10630 Knox Landing Dr · College Station, TX 77845

$258,520

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,595 sqft · SingleFamily · 89 Days on market

Built 2026 Excellent condition 6,795 sqft lot Garage $33/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +6.6/30.0
• Condition / age +5.0/5.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• 1% rule +1.8/10.0
• DSCR +0.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

The Baxtor is a single-story, 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home that features approximately 1,409 square feet of living space. This stunning home has an open entrance leading to the spacious living room and open-concept kitchen and dining room. The kitchen features a large breakfast bar and a pantry. Located off the dining room, our homeowners can enjoy the oversized main bedroom with a large walk-in closet and spa-like bathroom. Additional modern finishes include subway tile backsplash, quartz countertops and stainless-steel appliances.

Key facts

• 6,795 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 2026

🏗️ New construction. The $258,520 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $296,293.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $259k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-554 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (16.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (22.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $202k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.4% in College Station — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in TX, #994 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-.
• Bryan ISD (urban): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #608 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Alton Bowen El (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 343 students, 65% FRL); Arthur L Davila Middle (math 32% / reading 35%, grade F, #911 of 1,662 statewide, top 56%, 1,044 students, 85% FRL); Travis B Bryan H S (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,419 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 72% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 1463 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($243k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $201,695 (22.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.68% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.32%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.05%
• DSCR: 0.69
• GRM: 12.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $296,293
• List price: $258,520
• Delta: -11.06%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
10632 Knox Landing Dr	0.01mi	3/2.0	1,595 (0%)	0mo	$275,920	$173	99
10652 Knox Landing Dr	0.05mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,665 (+4%)	1mo	$288,030	$173	84
10649 Knox Landing Dr	0.06mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,665 (+4%)	1mo	$288,380	$173	84
4410 Albritton Ave	0.17mi	3/2.0	1,508 (-6%)	0mo	$292,900	$194	83
4791 Native Tree Ln	0.29mi	3/2.0	1,548 (-3%)	2mo	$285,000	$184	80
4521 Wisenbaker Way	0.19mi	3/2.0	1,508 (-6%)	4mo	$289,900	$192	79
4527 Wisenbaker Way	0.19mi	3/2.0	1,508 (-6%)	5mo	$289,900	$192	78
10650 Knox Landing Dr	0.04mi	3/2.0	1,415 (-11%)	2mo	$268,895	$190	77
4533 Wisenbaker Way	0.19mi	3/2.0	1,446 (-9%)	3mo	$289,900	$200	73
4525 Wisenbaker Way	0.19mi	3/2.0	1,446 (-9%)	6mo	$274,900	$190	70
10710 Blocker Ct	0.11mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,789 (+12%)	5mo	$294,900	$165	63
4529 Wisenbaker Way	0.19mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,789 (+12%)	3mo	$316,805	$177	61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -30.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.00×
• Total profit: $-82,921
• Equity at exit: $44,178

10-year hold

• IRR: -31.0%
• Equity multiple: -0.40×
• Total profit: $-116,155
• Equity at exit: $25,618

Cash invested: $82,962 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 59 active · 12 under contract
• Months of supply: 29.5 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $293,900 ($188/sqft)
• Median days on market: 100 d
• This list price: 10% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: -1.2% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 77845

• Rents YoY: 3.1%
• Active inventory: 1463
• Price-to-rent: 10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,017 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,554
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$370 /mo · $4,444/yr
• Insurance: −$123
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$33
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$424
• Net cashflow: $-554

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,718

Max offer price $216,174

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-349	-5% $-451	+0% $-554	+5% $-656	+10% $-758
Rent	-10% $-713	-5% $-633	+0% $-554	+5% $-474	+10% $-394
Rate	-1.0pp $-404	-0.5pp $-478	base $-554	+0.5pp $-630	+1.0pp $-709

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $74,073
• Closing costs: $8,889
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1720 Summit Crossing Ln College Station, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	983	$2,205	$2.24	62d	46	1.50mi

