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182 SW Jupiter Gln
B+ Composite 79.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -6.9

$65,000

182 SW Jupiter Gln · Lake City, FL 32024
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,416 sqft · Manufactured public records · 185 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 1984 Fair condition 10,846 sqft lot 2-car garage $46/sqft · 44% below area Est $117k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

4Bed 2Bath HOME offering an excellent layout and endless potential. Ideal Home for Investors or Handyman's seeking there next project. Conveniently located near shopping, dinning and major road way. Property is being sold as-is. Photos have been enhanced or filtered and may not fully reflect current conditions.

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1984

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $865 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.3% vs local median 4.0% in Lake City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#304 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
  • Columbia (town): math 53% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #25 of 73 in FL (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Pinemount Elementary School (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #364 of 2,144 statewide, top 19%, 486 students, 66% FRL); Columbia High School (math 28% / reading 45%, grade F, #351 of 667 statewide, top 54%, 1,737 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 290 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 178 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Columbia County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $65k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.55% ✓
Cap rate
22.27%
Cash-on-cash
57.05%
DSCR
3.54
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,905
List price
$65,000
Delta
-44.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
215 SW Jupiter Gln 0.06mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,359 (-4%) 10mo $121,000 $89 77
245 SW Aspen Gln 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,080 (-24%) 8mo $161,000 $149 58
449 SW Suwannee Downs Dr 1.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+2%) 0mo $178,500 $124 57
262 SW Lynnwood Ave 1.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,512 (+7%) 2mo $155,000 $103 47
136 SW Grand Magnolia Gln 1.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,505 (+6%) 12mo $365,000 $243 40
2971 SW Birley Ave 0.86mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,290 (-9%) 10mo $249,000 $193 37
174 SW Bre Ln 1.45mi 4/2.0 1,620 (+14%) 9mo $335,000 $207 34
379 SW Mollie Ter 1.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (+14%) 4mo $211,000 $130 33
220 SW Magical Ter 0.75mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (+14%) 5mo $76,000 $47 32
106 SW Mollie Ter 1.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,724 (+22%) 5mo $395,000 $229 31
233 SW Shady Ln 0.76mi 4/1.0 1,248 (-12%) 13mo $175,900 $141 30
146 SW Kaman Dr 1.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (-19%) 14mo $135,000 $117 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
69.6%
Equity multiple
5.97×
Total profit
$90,531
Equity at exit
$58,557
10-year hold
IRR
63.4%
Equity multiple
13.27×
Total profit
$223,303
Equity at exit
$126,281

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
1 active
Months of supply
6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$235,000 ($193/sqft)
Median days on market
117 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
-57.3% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 32024

Home prices YoY
7.6%
Active inventory
290
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,656 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax from tax record
−$75 /mo · $896/yr
Insurance
−$27
HOA
−$0
Lot rent leased land?
−$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$348
Net cashflow
$865

Break-even live

Break-even rent $560
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $902 -5% $884 +0% $865 +5% $847 +10% $828
Rent -10% $734 -5% $800 +0% $865 +5% $931 +10% $996
Rate -1.0pp $898 -0.5pp $882 base $865 +0.5pp $848 +1.0pp $831

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
121 SW Bre Ln Lake City, FL 4.0 2.0 1434 $2,150 $1.50 0d 1 1.49mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Residential zoning (RES)Lot approximately 0.249 acres (75 x 145)Located in Woodgate Village

Exterior

Parking
2-car garage
Home design
Manufactured homeSingle-story
Construction
Frame constructionMetal roof
Exterior features
Covered patio/porchWood fencing

Interior

Kitchen
Electric cooktopRefrigerator
Flooring
Carpet
Bathrooms
Two full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning
Interior features
Electric cooktopRefrigerator

