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148 S 4th St
D+ Composite 48.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.9/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$199,000

148 S 4th St · Plevna, MT 59344
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,405 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1985 Est $188k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4 bed 1 bath home on 5 lots. This property is located on the outskirts of Plevna, MT. It features a farm style house with multiple out buildings/garages. On the main floor of the home is a completely enclosed front porch, living room, dining room, main bedroom, kitchen, laundry room, and bathroom. This part of the home features many gorgeous wood trim accent features. The kitchen has brand new appliances and beautiful cabinets. The bathroom has a walk in shower and plenty of vanity space. The laundry room has a large farm basin sink. Upstairs has 3 bedrooms with lots of closet space. One bedroom has an outside door access to the roof. Outside is a wrap around covered deck with plenty of room for a hot tub and patio furniture if desired. There is 4 garage buildings that all have basic power ran to them. This home sits on landscaped grounds with plenty of space to expand.

Key facts

  • Large back deck
  • Circular driveway
  • Enclosed front porch

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHLARGE BACK DECKCIRCULAR DRIVEWAYPROPERTY BORDERING A CREEK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($730/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (21.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#128 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety D+, crime D, amenities F.
  • Plevna K-12 Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #175 of 339 in MT (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fallon County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $155,696 (21.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.31%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$188,270
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Hauser St 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (+12%) 8mo $210,000 $134 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
3.01×
Total profit
$112,152
Equity at exit
$179,275
10-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
6.87×
Total profit
$327,017
Equity at exit
$386,613

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Montana
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; no rent control; preempted; rural-skewed market.

ZIP-level market 59344

Home prices YoY
9.1%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,557 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $512/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$61

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,480
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $199,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-26
    listed $199,000 Active
  16. 2024-04-05
    soldstatus Closed 882-char remark
    Show marketing remark (882 chars)

    4 bed 1 bath home on 5 lots. This property is located on the outskirts of Plevna, MT. It features a farm style house with multiple out buildings/garages. On the main floor of the home is a completely enclosed front porch, living room, dining room, main bedroom, kitchen, laundry room, and bathroom. This part of the home features many gorgeous wood trim accent features. The kitchen has brand new appliances and beautiful cabinets. The bathroom has a walk in shower and plenty of vanity space. The laundry room has a large farm basin sink. Upstairs has 3 bedrooms with lots of closet space. One bedroom has an outside door access to the roof. Outside is a wrap around covered deck with plenty of room for a hot tub and patio furniture if desired. There is 4 garage buildings that all have basic power ran to them. This home sits on landscaped grounds with plenty of space to expand.

  17. 2024-03-27
    status Pending 882-char remark
    Show marketing remark (882 chars)

    4 bed 1 bath home on 5 lots. This property is located on the outskirts of Plevna, MT. It features a farm style house with multiple out buildings/garages. On the main floor of the home is a completely enclosed front porch, living room, dining room, main bedroom, kitchen, laundry room, and bathroom. This part of the home features many gorgeous wood trim accent features. The kitchen has brand new appliances and beautiful cabinets. The bathroom has a walk in shower and plenty of vanity space. The laundry room has a large farm basin sink. Upstairs has 3 bedrooms with lots of closet space. One bedroom has an outside door access to the roof. Outside is a wrap around covered deck with plenty of room for a hot tub and patio furniture if desired. There is 4 garage buildings that all have basic power ran to them. This home sits on landscaped grounds with plenty of space to expand.

  18. 2024-02-20
    price $189,000 882-char remark
    Show marketing remark (882 chars)

    4 bed 1 bath home on 5 lots. This property is located on the outskirts of Plevna, MT. It features a farm style house with multiple out buildings/garages. On the main floor of the home is a completely enclosed front porch, living room, dining room, main bedroom, kitchen, laundry room, and bathroom. This part of the home features many gorgeous wood trim accent features. The kitchen has brand new appliances and beautiful cabinets. The bathroom has a walk in shower and plenty of vanity space. The laundry room has a large farm basin sink. Upstairs has 3 bedrooms with lots of closet space. One bedroom has an outside door access to the roof. Outside is a wrap around covered deck with plenty of room for a hot tub and patio furniture if desired. There is 4 garage buildings that all have basic power ran to them. This home sits on landscaped grounds with plenty of space to expand.

