1119 Stanley Allen Dr · Fort Knox, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Available again and ready for showings. Attractive home in a convenient location with easy access for buyers. Looking for a home that gives you space, comfort, and a layout that actually works? Welcome to 1119 Stanley Allen Dr in Vine Grove, KY. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home is built for everyday living with two separate living areas, giving you the flexibility to spread out, entertain, or create a second family room, playroom, or home office. The main living space is bright and open, flowing right into a well-appointed kitchen featuring rich espresso cabinetry, a center island, stone-look countertops, stainless appliances, and durable wood-look LVP flooring. The split-bedroom layout offers p
Key facts
- Stainless appliances
- Center island
- 3 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#184 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Meade County (rural): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #21 of 165 in KY (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Meade County High School (math 30% / reading 42%, grade F, #71 of 254 statewide, top 28%, 1,515 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 124 units permitted in Meade County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Meade County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $126k; list at $200k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.49%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-19,014
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $755
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40175
- Home prices YoY
- -6.3%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,014 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$423
- Net cashflow
- $210
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-24status Active
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-04-12$199,900 Active
-
2025-10-30soldstatus $126,000
-
2018-10-24soldstatus $25,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,998
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,933
- − Management
- −$1,933
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$710
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$170
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,685/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Meade County
- NCES district ID
- 2104050
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,628
- Composite
- 38.17/100
- National rank
- #4265
- State rank
- #21 of 165 in KY
Livability — Fort Knox
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #9091
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,283
Population outlook (Meade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,977 people
- By 2030
- 26,162 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 24,029 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 21,658 · -19.7%
- By 2075
- 16,994 · -37.0%
- By 2100
- 15,586 · -42.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Meade
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.1) · D 23.2% · R 75.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -52.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.1 2020: R+46.4 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+22.8 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.55%
- Current HPI
- 246.3715
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+696.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-14 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-12 Listed $199,900 ImagineMLS
- 2025-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $126,000 Public Records
- 2018-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $25,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $93 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…