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 185 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 184 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $65,000 Active 183 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 182 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 181 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 179 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 178 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 177 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 176 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $65,000 Active 175 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $65,000 Active 174 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $65,000 Active 173 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $65,000 Active 172 DOM
  14. 2026-10-25
    days on market $65,000 Active 171 DOM
  15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $65,000 Active 170 DOM
  16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $65,000 Active 169 DOM
  17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $65,000 Active 168 DOM
  18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 167 DOM
  19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $65,000 Active 166 DOM
  20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 165 DOM
  21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 164 DOM
  22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 163 DOM
  23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 162 DOM
  24. 2026-10-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 161 DOM
  25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 160 DOM
  26. 2026-10-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 159 DOM
  27. 2026-10-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 158 DOM
  28. 2026-10-11
    days on market $65,000 Active 157 DOM
  29. 2026-10-10
    days on market $65,000 Active 156 DOM
  30. 2026-10-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 155 DOM
  31. 2026-10-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 154 DOM
  32. 2026-10-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 153 DOM
  33. 2026-10-06
    days on market $65,000 Active 152 DOM
  34. 2026-10-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 151 DOM
  35. 2026-10-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 150 DOM
  36. 2026-10-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 149 DOM
  37. 2026-10-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 148 DOM
  38. 2026-10-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 147 DOM
  39. 2026-09-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 146 DOM
  40. 2026-09-29
    days on market $65,000 Active 145 DOM
  41. 2026-09-28
    days on market $65,000 Active 144 DOM
  42. 2026-09-27
    days on market $65,000 Active 143 DOM
  43. 2026-09-26
    days on market $65,000 Active 142 DOM
  44. 2026-09-25
    days on market $65,000 Active 141 DOM
  45. 2026-09-24
    days on market $65,000 Active 140 DOM
  46. 2026-09-23
    days on market $65,000 Active 139 DOM
  47. 2026-09-20
    days on market $65,000 Active 136 DOM
  48. 2026-09-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 134 DOM
  49. 2026-09-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 133 DOM
  50. 2026-09-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 132 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$896 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$896 · $75/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,866
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$896
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,589
− Management
−$1,589
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$9,935
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,384
After-tax cash flow
$7,999/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $35,400–$63,720 screening

The home is in fair condition with moderate repairs needed. Clutter removal is the highest-ROI update to assess the true condition and increase its value.

Deferred maintenance Est. $70,000–$210,000 screening

  • Major Roof (roof) — No roof visible
  • Major Hvac (hvac) — No HVAC visible
  • Major Windows (windows) — No windows visible
  • Major Electrical (electrical) — No electrical panel visible
  • Major Plumbing (plumbing) — No plumbing visible
  • Major Exterior (exterior) — No exterior visible
  • Major Other — No other components visible

Repairs flagged

  • Major Clutter removal — The home is cluttered with items that need to be removed to assess the condition of the interior and exterior.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Clutter removal — Removing clutter will reveal the true condition of the home and make it more appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 53/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Pinemount Elementary School A- FL #364/2,144 Nat'l #3,487/41,679 Middle Lake City Middle School C+ FL #205/571 Nat'l #2,785/14,009 High Columbia High School F FL #351/667 Nat'l #9,347/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia
NCES district ID
1200360
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$40,053
Composite
44.74/100
National rank
#2750
State rank
#25 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 73/100

Livability — Lake City

Score
73/100
State rank
#304
US rank
#5154

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Columbia · 68,129 people
City population
40,507
Population (ZIP)
20,644
Household income
$62,066
Rent vs Own
14.7% rent · 85.3% own
Severe rent burden
8% of renters

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,129 people
By 2030
67,501 · -0.9%
By 2040
65,465 · -3.9%
By 2050
63,058 · -7.4%
By 2075
56,291 · -17.4%
By 2100
45,243 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.6% · R 74.7%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.8pp · 2024: -50.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.2 2020: R+45.2 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+36.7 2008: R+33.8

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

+88.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $69,900 NFMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $73,900 NFMLS
  • 1984-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $896 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…