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5181 #52 Fish Hook Dr SW
C Composite 59.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.7/30.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$113,900

5181 #52 Fish Hook Dr SW · Alexandria, MN 56308
None bd · None ba · — sqft · Other · 12 Days on market
$100/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here's "Lake Livin'" the EASY & AFFORDABLE way on beautiful Lake Mary. Start making those summer memories now in the highly regarded and meticulously kept, Eden Acres Association. Here, its NO work and ALL play because everything is done for you! There’ll be room for everyone in this spacious 40' Breckenridge Travel Trailer along with its air conditioned 150' addition, giving you a whopping 450' of living space. Plus the new covered porch is perfect for grillin' or chillaxin'. Parking is right in front of the trailer too for ease. This property comes fully furnished too! See supplements for complete list. Take in lake views & cruise the beautifully paved paths by foot or by golf cart to not just one, but two sandy beaches—ideal for soaking up the sun or letting the "littles" play. If that wasn't glorious enough, this association includes your own personal boat slip, laundry facilities, stainless steel fish cleaning room, gas on site to fuel the boats & jet skis, below ground concrete storm shelter, playground, kayak storage, private outdoor showers & bathrooms for guest overflow, community room & mini store currently under renovation, and so much more. Eden Acres is a Coop w/ 85 Shares on 21.5 acres. Buyer receives 1 Share in Coop. Whether you're looking for a weekend retreat or a full-season escape, this is your invitation to start making lifelong lake memories.

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Laundry facilities
  • Lake views

Tags

COVERED PORCHLAKE VIEWSTWO SANDY BEACHESPERSONAL BOAT SLIPLAUNDRY FACILITIESPLAYGROUND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a other listed at $114k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $114k).
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.5% in Alexandria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#105 in MN, #2,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
  • Alexandria Public School District (town): math 55% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #64 of 301 in MN (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary (math 67% / reading 57%, grade B, #180 of 857 statewide, top 23%, 466 students, 38% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 51% / reading 57%, grade B-, #48 of 258 statewide, top 19%, 913 students, 34% FRL); Alexandria Area High School (math 39% / reading 62%, grade D+, #131 of 471 statewide, top 28%, 1,302 students, 26% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 413 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 285 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (88 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $787 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $83k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $113,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
8.58%
Cash-on-cash
8.16%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-4,560
Equity at exit
$16,983
10-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$14,152
Equity at exit
$9,848

Cash invested: $31,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56308

Active inventory
413
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,398 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$597
Tax est. 1.5%
$142 /mo · $1,708/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$100
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,123
Max offer price $113,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $296 -5% $256 +0% $217 +5% $178 +10% $138
Rent -10% $106 -5% $162 +0% $217 +5% $272 +10% $327
Rate -1.0pp $274 -0.5pp $246 base $217 +0.5pp $187 +1.0pp $157

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,475
Closing costs
$3,417
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$100 · $1,200/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $113,900 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $113,900 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $113,900 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $113,900 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $113,900 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-05-01
    status Active 1441-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1441 chars)

    Here's "Lake Livin'" the EASY & AFFORDABLE way on beautiful Lake Mary. Start making those summer memories now in the highly regarded and meticulously kept, Eden Acres Association. Here, its NO work and ALL play because everything is done for you! There’ll be room for everyone in this spacious 40' Breckenridge Travel Trailer along with its air conditioned 150' addition, giving you a whopping 450' of living space. Plus the new covered porch is perfect for grillin' or chillaxin'. Parking is right in front of the trailer too for ease. This property comes fully furnished too! See supplements for complete list. Take in lake views & cruise the beautifully paved paths by foot or by golf cart to not just one, but two sandy beaches—ideal for soaking up the sun or letting the "littles" play. If that wasn't glorious enough, this association includes your own personal boat slip, laundry facilities, stainless steel fish cleaning room, gas on site to fuel the boats & jet skis, below ground concrete storm shelter, playground, kayak storage, private outdoor showers & bathrooms for guest overflow, community room & mini store currently under renovation, and so much more. Eden Acres is a Coop w/ 85 Shares on 21.5 acres. Buyer receives 1 Share in Coop. Whether you're looking for a weekend retreat or a full-season escape, this is your invitation to start making lifelong lake memories.

