729 W Church St · Elmira, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming two-story, 4-bedroom, 1-bath home in the West Elmira area offering solid bones and plenty of potential. The home features a spacious layout with large bedrooms and good storage throughout. One bedroom includes access to a private balcony. Original woodwork adds character and charm. Enjoy a covered front porch as well as a side porch ideal for relaxing. Detached two-car garage. Full, unfinished walk-in attic provides additional storage or future living space. If you’re looking for a roomy house with lots of character, this is it! You’ll feel right at home as soon as you walk in.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Private balcony
- Side porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $135 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 10.1% in Elmira — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.26%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $169,401
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -35.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356 Euclid Ave | 0.27mi | 4/1.5 | 1,864 (-2%) | 5mo | $128,000 | $69 | 78 |
| 55 Hoffman St | 0.21mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,785 (-6%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $64 | 73 |
| 907 W Clinton St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,958 (+3%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $140 | 66 |
| 816 W Gray St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,642 (-13%) | 0mo | $133,000 | $81 | 66 |
| 413 West Hudson St | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 | 1,888 (-0%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $24 | 62 |
| 862 Fassett Rd | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,880 (-1%) | 0mo | $315,525 | $168 | 61 |
| 354 Euclid Ave | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,716 (-10%) | 8mo | $100,000 | $58 | 61 |
| 106 Elm St | 0.54mi | 4/1.5 | 2,027 (+7%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $22 | 60 |
| 903 W 1st St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,632 (-14%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $77 | 55 |
| 34 Sunnyside Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 | 1,968 (+4%) | 8mo | $245,900 | $125 | 53 |
| 460 W 3rd St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,716 (-10%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $23 | 52 |
| 632 Partridge St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,632 (-14%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $95 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-9,104
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $3,610
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14905
- Home prices YoY
- -9.4%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,335 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$297 /mo · $3,569/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $135
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $197 | -5% $166 | +0% $135 | +5% $104 | +10% $73 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $29 | -5% $82 | +0% $135 | +5% $188 | +10% $240 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $190 | -0.5pp $163 | base $135 | +0.5pp $106 | +1.0pp $77 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514 W 1st St Unit A Elmira, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,275 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 355 W Clinton St Unit 1 Elmira, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,400 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 106 W 2nd St Unit A Elmira, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1395 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $109,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 623-char remark
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $109,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $124,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $124,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-04-11price $124,900 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
Charming two-story, 4-bedroom, 1-bath home in the West Elmira area offering solid bones and plenty of potential. The home features a spacious layout with large bedrooms and good storage throughout. One bedroom includes access to a private balcony. Original woodwork adds character and charm. Enjoy a covered front porch as well as a side porch ideal for relaxing. Detached two-car garage. Full, unfinished walk-in attic provides additional storage or future living space. If you’re looking for a roomy house with lots of character, this is it! You’ll feel right at home as soon as you walk in.
-
2026-02-19price $139,900 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
Charming two-story, 4-bedroom, 1-bath home in the West Elmira area offering solid bones and plenty of potential. The home features a spacious layout with large bedrooms and good storage throughout. One bedroom includes access to a private balcony. Original woodwork adds character and charm. Enjoy a covered front porch as well as a side porch ideal for relaxing. Detached two-car garage. Full, unfinished walk-in attic provides additional storage or future living space. If you’re looking for a roomy house with lots of character, this is it! You’ll feel right at home as soon as you walk in.
-
2026-01-08$149,900 Active 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
Charming two-story, 4-bedroom, 1-bath home in the West Elmira area offering solid bones and plenty of potential. The home features a spacious layout with large bedrooms and good storage throughout. One bedroom includes access to a private balcony. Original woodwork adds character and charm. Enjoy a covered front porch as well as a side porch ideal for relaxing. Detached two-car garage. Full, unfinished walk-in attic provides additional storage or future living space. If you’re looking for a roomy house with lots of character, this is it! You’ll feel right at home as soon as you walk in.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,569 · $297/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,569 · $297/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,015
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$3,569
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,281
- − Management
- −$1,281
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable loss
- −$19
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,622/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elmira City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610560
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,180
- Composite
- 24.39/100
- National rank
- #7688
- State rank
- #580 of 590 in NY
Livability — Elmira
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #832
- US rank
- #16139
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elmira, NY
- City population
- 14,276
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,976
Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,931 people
- By 2030
- 80,356 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 74,745 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 69,012 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 55,689 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 41,428 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chemung
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.09%
- Current HPI
- 252.0326
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-16.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $139,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-01-08 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,569 · -13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…