303 E South Mountain Ave #49 · Phoenix, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Rent growth +1.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.5
$39,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-maintained 1994 manufactured home offering 1,200 sq ft of comfortable living space. This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a functional open floor plan designed for everyday living. The spacious primary suite includes a private bathroom, while the additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. The kitchen offers ample cabinet and counter space and opens to the dining and living areas. Outside, enjoy covered parking with space for up to 3 vehicles. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major freeways. An excellent opportunity for affordable homeownership. Buyer to verify all facts, figures, and measurements.
Key facts
- 5 parking spots
- Built 1994
- Listed 85 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $872 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 32.5% vs local median 3.2% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
- Roosevelt Elementary District (4279) (urban): math 8% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #234 of 249 in AZ (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Bernard Black Elementary School (math 9% / reading 18%, grade F, #923 of 1,109 statewide, top 84%, 617 students, 80% FRL); South Mountain High School (math 7% / reading 15%, grade F, #292 of 381 statewide, top 77%, 2,146 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 36% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.0%/yr); 356 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 93.47%
- DSCR
- 5.16
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $90,000
- List price
- $39,990
- Delta
- -55.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 432 E Euclid Ave | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+3%) | 2mo | $212,000 | $172 | 86 |
| 125 E South Mountain Ave | 0.02mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,301 (+8%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $154 | 76 |
| 8311 S 9th Pl | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (+0%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $303 | 73 |
| 1641 E Alicia Dr | 1.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,226 (+2%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $314 | 59 |
| 515 W LA Mirada Dr | 0.92mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,268 (+6%) | 2mo | $384,900 | $304 | 49 |
| 6612 S 5th Ave | 1.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,116 (-7%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $278 | 48 |
| 508 W Latona Rd | 0.76mi | 3/2.0 | 1,358 (+13%) | 2mo | $406,000 | $299 | 41 |
| 101 E Monte Way | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,412 (+18%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $234 | 38 |
| 8628 S 14th Pl | 0.98mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,369 (+14%) | 1mo | $412,500 | $301 | 36 |
| 8420 S 17th Way | 1.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,408 (+17%) | 1mo | $277,000 | $197 | 34 |
| 6929 S 11th Dr | 1.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,499 (+25%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $257 | 33 |
| 803 W Lydia Ln | 1.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 964 (-20%) | 2mo | $210,500 | $218 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 90.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.00×
- Total profit
- $44,830
- Equity at exit
- $5,963
- IRR
- 93.2%
- Equity multiple
- 9.41×
- Total profit
- $94,189
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 4 active · 3 under contract
- Median asking
- $90,000 ($67/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 28 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +11.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 85042
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- -4.0%
- Active inventory
- 356
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,454 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $600/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $872
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $900 | -5% $886 | +0% $872 | +5% $858 | +10% $845 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $757 | -5% $815 | +0% $872 | +5% $930 | +10% $987 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $892 | -0.5pp $882 | base $872 | +0.5pp $862 | +1.0pp $851 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,998
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 E Valley View Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,200 | $0.87 | 89d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 8350 S Central Ave Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1167 | $2,095 | $1.79 | 0d | 4 | 0.29mi |
| 9004 S 4th St Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $2,050 | $1.54 | 0d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 114 E Beth Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $2,075 | $1.56 | 2d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 825 E Euclid Ave Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1278 | $2,370 | $1.85 | 0d | 35 | 0.35mi |
| 8849 S 7th St Unit 213 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 895 | $1,699 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 8849 S 7th St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 738 | $1,699 | $2.30 | 6d | 4 | 0.36mi |
| 8849 S 7th St Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 738 | $1,699 | $2.30 | 0d | 7 | 0.36mi |
| 8028 S Central Ave Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 602 | $1,300 | $2.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 11 E Dobbins Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $2,045 | $1.51 | 0d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 813 E Siesta Dr Apt D Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 717 | $1,395 | $1.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 105 W Latona Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1499 | $2,088 | $1.39 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 9204 S 7th St Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,549 | $1.29 | 0d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 136 W Latona Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1499 | $2,350 | $1.57 | 56d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 141 W Latona Rd Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1456 | $2,088 | $1.43 | 28d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 910 E Beth Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $1,795 | $1.29 | 56d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 120 W Dobbins Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,187 | $1.36 | 0d | 5 | 0.51mi |
| 207 W Latona Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,960 | $1.49 | 59d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 37 E Paseo Way Unit 30 Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $2,045 | $1.51 | 69d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 8123 S 2nd Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,245 | $0.96 | 28d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 8121 S 2nd Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 28d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 8122 S 2nd Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,845 | $1.42 | 0d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 8122 S 2nd Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 8127 S 5th Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1351 | $1,865 | $1.38 | 40d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 9700 S Central Ave Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1348 | $2,296 | $1.70 | 0d | 6 | 0.75mi |
