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2750 W Nichols St
C Composite 55.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

2750 W Nichols St · Springfield, MO 65803
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,408 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1961 0.50 ac lot $92/sqft · 19% below area Est $161k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

As-is sale -- priced for investors. Currently tenant occupied at $1,050/month. Zoned R-MX1, permitting duplexes, townhomes, and small multi-unit housing -- strong value-add potential for investors looking to maximize density. Located on the same street as Nichols Park, a 17-acre neighborhood park with walking trails, playground, tennis and pickleball courts.

Key facts

  • Zoned r-mx1
  • Walking trails
  • Playground

Tags

ZONED R-MX117-ACRE NEIGHBORHOOD PARKWALKING TRAILSPLAYGROUNDTENNIS AND PICKLEBALL COURTS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Exterior features: Half-acre lot; Subdivision: Fairfield Acres

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Natural gas, forced air heating
  • Interior features: One-level living; Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (10.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bissett Elem. (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #879 of 1,115 statewide, top 81%, 215 students, 86% FRL); Central High (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #92 of 521 statewide, top 20%, 1,464 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 46% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,345 (10.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.34%
Cash-on-cash
3.74%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$161,440
List price
$130,000
Delta
-19.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2336 W Nichols St 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,391 (-1%) 3mo $147,900 $106 75
2930 W Lynn St 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,317 (-6%) 1mo $149,900 $114 67
718 N Hillcrest Ave 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (-8%) 3mo $154,500 $119 65
3215 W Calhoun St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,368 (-3%) 3mo $192,500 $141 64
735 N Brown Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,209 (-14%) 1mo $115,000 $95 61
1024 N Brown Ave 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,258 (-11%) 2mo $100,000 $79 57
3200 W Lynn St 0.61mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,352 (-4%) 4mo $189,900 $140 55
1137a N Dickerson Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-8%) 2mo $229,900 $177 51
1135 N Dickerson Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-8%) 2mo $229,900 $177 51
1027 Warren Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,209 (-14%) 2mo $180,000 $149 50
2157 W Phelps St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,514 (+8%) 1mo $164,900 $109 49
521 N Warren Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,260 (-10%) 2mo $119,500 $95 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-12,414
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$4,514
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65803

Home prices YoY
-29.8%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
394
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,163 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $838/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,020
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $187 -5% $150 +0% $113 +5% $77 +10% $40
Rent -10% $21 -5% $67 +0% $113 +5% $159 +10% $205
Rate -1.0pp $179 -0.5pp $146 base $113 +0.5pp $80 +1.0pp $45

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
741 N West Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 912 $950 $1.04 45d 1 0.36mi
740 N West Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 24d 1 0.39mi
3016 W Hovey St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1059 $1,350 $1.27 45d 1 0.49mi
2602 W College St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1350 $995 $0.74 14d 1 0.73mi
2854 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 945 $995 $1.05 22d 1 0.80mi
3031 W Pacific St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,295 $1.28 22d 1 0.81mi
250 N Hilton Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1153 $628 $0.54 14d 1 0.84mi
3028 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 975 $850 $0.87 22d 1 0.85mi
3002 W Elm St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1128 $1,295 $1.15 22d 1 0.90mi
2541 W Lincoln St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1034 $975 $0.94 45d 1 0.93mi
2412 W Lincoln St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,295 $1.03 24d 1 1.00mi
547 S Hilton Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,175 $1.17 45d 1 1.13mi
1406 W Calhoun St Unit B Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 885 $865 $0.98 24d 1 1.27mi
2222 N Hillcrest Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,395 $0.78 45d 1 1.37mi
2204 W Madison St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,095 $1.14 14d 1 1.39mi
412 S Duke Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,585 $1.13 14d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $130,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 16 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $130,000 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-05-14
    listed $130,000 Active 360-char remark
  15. 2017-07-11
    listed $69,900
  16. 2014-03-22
    listed $78,900
  17. 2010-09-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$838 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,261 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$423/yr (+$35/mo · 50.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,961
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$838
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,117
− Management
−$1,117
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$824
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$198
After-tax cash flow
$1,559/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
42,882
Household income
$50,572
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.08%
Current HPI
205.0439
Rent YoY
▲ 4.24%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+64.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Relisted SOMO
  • 2026-05-28 Pending SOMO
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $130,000 SOMO
  • 2017-07-11 Listed $69,900 SOMO
  • 2014-03-22 Listed $78,900 SOMO
  • 2010-09-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $838 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…