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3914 14th St SW
D- Composite 38.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.7/10.0

$289,900

3914 14th St SW · Lehigh Acres, FL 33976
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,230 sqft · Land · 11 Days on market
Built 2026 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this Brand new construction home located in the Southwest area close to shopping areas and schools on a Dead End street. This home offers a moderate living area with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, an extended one car garage, and a spacious open lanai. Property has Impact resistant doors and windows. Quarts countertop in kitchen and bathrooms, with white wood cabinets. Epoxy coated garage with smart electric garage opener and sprinkler system. Pictures are from a previous sold model.

Key facts

  • White wood cabinets
  • Quarts countertop
  • Open lanai

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTIONOPEN LANAIIMPACT RESISTANT DOORSQUARTS COUNTERTOPWHITE WOOD CABINETSEPOXY COATED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Non-gated community; No association fee listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 1 covered garage space
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single-story home; New construction; South-facing; North exposure on lot
  • Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Built as new construction
  • Exterior features: Security/high impact doors; Automatic sprinklers/irrigation; Room for a pool; Sprinklers automatic

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Split bedrooms (bedroom locations not specified)
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Open living/dining area; Separate shower; Shower only; High-speed internet available; Split bedroom floorplan; Single-hung windows with impact glass; Unfurnished; Tile flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Dryer hookup inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-495 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (24.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (34.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $191k (34.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 786 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $190,974 (34.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
4.25%
Cash-on-cash
-7.31%
DSCR
0.67
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$120,809
Equity at exit
$261,165
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
5.57×
Total profit
$370,578
Equity at exit
$563,212

Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33976

Home prices YoY
6.8%
Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
786
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,910 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,520
Tax est. 1.5%
$362 /mo · $4,348/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$401
Net cashflow
$-495

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,536
Max offer price $218,310
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,475
Closing costs
$8,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4005 12th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1122 $1,610 $1.43 19d 1 0.09mi
3818 7th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1422 $1,695 $1.19 23d 1 0.40mi
3702 14th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1472 $1,995 $1.36 23d 1 0.42mi
3705 9th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,695 $1.33 14d 1 0.47mi
4218 8th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,800 $1.28 23d 1 0.60mi
3704 6th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,575 $1.43 19d 1 0.61mi
3909 3rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 1.0 852 $2,250 $2.64 23d 1 0.61mi
4001 22nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1055 $1,950 $1.85 2d 1 0.63mi
3615 6th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1378 $1,825 $1.32 23d 1 0.67mi
3600 19th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,746 $1.57 3d 1 0.73mi
3303 8th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,250 $1.61 3d 1 0.75mi
610 Floyd Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,100 $1.50 23d 1 0.77mi
1502 Gretchen Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1270 $2,000 $1.57 3d 1 0.78mi
3408 10th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1385 $1,850 $1.34 21d 1 0.83mi
3402 13th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1117 $1,940 $1.74 3d 1 0.84mi
1544 Gretchen Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1221 $1,800 $1.47 23d 1 0.84mi
57 Xelda Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 3.0 1057 $2,200 $2.08 23d 1 0.85mi
1117 Gordon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1170 $1,750 $1.50 21d 1 0.85mi
4503 15th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 23d 1 0.89mi
1504 Gary Ln Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1198 $1,660 $1.39 23d 1 0.89mi
1506 Gary Ln Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1198 $1,660 $1.39 23d 1 0.89mi
1105 Harold Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 988 $1,250 $1.27 23d 1 0.92mi
704 Gilbert Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1203 $1,475 $1.23 19d 1 0.92mi
716 Gordon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1175 $1,595 $1.36 3d 1 0.94mi
4003 3rd St W Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1311 $1,985 $1.51 23d 1 0.96mi
1113 Harry Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1180 $1,646 $1.39 3d 1 0.97mi
745 Harry Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,699 $1.42 10d 1 0.98mi
3508 3rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1147 $1,699 $1.48 2d 1 0.98mi
4401 22nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1109 $1,345 $1.21 23d 1 0.99mi
4507 20th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1135 $1,400 $1.23 23d 1 1.00mi
729 Harry Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,500 $1.33 23d 1 1.00mi
1509 Haviland Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 23d 1 1.01mi
1511 Haviland Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 23d 1 1.01mi
3315 7th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1212 $1,950 $1.61 23d 1 1.07mi
310 Gordon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1166 $1,599 $1.37 3d 1 1.07mi
310 Gordon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1166 $1,599 $1.37 23d 1 1.07mi
1110 Hightower Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1227 $1,325 $1.08 23d 1 1.08mi
4412 25th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1205 $1,700 $1.41 21d 1 1.08mi
4541 20th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 1.0 924 $1,195 $1.29 23d 1 1.10mi
305 Harold Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1175 $1,650 $1.40 15d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $289,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,917
− Mortgage interest
−$16,239
− Property taxes
−$4,348
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,833
− Management
−$1,833
− Depreciation
−$8,433
Taxable loss
−$11,220
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,693
After-tax cash flow
$-3,244/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
20,277
Household income
$72,679
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
574.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 20% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 18% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
35% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
46% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.77%
Current HPI
340.4255
Rent YoY
▼ -1.54%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $289,900 FORTMLS

Property tax history

+33.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $520 · +33.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…