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Knox Landing Residential associationAnnual association fee of $400 covering common areas

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces)
• Utilities: Public waterPublic sewer
• Home design: Residential propertyUnder construction (new construction)One-story (all main rooms listed on first floor)
• Construction: Built in 2026Composition roofSlab foundationBuilder: D.R. Horton
• Exterior features: Subdivision lot

Interior

• Kitchen: ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floorTwo additional bedrooms on the first floorTotal of 4 rooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central electric heatingCentral electric cooling
• Interior features: Programmable thermostatENERGY STAR qualified appliances
• Laundry & utility: Programmable thermostat

Listing history 49 events

1. 2026-08-08
   days on market $258,520 Active 89 DOM
2. 2026-08-07
   days on market $258,520 Active 88 DOM
3. 2026-08-06
   days on market $258,520 Active 87 DOM
4. 2026-08-05
   days on market $258,520 Active 86 DOM
5. 2026-08-04
   days on market $258,520 Active 85 DOM
6. 2026-08-03
   days on market $258,520 Active 84 DOM
7. 2026-08-01
   price $258,520 Active 81 DOM
8. 2026-07-31
   days on market $263,520 Active 81 DOM
9. 2026-07-29
   days on market $263,520 Active 79 DOM
10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $263,520 Active 77 DOM
11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $263,520 Active 75 DOM
12. 2026-07-23
    pricestatus $263,520 Active 73 DOM
13. 2026-07-13
    statusdays on market $262,170 Pending 73 DOM
14. 2026-07-12
    days on market $262,170 Active 72 DOM
15. 2026-07-11
    days on market $262,170 Active 71 DOM
16. 2026-07-10
    days on market $262,170 Active 70 DOM
17. 2026-07-10
    pricestatus $262,170 Active 69 DOM
18. 2026-07-07
    status $266,670 Pending 69 DOM
19. 2026-07-06
    days on market $266,670 Active 69 DOM
20. 2026-07-05
    days on market $266,670 Active 68 DOM
21. 2026-07-04
    days on market $266,670 Active 67 DOM
22. 2026-07-03
    days on market $266,670 Active 66 DOM
23. 2026-07-02
    days on market $266,670 Active 65 DOM
24. 2026-07-01
    days on market $266,670 Active 64 DOM
25. 2026-06-30
    days on market $266,670 Active 63 DOM
26. 2026-06-29
    days on market $266,670 Active 62 DOM
27. 2026-06-28
    days on market $266,670 Active 61 DOM
28. 2026-06-28
    days on market $266,670 Active 60 DOM
29. 2026-06-27
    days on market $266,670 Active 59 DOM
30. 2026-06-25
    days on market $266,670 Active 57 DOM
31. 2026-06-23
    days on market $266,670 Active 55 DOM
32. 2026-06-21
    days on market $266,670 Active 54 DOM
33. 2026-06-18
    days on market $266,670 Active 51 DOM
34. 2026-06-17
    days on market $266,670 Active 50 DOM
35. 2026-06-16
    days on market $266,670 Active 49 DOM
36. 2026-06-15
    days on market $266,670 Active 48 DOM
37. 2026-06-14
    days on market $266,670 Active 46 DOM
38. 2026-06-13
    days on market $266,670 Active 45 DOM
39. 2026-06-10
    days on market $266,670 Active 43 DOM
40. 2026-06-09
    days on market $266,670 Active 42 DOM
41. 2026-06-08
    days on market $266,670 Active 41 DOM
42. 2026-06-07
    days on market $266,670 Active 40 DOM
43. 2026-06-03
    days on market $266,670 Active 36 DOM
44. 2026-06-02
    days on market $266,670 Active 35 DOM
45. 2026-06-01
    days on market $266,670 Active 34 DOM
46. 2026-05-31
    days on market $266,670 Active 33 DOM
47. 2026-05-30
    days on market $266,670 Active 32 DOM
48. 2026-04-28
    listed $270,170 Active 536-char remark

    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    The Baxtor is a single-story, 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home that features approximately 1,409 square feet of living space. This stunning home has an open entrance leading to the spacious living room and open-concept kitchen and dining room. The kitchen features a large breakfast bar and a pantry. Located off the dining room, our homeowners can enjoy the oversized main bedroom with a large walk-in closet and spa-like bathroom. Additional modern finishes include subway tile backsplash, quartz countertops and stainless-steel appliances.

