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89 Satinwood Dr
D Composite 41.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

89 Satinwood Dr · Cheektowaga, NY 14225
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 928 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1965 5,227 sqft lot $237/sqft · 21% below area Est $279k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Relax on the covered front porch of this three bedroom maint-free ranch!! Features: updated oak kitchen with dishwasher; replacement windows; hardwood floors; updated bath with oak vanity; 1.5 car garage; fenced yard overlooks fields and deer; professional landscaping; vinyl siding; original owner and shows fantastic!!!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Country kitchen
  • Huge dry basement

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHCOUNTRY KITCHENHONEY OAK INLAID CABINETSFLOATING SURFACE FLOORINGHUGE DRY BASEMENTFULLY FENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener (1.5 garage spaces)
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Poured foundation; Resale condition; Lot is rectangular and near public transit; city street frontage (lot approx. 50 x 105)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Poured foundation; Existing structure
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Covered and open porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven; Refrigerator; Water purifier (owned)
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms (12 x 11; 11 x 10; 12 x 10)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate (varies)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Bedroom on main level; Full unfinished basement with sump pump
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-309 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (24.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (20.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
  • Cheektowaga-Maryvale Union Free School District (urban): math 67% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #154 of 590 in NY (top 26%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $94k; list at $220k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $165,386 (24.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
4.61%
Cash-on-cash
-6.01%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$278,925
List price
$219,900
Delta
-21.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
208 Poinciana Pkwy 0.26mi 3/1.0 988 (+6%) 1mo $239,900 $243 76
185 Dean Rd 0.38mi 3/1.0 984 (+6%) 0mo $275,000 $279 72
21 Royal Palm Dr 0.07mi 3/1.5 1,040 (+12%) 5mo $186,100 $179 71
8 Satinwood Dr 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+12%) 6mo $214,500 $206 69
313 Hyland Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,001 (+8%) 7mo $255,000 $255 67
244 Hyland Ave 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,064 (+15%) 2mo $145,000 $136 56
124 Diane Dr 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+12%) 6mo $250,000 $240 54
252 Hyland Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,064 (+15%) 7mo $230,000 $216 54
85 Poinciana Pkwy 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,041 (+12%) 2mo $270,000 $259 53
87 Crandon 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,041 (+12%) 7mo $200,000 $192 50
47 Temple Dr 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+12%) 2mo $225,000 $216 48
59 Crandon Blvd 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,062 (+14%) 5mo $260,000 $245 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.5%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-55,152
Equity at exit
$32,788
10-year hold
IRR
-23.5%
Equity multiple
-0.18×
Total profit
$-72,782
Equity at exit
$19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14225

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,758 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$453 /mo · $5,432/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$-309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,149
Max offer price $165,386
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
176 Meadowlawn Rd Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1100 $900 $0.82 44d 1 0.55mi
4925 Genesee St Cheektowaga, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 680 $1,399 $2.06 19d 1 1.16mi
6386 Transit Rd Depew, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1023 $2,397 $2.34 2d 62 1.40mi
1175 George Urban Blvd Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,365 $1.88 44d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 875-char remark
  2. 2026-05-04
    listed $219,900 Active 875-char remark
  3. 2011-03-31
    soldstatus $94,245 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Relax on the covered front porch of this three bedroom maint-free ranch!! Features: updated oak kitchen with dishwasher; replacement windows; hardwood floors; updated bath with oak vanity; 1.5 car garage; fenced yard overlooks fields and deer; professional landscaping; vinyl siding; original owner and shows fantastic!!!

  4. 2011-03-31
    soldstatus $94,245
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Relax on the covered front porch of this three bedroom maint-free ranch!! Features: updated oak kitchen with dishwasher; replacement windows; hardwood floors; updated bath with oak vanity; 1.5 car garage; fenced yard overlooks fields and deer; professional landscaping; vinyl siding; original owner and shows fantastic!!!

  5. 2010-10-09
    listed $94,900 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Relax on the covered front porch of this three bedroom maint-free ranch!! Features: updated oak kitchen with dishwasher; replacement windows; hardwood floors; updated bath with oak vanity; 1.5 car garage; fenced yard overlooks fields and deer; professional landscaping; vinyl siding; original owner and shows fantastic!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,432 · $453/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,432 · $453/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,096
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$5,432
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,688
− Management
−$1,688
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$7,525
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,806
After-tax cash flow
$-1,897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cheektowaga-Maryvale Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3618600
Math proficiency
67% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▲ 23.00%
Median HH income
$46,537
Composite
59.02/100
National rank
#960
State rank
#154 of 590 in NY

Livability — Cheektowaga

Score
84/100
State rank
#54
US rank
#811

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cheektowaga, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
55,470
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
33,620
Household income
$67,237
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
991.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -120.26%
Current HPI
320.6248
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+131.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $219,900 WNYREIS
  • 2011-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $94,245 Public Records
  • 2011-03-31 Sold (MLS) $94,245 WNYREIS
  • 2010-10-09 Listed $94,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,432 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…