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2700 Highland Dr
D Composite 41.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

2700 Highland Dr · Alamogordo, NM 88310
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,053 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 158 Days on market
Built 1965 0.25 ac lot $97/sqft · 8% above area Est $187k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Seller is offering $3,000 towards closing costs and lender pre-paids! Welcome to this charming and move-in ready Alamogordo home with 2,064 sq ft of space! This property features 3 bedrooms, 1.75 bathrooms, and two spacious living areas. Enjoy updated flooring, fresh interior paint, and a bright kitchen with a skylight, recently updated stove and microwave. Stay comfortable year-round with refrigerated air. Outside offers a detached 1-car garage and a spacious backyard. Great space, great updates, and ready for you to call home!

Key facts

  • Bright kitchen
  • Updated flooring
  • Fresh interior paint

Tags

UPDATED FLOORINGFRESH INTERIOR PAINTBRIGHT KITCHENSKYLIGHTRECENTLY UPDATED STOVERECENTLY UPDATED MICROWAVE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#5 in NM, #3,233 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, schools F.
  • Alamogordo Public Schools (town): math 26% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #26 of 95 in NM (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 444 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6 units permitted in Otero County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Otero County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $170,659 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.88%
Cash-on-cash
2.11%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$186,608
List price
$199,900
Delta
7.12%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-28,458
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-26,058
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88310

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
444
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,707 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,417/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$99

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,582
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2606 Pontiac Dr Alamogordo, NM 3.0 2.0 1785 $1,650 $0.92 23d 1 0.09mi
1409 Juniper Dr Alamogordo, NM 3.0 2.0 2536 $1,550 $0.61 43d 1 0.32mi
3007 Del Sur Alamogordo, NM 3.0 2.0 1901 $1,800 $0.95 43d 1 0.40mi
2201 Mesa Ln Alamogordo, NM 3.0 2.0 1408 $3,000 $2.13 23d 1 0.68mi
1502 Campbell Pl Alamogordo, NM 3.0 2.0 1816 $1,450 $0.80 23d 1 0.73mi
1309 Jackson Ave Alamogordo, NM 4.0 2.0 1467 $1,500 $1.02 43d 1 1.29mi
2200 1st St Alamogordo, NM 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1011 $1,979 $1.96 3d 18 1.48mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $199,900 Pending 158 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,900 Active 157 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,900 Active 156 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,900 Active 155 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,900 Active 154 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 153 DOM
  7. 2026-04-29
    price $200,000 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    Seller is offering $3,000 towards closing costs and lender pre-paids! Welcome to this charming and move-in ready Alamogordo home with 2,064 sq ft of space! This property features 3 bedrooms, 1.75 bathrooms, and two spacious living areas. Enjoy updated flooring, fresh interior paint, and a bright kitchen with a skylight, recently updated stove and microwave. Stay comfortable year-round with refrigerated air. Outside offers a detached 1-car garage and a spacious backyard. Great space, great updates, and ready for you to call home!

  8. 2026-03-13
    price $210,000 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    Seller is offering $3,000 towards closing costs and lender pre-paids! Welcome to this charming and move-in ready Alamogordo home with 2,064 sq ft of space! This property features 3 bedrooms, 1.75 bathrooms, and two spacious living areas. Enjoy updated flooring, fresh interior paint, and a bright kitchen with a skylight, recently updated stove and microwave. Stay comfortable year-round with refrigerated air. Outside offers a detached 1-car garage and a spacious backyard. Great space, great updates, and ready for you to call home!

  9. 2026-02-23
    price $225,000 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    Seller is offering $3,000 towards closing costs and lender pre-paids! Welcome to this charming and move-in ready Alamogordo home with 2,064 sq ft of space! This property features 3 bedrooms, 1.75 bathrooms, and two spacious living areas. Enjoy updated flooring, fresh interior paint, and a bright kitchen with a skylight, recently updated stove and microwave. Stay comfortable year-round with refrigerated air. Outside offers a detached 1-car garage and a spacious backyard. Great space, great updates, and ready for you to call home!

  10. 2025-12-29
    listed $230,000 Active 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    Seller is offering $3,000 towards closing costs and lender pre-paids! Welcome to this charming and move-in ready Alamogordo home with 2,064 sq ft of space! This property features 3 bedrooms, 1.75 bathrooms, and two spacious living areas. Enjoy updated flooring, fresh interior paint, and a bright kitchen with a skylight, recently updated stove and microwave. Stay comfortable year-round with refrigerated air. Outside offers a detached 1-car garage and a spacious backyard. Great space, great updates, and ready for you to call home!

  11. 2023-07-21
    soldstatus Closed 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath home that offers an abundance of space. With two spacious living areas, you'll have plenty of room to spread out and relax. The living areas feature large windows that let in natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The updated kitchen is perfect for cooking and entertaining. The kitchen boasts modern appliances, sleek countertops, and ample storage space. Whether you're hosting a dinner party or preparing a quiet meal at home, this kitchen has everything you need. Located directly off the kitchen is a room that could would be perfect for extra storage, pantry, or mudroom. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make this house your dream home!

  12. 2023-07-21
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath home that offers an abundance of space. With two spacious living areas, you'll have plenty of room to spread out and relax. The living areas feature large windows that let in natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The updated kitchen is perfect for cooking and entertaining. The kitchen boasts modern appliances, sleek countertops, and ample storage space. Whether you're hosting a dinner party or preparing a quiet meal at home, this kitchen has everything you need. Located directly off the kitchen is a room that could would be perfect for extra storage, pantry, or mudroom. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make this house your dream home!