49. 2026-04-28
    listed $270,170 Active 536-char remark

    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    The Baxtor is a single-story, 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home that features approximately 1,409 square feet of living space. This stunning home has an open entrance leading to the spacious living room and open-concept kitchen and dining room. The kitchen features a large breakfast bar and a pantry. Located off the dining room, our homeowners can enjoy the oversized main bedroom with a large walk-in closet and spa-like bathroom. Additional modern finishes include subway tile backsplash, quartz countertops and stainless-steel appliances.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,203
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,597
• − Property taxes: −$4,444
• − Insurance: −$2,279
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,936
• − Management: −$1,936
• − HOA: −$396
• − Depreciation: −$8,619
• Taxable loss: −$12,005
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,881
• After-tax cash flow: $-3,763/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This new construction home is move-in ready with modern finishes and excellent condition. Minor updates to interior walls, flooring, backsplash, and countertops would further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Install new flooring in bathrooms — Modern flooring improves aesthetics and functionality ↑
• Both Add backsplash in kitchen — Backsplash adds value and functionality ↑
• Both Install new countertops in kitchen — Quartz countertops are durable and aesthetically pleasing ↑

F Composite school gradezoned avg 31/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Alton Bowen El F TX #2,268/4,322 Nat'l #24,950/41,679 Middle Arthur L Davila Middle F TX #911/1,662 Nat'l #7,937/14,009 High Travis B Bryan H S F TX #1,170/1,632 Nat'l #11,740/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Bryan ISD
• NCES district ID: 4811790
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $41,895
• Composite: 26.26/100
• National rank: #7253
• State rank: #608 of 826 in TX

A Composite livability gradescore 83/100

Livability — College Station

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #11
• US rank: #994

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime A- Employment C- Housing A- Health & safety B User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Brazos County · 267,942 people
• City population: 131,628
• Metro: College Station-Bryan, TX
• Population (ZIP): 76,764
• Household income: $88,851
• Rent vs Own: 37.2% rent · 62.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 13% of renters

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Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 267,942 people
• By 2030: 296,630 · +10.7%
• By 2040: 354,560 · +32.3%
• By 2050: 414,616 · +54.7%
• By 2075: 562,158 · +109.8%
• By 2100: 678,828 · +153.3%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (69%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 69% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% Black 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 12%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 83% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%

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Political lean MEDSL · Brazos

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -133.31%
• Current HPI: 175.9669
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.13%
• Metro: College Station-Bryan, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Knox Landing Residential associationAnnual association fee of $400 covering common areas

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces)
• Utilities: Public waterPublic sewer
• Home design: Residential propertyUnder construction (new construction)One-story (all main rooms listed on first floor)
• Construction: Built in 2026Composition roofSlab foundationBuilder: D.R. Horton
• Exterior features: Subdivision lot

Interior

• Kitchen: ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floorTwo additional bedrooms on the first floorTotal of 4 rooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central electric heatingCentral electric cooling
• Interior features: Programmable thermostatENERGY STAR qualified appliances
• Laundry & utility: Programmable thermostat

Price history

-1.3% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-27 Price Changed $266,670 BCSRMLS
• 2026-05-27 Price Changed $266,670 HARMLS
• 2026-04-28 Listed $270,170 HARMLS
• 2026-04-28 Listed $270,170 BCSRMLS