2901 Longhorn Dr · Llano Grande, TX 78596

$123,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · Manufactured · 267 Days on market

Built 2022 Good condition 5,502 sqft lot $118/sqft · 80% above area ↓ 5% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.7/30.0
• DSCR +8.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.4/10.0
• Appreciation +4.7/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Livability +2.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this well kept mobile home that features 3 bedrooms 2 bathrooms and was manufactured in 2021. It has a nice functional layout that uses the space perfectly and nothing is wasted. Turn key ready to move in and all at a great price!

Key facts

• 5,502 sq ft lot
• Built 2022
• Listed 267 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $123k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $123k).
• Recommended offer: $108k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,288 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Weslaco ISD (suburban): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #705 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 710 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $131 of equity ($850 loan paydown + $-719 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
• Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 267 days — a 12% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $108,240 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 267 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.14% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.79%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.92%
• DSCR: 1.40
• GRM: 7.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $68,380
• List price: $123,000
• Delta: 79.88%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 5 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3120 Boca Chica Dr	0.71mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,056 (+2%)	3mo	$115,000	$109	57
3010 Palmetto Dr	0.74mi	2/2.0 (-1)	924 (-11%)	10mo	$69,900	$76	33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 6.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.27×
• Total profit: $9,398
• Equity at exit: $32,164

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.21×
• Total profit: $41,738
• Equity at exit: $35,932

Cash invested: $34,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78596

• Home prices YoY: -0.2%
• Active inventory: 710
• Price-to-rent: 7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,400 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$645
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$154 /mo · $1,845/yr
• Insurance: −$51
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$294
• Net cashflow: $256

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,076

Max offer price $123,000

Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $341	-5% $299	+0% $256	+5% $214	+10% $171
Rent	-10% $146	-5% $201	+0% $256	+5% $311	+10% $367
Rate	-1.0pp $318	-0.5pp $287	base $256	+0.5pp $224	+1.0pp $192

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $30,750
• Closing costs: $3,690
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2004 Ginger Ave Weslaco, TX	3.0	2.0	1332	$1,600	$1.20	44d	1	0.82mi
2801 Laquinta Weslaco, TX	2.0	1.0	984	$1,350	$1.37	44d	1	0.84mi
2101 Brightwood Ave Weslaco, TX	3.0	2.0	1494	$1,750	$1.17	45d	1	0.93mi
1635 Playa Dr Unit 1 Weslaco, TX	2.0	2.0	988	$1,095	$1.11	44d	1	1.43mi
1630 Playa Dr Unit 1 Weslaco, TX	2.0	2.0	935	$1,095	$1.17	44d	1	1.43mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-03
   days on market $123,000 Active 267 DOM
2. 2026-06-02
   days on market $123,000 Active 266 DOM
3. 2026-06-01
   days on market $123,000 Active 265 DOM
4. 2026-05-31
   days on market $123,000 Active 264 DOM
5. 2025-09-09
   listed $123,000 Active 240-char remark

   Show marketing remark (240 chars)

   Check out this well kept mobile home that features 3 bedrooms 2 bathrooms and was manufactured in 2021. It has a nice functional layout that uses the space perfectly and nothing is wasted. Turn key ready to move in and all at a great price!

6. 2025-02-12
   listed $130,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,802
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,890
• − Property taxes: −$1,845
• − Insurance: −$615
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,344
• − Management: −$1,344
• − Depreciation: −$3,578
• Taxable income: $1,186
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$285
• After-tax cash flow: $2,789/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained mobile home is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Weslaco ISD
• NCES district ID: 4844960
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -29.00%
• Reading proficiency: 31% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $32,867
• Composite: 22.05/100
• National rank: #8196
• State rank: #705 of 826 in TX

Livability — Llano Grande

• Score: 56/100
• State rank: #1288
• US rank: #22408

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Llano Grande, TX
• Population (ZIP): 38,942

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 955,232 people
• By 2030: 1,009,774 · +5.7%
• By 2040: 1,120,332 · +17.3%
• By 2050: 1,225,036 · +28.2%
• By 2075: 1,439,189 · +50.7%
• By 2100: 1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 86% Two or more races 38% White 13%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 82%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada
• Languages at home: 27% English-only · Spanish 72%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.58%
• Current HPI: 261.5117
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-5.4% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2025-09-09 Listed $123,000 MCALLENMLS
• 2025-02-12 Listed $130,000 MCALLENMLS