| 505 W Latona Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $1,525 | $1.22 | 70d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 506 W Latona Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $1,895 | $1.51 | 54d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 300 E Jessie Owens Pkwy Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 916 | $1,666 | $1.82 | 0d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 504 W Beautiful Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1313 | $1,939 | $1.48 | 49d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 504 W Beautiful Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1313 | $1,949 | $1.48 | 79d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 8017 S 6th Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,099 | $1.55 | 17d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8017 S 6th Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1361 | $2,099 | $1.54 | 0d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 606 W Beautiful Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,150 | $1.55 | 72d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 9239 S 8th Ave Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 98d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 7007 S 8th St Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,395 | $1.43 | 0d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 501 W Fremont Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,648 | $1.66 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6810 S Central Ave Unit 3 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $3,500 | $2.94 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 8402 S 15th Way Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $2,070 | $1.61 | 93d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7527 S 13th Pl Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $2,100 | $1.43 | 17d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 38 E Vineyard Rd Unit A Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,345 | $1.17 | 0d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Land lease community with monthly land lease of $780Association covers grounds maintenance
Exterior
- Parking
- 3 open parking spaces2 covered spaces2-car carport
- Utilities
- City waterPublic sewer220 volts available in kitchen
- Home design
- Manufactured/mobile homeFee simple ownership
- Construction
- Fiberglass sidingSteel frame constructionRolled/hot mop roofBuilding area per assessor
- Exterior features
- Gravel/stone front
Interior
- Kitchen
- 220-volt outlet in kitchen
- Bedrooms
- 3 possible bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central airNo heating
- Interior features
- Breakfast barFull bath in primary bedroom
- Laundry & utility
- Indoor laundry
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $39,990 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $39,990 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $39,990 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $39,990 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $39,990 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $39,990 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $39,990 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $39,990 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $39,990 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $39,990 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $39,990 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $39,990 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $39,990 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $39,990 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-09-04pricedays on market $39,990 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $45,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $45,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $45,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $45,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $45,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $45,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-08-25price $45,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $63,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $63,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $63,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $63,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $63,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $63,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $63,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $63,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $63,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $63,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $63,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $63,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $63,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $63,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $63,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $63,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $63,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $63,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $63,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $63,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $63,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $63,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $63,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $63,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $63,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $63,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $63,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $63,900 Active 25 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,446
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,240
- − Property taxes
- −$600
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,396
- − Management
- −$1,396
- − Depreciation
- −$1,163
- Taxable income
- $10,451
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,508
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,958/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
The home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including painting and minor repairs, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Painting — Interior walls and exterior siding need touch-up paint.
- Minor Roof inspection — Aging roof may need minor repairs or replacement.
- Minor Window cleaning — Windows appear dusty and could use cleaning.
- Minor HVAC maintenance — No visible issues, but may need cleaning or minor repairs.
- Minor Landscaping — Minimal landscaping could be improved with some updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and minor repairs — Improves both resale and rental value by enhancing the home's appearance. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures the home is comfortable and energy-efficient, which is attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roosevelt Elementary District (4279)
- NCES district ID
- 0407080
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,813
- Composite
- 9.74/100
- National rank
- #9829
- State rank
- #234 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Phoenix
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #3924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phoenix, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,979,203 people
- City population
- 1,500,198
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,903
- Household income
- $88,717
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9% of renters
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 29% White 25% Black 14% Asian 4% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 45%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.03%
- Current HPI
- 318.0601
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.00%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-14.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-29 Listed $63,900 ARMLS
- 2026-06-23 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2026-06-15 Listed $75,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…