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3113 Ohio Ave
B Composite 72.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$81,900

3113 Ohio Ave · Middletown, OH 45042
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 684 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 81 Days on market
Built 1900 1,307 sqft lot $120/sqft · 42% below area Est $142k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 684 sq. ft. ranch-style residence in Middletown offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle on a manageable lot. Built in 1900 and recently renovated, the interior features a bright living area with updated laminate and hardwood flooring that flows into a contemporary eat-in kitchen. This home offers two well-proportioned bedrooms and a fully updated bathroom, providing a turn-key solution for first-time buyers or investors. Notable highlights include forced-air gas heating, a focal-point fireplace, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and a level yard perfect for outdoor relaxation or entertaining. Situated in the Middletown City School District with easy access to local parks and the I-75 corridor, this home combines historic charm with significant modern upgrades in a stable Butler County neighborhood.

Key facts

  • 1,307 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 81 days

Tags

UPDATED LAMINATE FLOORINGUPDATED HARDWOOD FLOORINGCONTEMPORARY EAT-IN KITCHENFULLY UPDATED BATHROOMFORCED-AIR GAS HEATINGFOCAL-POINT FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.5% in Middletown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#389 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities D+.
  • Middletown City (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #610 of 656 in OH (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,163 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (356 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $566 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $76,986 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.40%
Cash-on-cash
14.68%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$141,674
List price
$81,900
Delta
-42.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3121 Illinois Ave 0.09mi 2/1.0 712 (+4%) 14mo $92,000 $129 78
3910 Jewell Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 672 (-2%) 7mo $160,000 $238 58
3213 Illinois Ave 0.12mi 2/1.0 784 (+15%) 15mo $160,000 $204 58
2456 Wilbraham Rd 0.53mi 2/1.0 728 (+6%) 9mo $153,500 $211 57
3606 Jewell Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 720 (+5%) 19mo $139,000 $193 55
3903 Vannest Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 728 (+6%) 7mo $110,500 $152 55
3004 Yale Dr 0.30mi 2/1.0 768 (+12%) 24mo $168,000 $219 46
1002 Midway St 0.72mi 2/1.0 745 (+9%) 19mo $156,000 $209 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$4,605
Equity at exit
$12,212
10-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$27,039
Equity at exit
$7,081

Cash invested: $22,932 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45042

Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,047 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$429
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $993/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$281

Break-even live

Break-even rent $692
Max offer price $81,900
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,475
Closing costs
$2,457
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3018 Tytus Ave Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 726 $895 $1.23 14d 1 0.10mi
1002 Auburn St Unit 2 Middletown, OH 2.0 1.0 600 $895 $1.49 23d 1 1.03mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 863-char remark
    Show marketing remark (863 chars)

    This 684 sq. ft. ranch-style residence in Middletown offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle on a manageable lot. Built in 1900 and recently renovated, the interior features a bright living area with updated laminate and hardwood flooring that flows into a contemporary eat-in kitchen. This home offers two well-proportioned bedrooms and a fully updated bathroom, providing a turn-key solution for first-time buyers or investors. Notable highlights include forced-air gas heating, a focal-point fireplace, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and a level yard perfect for outdoor relaxation or entertaining. Situated in the Middletown City School District with easy access to local parks and the I-75 corridor, this home combines historic charm with significant modern upgrades in a stable Butler County neighborhood.

  2. 2026-04-30
    price $81,900 863-char remark
    Show marketing remark (863 chars)

    This 684 sq. ft. ranch-style residence in Middletown offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle on a manageable lot. Built in 1900 and recently renovated, the interior features a bright living area with updated laminate and hardwood flooring that flows into a contemporary eat-in kitchen. This home offers two well-proportioned bedrooms and a fully updated bathroom, providing a turn-key solution for first-time buyers or investors. Notable highlights include forced-air gas heating, a focal-point fireplace, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and a level yard perfect for outdoor relaxation or entertaining. Situated in the Middletown City School District with easy access to local parks and the I-75 corridor, this home combines historic charm with significant modern upgrades in a stable Butler County neighborhood.