  13. 2023-06-09
    status Pending 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath home that offers an abundance of space. With two spacious living areas, you'll have plenty of room to spread out and relax. The living areas feature large windows that let in natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The updated kitchen is perfect for cooking and entertaining. The kitchen boasts modern appliances, sleek countertops, and ample storage space. Whether you're hosting a dinner party or preparing a quiet meal at home, this kitchen has everything you need. Located directly off the kitchen is a room that could would be perfect for extra storage, pantry, or mudroom. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make this house your dream home!

  14. 2023-05-24
    status Active 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath home that offers an abundance of space. With two spacious living areas, you'll have plenty of room to spread out and relax. The living areas feature large windows that let in natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The updated kitchen is perfect for cooking and entertaining. The kitchen boasts modern appliances, sleek countertops, and ample storage space. Whether you're hosting a dinner party or preparing a quiet meal at home, this kitchen has everything you need. Located directly off the kitchen is a room that could would be perfect for extra storage, pantry, or mudroom. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make this house your dream home!

  15. 2023-05-16
    status Pending 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath home that offers an abundance of space. With two spacious living areas, you'll have plenty of room to spread out and relax. The living areas feature large windows that let in natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The updated kitchen is perfect for cooking and entertaining. The kitchen boasts modern appliances, sleek countertops, and ample storage space. Whether you're hosting a dinner party or preparing a quiet meal at home, this kitchen has everything you need. Located directly off the kitchen is a room that could would be perfect for extra storage, pantry, or mudroom. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make this house your dream home!

  16. 2023-05-09
    price $175,000 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath home that offers an abundance of space. With two spacious living areas, you'll have plenty of room to spread out and relax. The living areas feature large windows that let in natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The updated kitchen is perfect for cooking and entertaining. The kitchen boasts modern appliances, sleek countertops, and ample storage space. Whether you're hosting a dinner party or preparing a quiet meal at home, this kitchen has everything you need. Located directly off the kitchen is a room that could would be perfect for extra storage, pantry, or mudroom. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make this house your dream home!

  17. 2023-04-11
    price $194,900 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath home that offers an abundance of space. With two spacious living areas, you'll have plenty of room to spread out and relax. The living areas feature large windows that let in natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The updated kitchen is perfect for cooking and entertaining. The kitchen boasts modern appliances, sleek countertops, and ample storage space. Whether you're hosting a dinner party or preparing a quiet meal at home, this kitchen has everything you need. Located directly off the kitchen is a room that could would be perfect for extra storage, pantry, or mudroom. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make this house your dream home!

  18. 2023-03-01
    listed $199,900 Active 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath home that offers an abundance of space. With two spacious living areas, you'll have plenty of room to spread out and relax. The living areas feature large windows that let in natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The updated kitchen is perfect for cooking and entertaining. The kitchen boasts modern appliances, sleek countertops, and ample storage space. Whether you're hosting a dinner party or preparing a quiet meal at home, this kitchen has everything you need. Located directly off the kitchen is a room that could would be perfect for extra storage, pantry, or mudroom. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make this house your dream home!

  19. 2022-10-08
    soldstatus
  20. 2015-10-08
    soldstatus
  21. 2015-05-26
    listed $129,700
  22. 2014-02-17
    soldstatus
  23. 2013-09-06
    listed $52,900
  24. 2013-03-04
    soldstatus
  25. 2006-12-28
    soldstatus
  26. 2006-12-28
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,417 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,599 · $133/mo
Expected delta
+$182/yr (+$15/mo · 12.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,479
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$1,417
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,638
− Management
−$1,638
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$2,227
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$534
After-tax cash flow
$1,717/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alamogordo Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500030
Math proficiency
26%
Reading proficiency
39%
Median HH income
$42,194
Composite
30.24/100
National rank
#11572
State rank
#26 of 95 in NM

Livability — Alamogordo

Score
77/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#3233

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Alamogordo, NM
County
Otero County · 36,983 people
City population
36,983
Metro
Alamogordo, NM
Population (ZIP)
36,983
Household income
$57,214
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
1231.0

Population outlook (Otero County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,967 people
By 2030
62,164 · -1.3%
By 2040
60,253 · -4.3%
By 2050
58,575 · -7.0%
By 2075
55,411 · -12.0%
By 2100
48,551 · -22.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Otero

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.4% · R 62.4% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.88%
Current HPI
181.737
Rent YoY
▲ 1.65%
Metro
Alamogordo, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+278.1% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $200,000 OCAOR
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $210,000 OCAOR
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $225,000 OCAOR
  • 2025-12-29 Listed $230,000 OCAOR
  • 2023-07-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-07-21 Sold (MLS) OCAOR
  • 2023-06-09 Pending OCAOR
  • 2023-05-24 Relisted OCAOR
  • 2023-05-16 Pending OCAOR
  • 2023-05-09 Price Changed $175,000 OCAOR
  • 2023-04-11 Price Changed $194,900 OCAOR
  • 2023-03-01 Listed $199,900 OCAOR
  • 2022-10-08 Sold (MLS) OCAOR
  • 2015-10-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-05-26 Listed $129,700 OCAOR
  • 2014-02-17 Sold (MLS) SNMMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2013-09-06 Listed $52,900 SNMMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2013-03-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-12-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-12-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,417 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…