  19. 2023-10-16
    status Active 882-char remark
    Show marketing remark (882 chars)

    4 bed 1 bath home on 5 lots. This property is located on the outskirts of Plevna, MT. It features a farm style house with multiple out buildings/garages. On the main floor of the home is a completely enclosed front porch, living room, dining room, main bedroom, kitchen, laundry room, and bathroom. This part of the home features many gorgeous wood trim accent features. The kitchen has brand new appliances and beautiful cabinets. The bathroom has a walk in shower and plenty of vanity space. The laundry room has a large farm basin sink. Upstairs has 3 bedrooms with lots of closet space. One bedroom has an outside door access to the roof. Outside is a wrap around covered deck with plenty of room for a hot tub and patio furniture if desired. There is 4 garage buildings that all have basic power ran to them. This home sits on landscaped grounds with plenty of space to expand.

  20. 2023-10-13
    historical 882-char remark
    Show marketing remark (882 chars)

    4 bed 1 bath home on 5 lots. This property is located on the outskirts of Plevna, MT. It features a farm style house with multiple out buildings/garages. On the main floor of the home is a completely enclosed front porch, living room, dining room, main bedroom, kitchen, laundry room, and bathroom. This part of the home features many gorgeous wood trim accent features. The kitchen has brand new appliances and beautiful cabinets. The bathroom has a walk in shower and plenty of vanity space. The laundry room has a large farm basin sink. Upstairs has 3 bedrooms with lots of closet space. One bedroom has an outside door access to the roof. Outside is a wrap around covered deck with plenty of room for a hot tub and patio furniture if desired. There is 4 garage buildings that all have basic power ran to them. This home sits on landscaped grounds with plenty of space to expand.

  21. 2023-10-12
    listed $199,000 Active 882-char remark
    Show marketing remark (882 chars)

    4 bed 1 bath home on 5 lots. This property is located on the outskirts of Plevna, MT. It features a farm style house with multiple out buildings/garages. On the main floor of the home is a completely enclosed front porch, living room, dining room, main bedroom, kitchen, laundry room, and bathroom. This part of the home features many gorgeous wood trim accent features. The kitchen has brand new appliances and beautiful cabinets. The bathroom has a walk in shower and plenty of vanity space. The laundry room has a large farm basin sink. Upstairs has 3 bedrooms with lots of closet space. One bedroom has an outside door access to the roof. Outside is a wrap around covered deck with plenty of room for a hot tub and patio furniture if desired. There is 4 garage buildings that all have basic power ran to them. This home sits on landscaped grounds with plenty of space to expand.

  22. 2002-12-06
    soldstatus
  23. 1995-09-30
    soldstatus
  24. 1995-09-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$512 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,672 · $139/mo
Expected delta
+$1,160/yr (+$97/mo · 226.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,684
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$512
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,495
− Management
−$1,495
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$2,749
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$660
After-tax cash flow
$1,390/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Plevna K-12 Schools
NCES district ID
3021000
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$50,854
Composite
33.04/100
National rank
#10661
State rank
#175 of 339 in MT

Livability — Plevna

Score
65/100
State rank
#128
US rank
#12708

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plevna, MT
Population (ZIP)
471

Population outlook (Fallon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,692 people
By 2030
3,986 · +8.0%
By 2040
4,662 · +26.3%
By 2050
5,439 · +47.3%
By 2075
7,519 · +103.7%
By 2100
8,763 · +137.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 8% Slovak 4% Scotch-Irish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fallon

2024 margin
Solid R (+75.6) · D 10.8% · R 86.5% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
-23.5pp toward R · 2008: -52.1pp · 2024: -75.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+75.6 2020: R+76.4 2016: R+76.1 2012: R+63.4 2008: R+52.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.09%
Current HPI
181.1209
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.41%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $199,000 FSBO.com
  • 2024-04-05 Sold (MLS) BMTMLS
  • 2024-03-27 Pending BMTMLS
  • 2024-02-20 Price Changed $189,000 BMTMLS
  • 2023-10-16 Relisted BMTMLS
  • 2023-10-13 Delisted BMTMLS
  • 2023-10-12 Listed $199,000 BMTMLS
  • 2002-12-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-09-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-09-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $512 · -14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…