumbing and electrical fixtures have been updated throughout as well as cabinets, and paint. Refrigerator and storage building convey. A perfect blend of classic charm and contemporary conveniences, act quick to make this one your own!

Key facts

  • New doors
  • Front porch
  • Updated hvac

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSFRONT PORCHRECENTLY REPLACED ROOFUPDATED HVACNEW WINDOWSNEW DOORS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-space carport; Concrete parking surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Brick veneer and frame construction
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Brick/mortar permanent foundation; Built with brick veneer and frame materials
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Vinyl fencing; Paved road frontage (city street and state road)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
  • Flooring: Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Unfurnished; Crawl space foundation (no basement); Storage outbuilding
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (1.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.0% in Farmville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#272 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
  • Pitt County Schools (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #100 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: H B Sugg Elementary (401 students, 99% FRL); Farmville Middle (math 31% / reading 35%, grade F, #305 of 475 statewide, top 65%, 611 students, 100% FRL); Farmville Central High (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 789 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 56% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,300 units permitted in Pitt County in 2024 (204 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pitt County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 332 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $229k implies a 205% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 332 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.09%
Cash-on-cash
6.41%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$242,880
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4252 Pinehurst Ct 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,565 (+6%) 5mo $338,126 $216 72
4266 Pinehurst Ct 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,617 (+10%) 4mo $338,126 $209 68
3400 Bynum Dr 0.39mi 3/2.5 1,444 (-2%) 11mo $238,000 $165 68
185 Lang Farm Rd 0.45mi 3/2.5 1,404 (-5%) 3mo $214,991 $153 67
4272 Pinehurst Ct 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,615 (+10%) 10mo $300,000 $186 65
3354 Clubview Dr 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,515 (+3%) 12mo $250,000 $165 63
4146 East Pine St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,430 (-3%) 1mo $140,000 $98 62
3222 North Contentnea St 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,520 (+3%) 5mo $127,500 $84 56
3346 Clubview Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-8%) 14mo $235,000 $174 56
3242 N Contentnea St 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,393 (-5%) 8mo $210,000 $151 52
3209 North Waverly St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,600 (+9%) 4mo $225,000 $141 48
3178 N Contentnea St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,295 (-12%) 13mo $180,000 $139 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-15,363
Equity at exit
$34,145
10-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$14,466
Equity at exit
$19,800

Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27828

Home prices YoY
-20.9%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,201
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,666/yr
Insurance
$95
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$472
Net cashflow
$342

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,817
Max offer price $229,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,250
Closing costs
$6,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4022 East Horne Ave Farmville, NC 3.0 2.0 1700 $2,250 $1.32 20d 1 0.80mi

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $229,000 Active 332 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,000 Active 331 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,000 Active 330 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,000 Active 329 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,000 Active 328 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $229,000 Active 325 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $229,000 Active 323 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,000 Active 322 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,000 Active 321 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,000 Active 320 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $229,000 Active 317 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,000 Active 316 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,000 Active 315 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,000 Active 314 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,000 Active 313 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $229,000 Active 312 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    price $229,000
  18. 2026-05-18
    status Active
  19. 2026-05-15
    historical
  20. 2026-03-26
    status Active
  21. 2026-03-26
    historical
  22. 2026-02-21
    status Active
  23. 2026-02-20
    historical
  24. 2026-02-12
    status Active
  25. 2026-01-31
    historical
  26. 2026-01-31
    historical
  27. 2026-01-14
    price $239,000
  28. 2026-01-14
    price $239,000
  29. 2025-10-27
    price $249,000
  30. 2025-10-27
    price $249,000
  31. 2025-09-16
    price $254,000
  32. 2025-09-16
    price $254,000
  33. 2025-08-06
    price $259,000
  34. 2025-08-06
    price $259,000
  35. 2025-07-23
    price $264,000
  36. 2025-07-23
    price $264,000
  37. 2025-07-07
    listed $269,000 Active
  38. 2025-07-07
    listed $269,000 Active
  39. 2020-11-09
    soldstatus $75,000
  40. 2002-05-01
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,666 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,878 · $156/mo
Expected delta
+$211/yr (+$18/mo · 12.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,000
− Mortgage interest
−$12,828
− Property taxes
−$1,666
− Insurance
−$1,145
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,160
− Management
−$2,160
− Depreciation
−$6,662
Taxable income
$379
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$91
After-tax cash flow
$4,017/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pitt County Schools
NCES district ID
3700012
Math proficiency
41% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$40,631
Composite
35.67/100
National rank
#4877
State rank
#100 of 178 in NC

Livability — Farmville

Score
66/100
State rank
#272
US rank
#11852

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Farmville, NC
Population (ZIP)
8,155

Population outlook (Pitt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,585 people
By 2030
203,756 · +4.7%
By 2040
220,807 · +13.5%
By 2050
236,614 · +21.6%
By 2075
275,940 · +41.8%
By 2100
300,058 · +54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 37% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pitt

2024 margin
Lean D (+6.0) · D 52.5% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: 8.8pp · 2024: 6.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+6.0 2020: D+9.4 2016: D+7.4 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.30%
Current HPI
193.5248
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+554.3% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $229,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-21 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-20 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-12 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $239,000 TMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $239,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $249,000 TMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $249,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-16 Price Changed $254,000 TMLS
  • 2025-09-16 Price Changed $254,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $259,000 TMLS
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $259,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-07-23 Price Changed $264,000 TMLS
  • 2025-07-23 Price Changed $264,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-07-07 Listed $269,000 TMLS
  • 2025-07-07 Listed $269,000 Hive MLS
  • 2020-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2002-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+16.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,666 · -13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…