  3. 2026-04-16
    price $89,900 863-char remark
    Show marketing remark (863 chars)

    This 684 sq. ft. ranch-style residence in Middletown offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle on a manageable lot. Built in 1900 and recently renovated, the interior features a bright living area with updated laminate and hardwood flooring that flows into a contemporary eat-in kitchen. This home offers two well-proportioned bedrooms and a fully updated bathroom, providing a turn-key solution for first-time buyers or investors. Notable highlights include forced-air gas heating, a focal-point fireplace, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and a level yard perfect for outdoor relaxation or entertaining. Situated in the Middletown City School District with easy access to local parks and the I-75 corridor, this home combines historic charm with significant modern upgrades in a stable Butler County neighborhood.

  4. 2026-04-13
    price $94,900 863-char remark
    Show marketing remark (863 chars)

    This 684 sq. ft. ranch-style residence in Middletown offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle on a manageable lot. Built in 1900 and recently renovated, the interior features a bright living area with updated laminate and hardwood flooring that flows into a contemporary eat-in kitchen. This home offers two well-proportioned bedrooms and a fully updated bathroom, providing a turn-key solution for first-time buyers or investors. Notable highlights include forced-air gas heating, a focal-point fireplace, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and a level yard perfect for outdoor relaxation or entertaining. Situated in the Middletown City School District with easy access to local parks and the I-75 corridor, this home combines historic charm with significant modern upgrades in a stable Butler County neighborhood.

  5. 2026-04-01
    price $99,900 863-char remark
    Show marketing remark (863 chars)

    This 684 sq. ft. ranch-style residence in Middletown offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle on a manageable lot. Built in 1900 and recently renovated, the interior features a bright living area with updated laminate and hardwood flooring that flows into a contemporary eat-in kitchen. This home offers two well-proportioned bedrooms and a fully updated bathroom, providing a turn-key solution for first-time buyers or investors. Notable highlights include forced-air gas heating, a focal-point fireplace, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and a level yard perfect for outdoor relaxation or entertaining. Situated in the Middletown City School District with easy access to local parks and the I-75 corridor, this home combines historic charm with significant modern upgrades in a stable Butler County neighborhood.

  6. 2026-02-20
    listed $104,900 Active 863-char remark
    Show marketing remark (863 chars)

    This 684 sq. ft. ranch-style residence in Middletown offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle on a manageable lot. Built in 1900 and recently renovated, the interior features a bright living area with updated laminate and hardwood flooring that flows into a contemporary eat-in kitchen. This home offers two well-proportioned bedrooms and a fully updated bathroom, providing a turn-key solution for first-time buyers or investors. Notable highlights include forced-air gas heating, a focal-point fireplace, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and a level yard perfect for outdoor relaxation or entertaining. Situated in the Middletown City School District with easy access to local parks and the I-75 corridor, this home combines historic charm with significant modern upgrades in a stable Butler County neighborhood.

  7. 2024-11-13
    soldstatus $271,000
  8. 2017-11-13
    soldstatus $325,000
  9. 2006-04-21
    historical
  10. 2005-11-09
    soldstatus $50,000
  11. 2005-10-20
    listed $69,900
  12. 2004-05-10
    soldstatus $40,000
  13. 2000-09-14
    historical
  14. 2000-03-13
    listed $49,500
  15. 1991-11-19
    soldstatus $16,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$993 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,136 · $95/mo
Expected delta
+$142/yr (+$12/mo · 14.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,562
− Mortgage interest
−$4,588
− Property taxes
−$993
− Insurance
−$410
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,005
− Management
−$1,005
− Depreciation
−$2,383
Taxable income
$2,179
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$523
After-tax cash flow
$2,844/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Middletown City
NCES district ID
3904440
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$36,650
Composite
20.35/100
National rank
#8605
State rank
#610 of 656 in OH

Livability — Middletown

Score
72/100
State rank
#389
US rank
#6338

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Middletown, OH
County
Butler County · 381,674 people
City population
96,117
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
27,652
Household income
$69,520
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
751.0

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
387,706 people
By 2030
392,028 · +1.1%
By 2040
395,307 · +2.0%
By 2050
391,116 · +0.9%
By 2075
378,642 · -2.3%
By 2100
343,248 · -11.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.3) · D 36.4% · R 62.7%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.6pp · 2024: -26.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+26.2 2008: R+22.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -169.01%
Current HPI
217.3827
Rent YoY
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+411.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $81,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $89,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $94,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $99,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $104,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2024-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $271,000 Public Records
  • 2017-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $325,000 Public Records
  • 2006-04-21 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2005-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2005-10-20 Listed $69,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2004-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2000-09-14 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2000-03-13 Listed $49,500 Cincy MLS
  • 1991-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $993 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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