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1117 13th St
B Composite 72.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$67,900

1117 13th St · Niagara Falls, NY 14301
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 764 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1900 3,898 sqft lot Est $52k · 31% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newly renovated home. New windows, new bathroom, new carpets and vinyl flooring. High ceilings and light fittings. Some new kitchen cabinets , new counter top and sink. Updated electrical panel. Large solid basement. Detached garage that opens out into the large backyard making for extra parking.

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • Newer flooring
  • Newer windows

Tags

NEWER LOWER KITCHEN CABINETSNEWER WINDOWSUPDATED BATHROOMUPDATED ELECTRIC SERVICEFRESH PAINTNEWER FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 7.7% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($469 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $67,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
14.49%
Cash-on-cash
29.27%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$51,952
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1336 Elmwood Ave 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 804 (+5%) 17mo $50,000 $62 66
636 Elmwood Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 705 (-8%) 1mo $48,000 $68 58
1130 Michigan Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (+5%) 21mo $23,000 $29 51
1102 22nd St 0.52mi 2/1.5 (-1) 720 (-6%) 16mo $87,000 $121 48
507 19th St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (+5%) 12mo $16,900 $21 43
1715 North Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 748 (-2%) 17mo $56,000 $75 41
1610 Walnut Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 840 (+10%) 24mo $30,000 $36 40
1364 North Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 805 (+5%) 14mo $74,900 $93 39
2016 Ferry Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (-6%) 18mo $65,000 $90 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.8%
Equity multiple
4.85×
Total profit
$73,254
Equity at exit
$61,170
10-year hold
IRR
45.8%
Equity multiple
12.00×
Total profit
$209,167
Equity at exit
$131,915

Cash invested: $19,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14301

Home prices YoY
6.2%
Rents YoY
8.8%
Active inventory
164
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,264 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$356
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,808/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$464

Break-even live

Break-even rent $677
Max offer price $67,900
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,975
Closing costs
$2,037
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
754 15th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 990 $1,100 $1.11 23d 1 0.27mi
613 13th St Unit 1 Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 16d 1 0.44mi
769 19th St Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.5 960 $1,400 $1.46 21d 1 0.47mi
616 7th St Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 770 $1,150 $1.49 23d 1 0.59mi
1817 Ontario Ave Unit 1 Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 999 $1,899 $1.90 1d 1 0.71mi
1817 Ontario Ave Unit 2 Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 985 $1,899 $1.93 1d 1 0.71mi
1427 Fort Ave Unit 2 Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1058 $950 $0.90 43d 1 0.73mi
420 18th St Unit Upper Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 816 $1,150 $1.41 43d 1 0.81mi
2473 Pierce Ave Unit 2 Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 3d 1 0.83mi
2463 South Ave Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,100 $1.09 16d 1 0.91mi
434 23rd St Unit Upper Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 816 $1,100 $1.35 14d 1 0.95mi
1780 Falls St Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 43d 1 0.96mi
2814 10th St Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 1d 1 0.98mi
420 25th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1101 $1,500 $1.36 43d 1 1.08mi
2727 Monroe Ave Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 10d 1 1.21mi
3036 Welch Ave Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 1d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-03-18
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-10
    listed $67,900 Active
  3. 2025-12-01
    soldstatus $79,900 Closed 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Newly renovated home. New windows, new bathroom, new carpets and vinyl flooring. High ceilings and light fittings. Some new kitchen cabinets , new counter top and sink. Updated electrical panel. Large solid basement. Detached garage that opens out into the large backyard making for extra parking.

  4. 2025-11-07
    status Pending 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Newly renovated home. New windows, new bathroom, new carpets and vinyl flooring. High ceilings and light fittings. Some new kitchen cabinets , new counter top and sink. Updated electrical panel. Large solid basement. Detached garage that opens out into the large backyard making for extra parking.

  5. 2025-10-10
    price $79,900 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Newly renovated home. New windows, new bathroom, new carpets and vinyl flooring. High ceilings and light fittings. Some new kitchen cabinets , new counter top and sink. Updated electrical panel. Large solid basement. Detached garage that opens out into the large backyard making for extra parking.

  6. 2025-09-15
    listed $85,000 Active 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Newly renovated home. New windows, new bathroom, new carpets and vinyl flooring. High ceilings and light fittings. Some new kitchen cabinets , new counter top and sink. Updated electrical panel. Large solid basement. Detached garage that opens out into the large backyard making for extra parking.

  7. 2004-10-26
    soldstatus $19,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,808 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,808 · $151/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,171
− Mortgage interest
−$3,803
− Property taxes
−$1,808
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,214
− Management
−$1,214
− Depreciation
−$1,975
Taxable income
$4,817
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,156
After-tax cash flow
$4,408/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
10,923
Household income
$34,549
Rent vs Own
54.1% rent · 45.9% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 25% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.41%
Current HPI
266.1457
Rent YoY
▲ 8.79%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+257.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $67,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-12-01 Sold (MLS) $79,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-07 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2025-10-10 Price Changed $79,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-15 Listed $85,000 WNYREIS
  • 2004-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-8.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,808 · -11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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