6622 Gage St · Gagetown, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity on this 2-bedroom home just north of downtown Gagetown. The house features a spacious kitchen and formal dining room. First floor laundry room and full bath as well. The large living room offers lots of natural light. Upstairs are both bedrooms along with a bonus gaming/sitting area in between. The home sits on a partial basement/crawl. Outside you will find a 12'x10' shed as well. Only a 20-minute commute to Caro or 10 minutes to Cass City!
Key facts
- 12x10 shed
- Formal dining room
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding; Faces not specified
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Stone foundation; Built with vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Paved road frontage; Yard shed(s)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Unfinished crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($800 rent vs $50k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#588 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Owendale-Gagetown Area School District (rural): math 6% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #663 of 760 in MI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 56 units permitted in Tuscola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
- Tuscola County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $38k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.04%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $24,766
- Equity at exit
- $24,190
- IRR
- 30.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.46×
- Total profit
- $62,275
- Equity at exit
- $38,705
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48735
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $976/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$168
- Net cashflow
- $268
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4923 Center St Unit 1 Gagetown, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-26$49,900 Active
Show marketing remark (463 chars)
Great opportunity on this 2-bedroom home just north of downtown Gagetown. The house features a spacious kitchen and formal dining room. First floor laundry room and full bath as well. The large living room offers lots of natural light. Upstairs are both bedrooms along with a bonus gaming/sitting area in between. The home sits on a partial basement/crawl. Outside you will find a 12'x10' shed as well. Only a 20-minute commute to Caro or 10 minutes to Cass City!
-
2026-05-26$49,900 Active 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (463 chars)
Great opportunity on this 2-bedroom home just north of downtown Gagetown. The house features a spacious kitchen and formal dining room. First floor laundry room and full bath as well. The large living room offers lots of natural light. Upstairs are both bedrooms along with a bonus gaming/sitting area in between. The home sits on a partial basement/crawl. Outside you will find a 12'x10' shed as well. Only a 20-minute commute to Caro or 10 minutes to Cass City!
-
2026-04-28historical
-
2026-04-28historical
-
2026-01-11price $50,000
-
2026-01-10price $50,000
-
2025-11-05$65,000 Active
-
2025-11-05$65,000 Active
-
2000-08-01soldstatus $37,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $976 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $976 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$976
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$768
- − Management
- −$768
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $2,592
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$622
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,597/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Owendale-Gagetown Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2627180
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,365
- Composite
- 17.04/100
- National rank
- #14189
- State rank
- #663 of 760 in MI
Livability — Gagetown
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #588
- US rank
- #19221
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gagetown, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 965
Population outlook (Tuscola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 49,930 people
- By 2030
- 47,294 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 41,504 · -16.9%
- By 2050
- 35,560 · -28.8%
- By 2075
- 24,455 · -51.0%
- By 2100
- 16,507 · -66.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Tuscola
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.0) · D 27.9% · R 70.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.8pp · 2024: -43.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.0 2020: R+39.3 2016: R+38.0 2012: R+10.8 2008: R+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.62%
- Current HPI
- 184.7623
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+31.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-11 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-10 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-05 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-05 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $976 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…