3113 Ohio Ave · Middletown, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$81,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 684 sq. ft. ranch-style residence in Middletown offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle on a manageable lot. Built in 1900 and recently renovated, the interior features a bright living area with updated laminate and hardwood flooring that flows into a contemporary eat-in kitchen. This home offers two well-proportioned bedrooms and a fully updated bathroom, providing a turn-key solution for first-time buyers or investors. Notable highlights include forced-air gas heating, a focal-point fireplace, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and a level yard perfect for outdoor relaxation or entertaining. Situated in the Middletown City School District with easy access to local parks and the I-75 corridor, this home combines historic charm with significant modern upgrades in a stable Butler County neighborhood.
Key facts
- 1,307 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 81 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.5% in Middletown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#389 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities D+.
- Middletown City (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #610 of 656 in OH (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,163 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (356 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $566 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.68%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $141,674
- List price
- $81,900
- Delta
- -42.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3121 Illinois Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 712 (+4%) | 14mo | $92,000 | $129 | 78 |
| 3910 Jewell Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-2%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $238 | 58 |
| 3213 Illinois Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+15%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $204 | 58 |
| 2456 Wilbraham Rd | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+6%) | 9mo | $153,500 | $211 | 57 |
| 3606 Jewell Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+5%) | 19mo | $139,000 | $193 | 55 |
| 3903 Vannest Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+6%) | 7mo | $110,500 | $152 | 55 |
| 3004 Yale Dr | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+12%) | 24mo | $168,000 | $219 | 46 |
| 1002 Midway St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 745 (+9%) | 19mo | $156,000 | $209 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $4,605
- Equity at exit
- $12,212
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $27,039
- Equity at exit
- $7,081
Cash invested: $22,932 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45042
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,047 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$429
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $993/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $281
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,475
- Closing costs
- $2,457
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3018 Tytus Ave Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $895 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1002 Auburn St Unit 2 Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $895 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
This 684 sq. ft. ranch-style residence in Middletown offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle on a manageable lot. Built in 1900 and recently renovated, the interior features a bright living area with updated laminate and hardwood flooring that flows into a contemporary eat-in kitchen. This home offers two well-proportioned bedrooms and a fully updated bathroom, providing a turn-key solution for first-time buyers or investors. Notable highlights include forced-air gas heating, a focal-point fireplace, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and a level yard perfect for outdoor relaxation or entertaining. Situated in the Middletown City School District with easy access to local parks and the I-75 corridor, this home combines historic charm with significant modern upgrades in a stable Butler County neighborhood.
-
2026-04-30price $81,900 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
This 684 sq. ft. ranch-style residence in Middletown offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle on a manageable lot. Built in 1900 and recently renovated, the interior features a bright living area with updated laminate and hardwood flooring that flows into a contemporary eat-in kitchen. This home offers two well-proportioned bedrooms and a fully updated bathroom, providing a turn-key solution for first-time buyers or investors. Notable highlights include forced-air gas heating, a focal-point fireplace, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and a level yard perfect for outdoor relaxation or entertaining. Situated in the Middletown City School District with easy access to local parks and the I-75 corridor, this home combines historic charm with significant modern upgrades in a stable Butler County neighborhood.
-
2026-04-16price $89,900 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
This 684 sq. ft. ranch-style residence in Middletown offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle on a manageable lot. Built in 1900 and recently renovated, the interior features a bright living area with updated laminate and hardwood flooring that flows into a contemporary eat-in kitchen. This home offers two well-proportioned bedrooms and a fully updated bathroom, providing a turn-key solution for first-time buyers or investors. Notable highlights include forced-air gas heating, a focal-point fireplace, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and a level yard perfect for outdoor relaxation or entertaining. Situated in the Middletown City School District with easy access to local parks and the I-75 corridor, this home combines historic charm with significant modern upgrades in a stable Butler County neighborhood.
-
2026-04-13price $94,900 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
This 684 sq. ft. ranch-style residence in Middletown offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle on a manageable lot. Built in 1900 and recently renovated, the interior features a bright living area with updated laminate and hardwood flooring that flows into a contemporary eat-in kitchen. This home offers two well-proportioned bedrooms and a fully updated bathroom, providing a turn-key solution for first-time buyers or investors. Notable highlights include forced-air gas heating, a focal-point fireplace, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and a level yard perfect for outdoor relaxation or entertaining. Situated in the Middletown City School District with easy access to local parks and the I-75 corridor, this home combines historic charm with significant modern upgrades in a stable Butler County neighborhood.
-
2026-04-01price $99,900 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
This 684 sq. ft. ranch-style residence in Middletown offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle on a manageable lot. Built in 1900 and recently renovated, the interior features a bright living area with updated laminate and hardwood flooring that flows into a contemporary eat-in kitchen. This home offers two well-proportioned bedrooms and a fully updated bathroom, providing a turn-key solution for first-time buyers or investors. Notable highlights include forced-air gas heating, a focal-point fireplace, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and a level yard perfect for outdoor relaxation or entertaining. Situated in the Middletown City School District with easy access to local parks and the I-75 corridor, this home combines historic charm with significant modern upgrades in a stable Butler County neighborhood.
-
2026-02-20$104,900 Active 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
This 684 sq. ft. ranch-style residence in Middletown offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle on a manageable lot. Built in 1900 and recently renovated, the interior features a bright living area with updated laminate and hardwood flooring that flows into a contemporary eat-in kitchen. This home offers two well-proportioned bedrooms and a fully updated bathroom, providing a turn-key solution for first-time buyers or investors. Notable highlights include forced-air gas heating, a focal-point fireplace, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and a level yard perfect for outdoor relaxation or entertaining. Situated in the Middletown City School District with easy access to local parks and the I-75 corridor, this home combines historic charm with significant modern upgrades in a stable Butler County neighborhood.
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2024-11-13soldstatus $271,000
-
2017-11-13soldstatus $325,000
-
2006-04-21historical
-
2005-11-09soldstatus $50,000
-
2005-10-20$69,900
-
2004-05-10soldstatus $40,000
-
2000-09-14historical
-
2000-03-13$49,500
-
1991-11-19soldstatus $16,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $993 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,136 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$142/yr (+$12/mo · 14.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,562
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,588
- − Property taxes
- −$993
- − Insurance
- −$410
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,005
- − Management
- −$1,005
- − Depreciation
- −$2,383
- Taxable income
- $2,179
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$523
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,844/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Middletown City
- NCES district ID
- 3904440
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,650
- Composite
- 20.35/100
- National rank
- #8605
- State rank
- #610 of 656 in OH
Livability — Middletown
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #389
- US rank
- #6338
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Middletown, OH
- County
- Butler County · 381,674 people
- City population
- 96,117
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,652
- Household income
- $69,520
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 751.0
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 387,706 people
- By 2030
- 392,028 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 395,307 · +2.0%
- By 2050
- 391,116 · +0.9%
- By 2075
- 378,642 · -2.3%
- By 2100
- 343,248 · -11.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.3) · D 36.4% · R 62.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.6pp · 2024: -26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+26.2 2008: R+22.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -169.01%
- Current HPI
- 217.3827
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+411.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $81,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $89,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $94,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $99,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $104,900 Dayton MLS
- 2024-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $271,000 Public Records
- 2017-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $325,000 Public Records
- 2006-04-21 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2005-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2005-10-20 Listed $69,900 Cincy MLS
- 2004-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2000-09-14 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2000-03-13 Listed $49,500 Cincy MLS
- 1991-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $993 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…