  7. 2026-04-28
    historical 1441-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1441 chars)

    Here's "Lake Livin'" the EASY & AFFORDABLE way on beautiful Lake Mary. Start making those summer memories now in the highly regarded and meticulously kept, Eden Acres Association. Here, its NO work and ALL play because everything is done for you! There’ll be room for everyone in this spacious 40' Breckenridge Travel Trailer along with its air conditioned 150' addition, giving you a whopping 450' of living space. Plus the new covered porch is perfect for grillin' or chillaxin'. Parking is right in front of the trailer too for ease. This property comes fully furnished too! See supplements for complete list. Take in lake views & cruise the beautifully paved paths by foot or by golf cart to not just one, but two sandy beaches—ideal for soaking up the sun or letting the "littles" play. If that wasn't glorious enough, this association includes your own personal boat slip, laundry facilities, stainless steel fish cleaning room, gas on site to fuel the boats & jet skis, below ground concrete storm shelter, playground, kayak storage, private outdoor showers & bathrooms for guest overflow, community room & mini store currently under renovation, and so much more. Eden Acres is a Coop w/ 85 Shares on 21.5 acres. Buyer receives 1 Share in Coop. Whether you're looking for a weekend retreat or a full-season escape, this is your invitation to start making lifelong lake memories.

  8. 2026-03-06
    listed $114,900 Active 1441-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1441 chars)

    Here's "Lake Livin'" the EASY & AFFORDABLE way on beautiful Lake Mary. Start making those summer memories now in the highly regarded and meticulously kept, Eden Acres Association. Here, its NO work and ALL play because everything is done for you! There’ll be room for everyone in this spacious 40' Breckenridge Travel Trailer along with its air conditioned 150' addition, giving you a whopping 450' of living space. Plus the new covered porch is perfect for grillin' or chillaxin'. Parking is right in front of the trailer too for ease. This property comes fully furnished too! See supplements for complete list. Take in lake views & cruise the beautifully paved paths by foot or by golf cart to not just one, but two sandy beaches—ideal for soaking up the sun or letting the "littles" play. If that wasn't glorious enough, this association includes your own personal boat slip, laundry facilities, stainless steel fish cleaning room, gas on site to fuel the boats & jet skis, below ground concrete storm shelter, playground, kayak storage, private outdoor showers & bathrooms for guest overflow, community room & mini store currently under renovation, and so much more. Eden Acres is a Coop w/ 85 Shares on 21.5 acres. Buyer receives 1 Share in Coop. Whether you're looking for a weekend retreat or a full-season escape, this is your invitation to start making lifelong lake memories.

  9. 2025-09-12
    historical
  10. 2025-07-27
    price $116,900
  11. 2025-07-11
    listed $126,900 Active
  12. 2018-06-08
    soldstatus $83,000
  13. 2018-04-02
    listed $84,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,770
− Mortgage interest
−$6,380
− Property taxes
−$1,708
− Insurance
−$570
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,342
− Management
−$1,342
− HOA
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$3,313
Taxable income
$915
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$220
After-tax cash flow
$2,383/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alexandria Public School District
NCES district ID
2703060
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$52,476
Composite
48.0/100
National rank
#2197
State rank
#64 of 301 in MN

Livability — Alexandria

Score
78/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#2409

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Douglas County · 27,008 people
City population
27,008
Metro
Alexandria, MN
Population (ZIP)
27,008
Household income
$78,177
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
550.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,913 people
By 2030
39,636 · +1.9%
By 2040
40,564 · +4.2%
By 2050
40,819 · +4.9%
By 2075
40,824 · +4.9%
By 2100
38,379 · -1.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 22% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.1) · D 31.7% · R 66.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-25.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.5pp · 2024: -35.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.1 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+35.8 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -215.15%
Current HPI
189.1595
Rent YoY
Metro
Alexandria, MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $114,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-12 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-27 Price Changed $116,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $126,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-08 Sold (MLS) $83,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-02 Listed $84,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…