2105 Shirley Dr · Corpus Christi, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This unique property offers endless opportunities for an investor. Main home is a 3-bedroom 1 bath with garage. Back unit is an ADU with a garage attached.
Key facts
- Adu
- Garage attached
- 6,050 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Front entry; Attached garage with 1 covered space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Single-story home; Shingle roof; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation
- Construction: Built with pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Interior lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No notable interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $72 ($861/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Corpus Christi ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #562 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $90k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.75%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,896
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -32.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1941 Sherman St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,158 (-3%) | 14mo | $150,500 | $130 | 68 |
| 4730 Orchid | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,098 (-8%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $146 | 64 |
| 4801 Prescott St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,279 (+7%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $86 | 61 |
| 2009 Hudson St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,043 (-13%) | 7mo | $179,900 | $172 | 60 |
| 4457 Carlton St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,158 (-3%) | 12mo | $94,900 | $82 | 60 |
| 2517 Viola Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,229 (+3%) | 8mo | $114,900 | $93 | 55 |
| 1625 Birch Pl | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,124 (-6%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $71 | 52 |
| 1630 Hudson St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-13%) | 1mo | $172,999 | $166 | 51 |
| 1605 Chula Vis | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-6%) | 9mo | $39,950 | $36 | 48 |
| 1626 Birch Pl | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,055 (-12%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $147 | 45 |
| 4462 Carlton St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (-14%) | 11mo | $117,500 | $115 | 36 |
| 4934 Dubose St | 0.72mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,331 (+11%) | 6mo | $166,900 | $125 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $22,454
- Equity at exit
- $47,587
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $66,163
- Equity at exit
- $79,477
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78416
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,492 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,055/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $72
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4326 Vestal St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,125 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2041 Harvard St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,400 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2106 Harvard St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,225 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2122 Harvard St Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,250 | $1.46 | 13d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1837 Horne Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1458 W Point Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 777 | $980 | $1.26 | 13d | 2 | 0.75mi |
| 4241 Green Grove Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1345 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4005 Green Grove Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $1,695 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 225 Watson St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1472 | $1,295 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4818 Kendall Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1169 | $1,250 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 200 Clemmer St Unit A Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,199 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1522 Cambridge Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1278 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1446 Annapolis Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2709 Milo St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,700 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1534 Lazy Ln Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4625 Kostoryz Rd Unit 108 Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $975 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1722 Trenton Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $2,100 | $1.47 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4313 Molina Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,250 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-24$89,900 Active 155-char remark
-
2025-09-05soldstatus
-
2001-12-26soldstatus $59,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,055 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,055 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,901
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$2,055
- − Insurance
- −$5,568
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,432
- − Management
- −$1,432
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable loss
- −$238
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$57
- After-tax cash flow
- $918/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corpus Christi ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815270
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,672
- Composite
- 28.27/100
- National rank
- #6793
- State rank
- #562 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corpus Christi
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corpus Christi, TX
- County
- Nueces County · 296,836 people
- City population
- 296,836
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,480
- Household income
- $43,198
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 386.0
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 79% Two or more races 38% Black 16% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 72%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 49%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.38%
- Current HPI
- 139.6557
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+52.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $89,900 CBMLS
- 2025-09-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,055 · +12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…