1623 Superior Shrs Unit 73B · Silver Creek, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$78,888
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Interval ownership of a two-bedroom, two bath lakehome at Superior Shores Resort. This single level unit features terra-cotta tile and pine paneling throughout. Amenities in this unit include a wood-burning fireplace, two person whirlpool, sauna, owner, storage lockers, deck and one of the best views on the property. The primary bedroom overlooks the lake and the private bath also includes a walk-in shower. Housekeeping, laundry and maintenance services provided. All exterior maintenance services provided by property manager. Enjoy six plus weeks each year on the North Shore without the hassle of mowing, shoveling, painting, cleaning, etc. This property situated on 46 wooded acres with over a half-mile of shoreline can be yours. Resort amenities include hiking trails, tennis courts and seasonal outdoor pool and spa. Shared expenses are approximately$175/month and include association dues, utilities, cable, phone, Internet, insurance, amenity supplies and management.
Key facts
- Sauna
- Deck
- Two person whirlpool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $79k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $72k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 2.1% in Silver Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#582 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Lake Superior Public School District (rural): math 34% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #191 of 301 in MN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $545 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.79%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $62,087
- List price
- $78,888
- Delta
- 27.06%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $10,483
- Equity at exit
- $11,762
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $39,286
- Equity at exit
- $6,821
Cash invested: $22,089 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55616
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,259 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,183/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$85
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $364
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,722
- Closing costs
- $2,367
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $85 · $1,020/yr
- Likely covers
- internetcableexterior maint.pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $78,888 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,888 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $78,888 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $78,888 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $78,888 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,888 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $78,888 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,888 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $78,888 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,888 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $78,888 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $78,888 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $78,888 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $78,888 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-03-06$78,888 Active 980-char remark
Show marketing remark (980 chars)
Interval ownership of a two-bedroom, two bath lakehome at Superior Shores Resort. This single level unit features terra-cotta tile and pine paneling throughout. Amenities in this unit include a wood-burning fireplace, two person whirlpool, sauna, owner, storage lockers, deck and one of the best views on the property. The primary bedroom overlooks the lake and the private bath also includes a walk-in shower. Housekeeping, laundry and maintenance services provided. All exterior maintenance services provided by property manager. Enjoy six plus weeks each year on the North Shore without the hassle of mowing, shoveling, painting, cleaning, etc. This property situated on 46 wooded acres with over a half-mile of shoreline can be yours. Resort amenities include hiking trails, tennis courts and seasonal outdoor pool and spa. Shared expenses are approximately$175/month and include association dues, utilities, cable, phone, Internet, insurance, amenity supplies and management.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,104
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,419
- − Property taxes
- −$1,183
- − Insurance
- −$394
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,208
- − Management
- −$1,208
- − HOA
- −$1,020
- − Depreciation
- −$2,295
- Taxable income
- $3,376
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$810
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,560/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This two-bedroom, two-bath lakefront condo is in good condition with a good roof and exterior. It has a good foundation and structure, and the interior walls and paint are in good condition. The kitchen and bathrooms are good, and the flooring is terra-cotta tile. The home has a good foundation and structure, and the interior walls and paint are in good condition. The home is in good condition and ready for a new owner.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Resale Updating the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and improves functionality
- Resale Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Enhances the bathroom's appearance and functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Resale Updating the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and improves functionality ↑
- Resale Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Enhances the bathroom's appearance and functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake Superior Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2740740
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,958
- Composite
- 37.51/100
- National rank
- #4399
- State rank
- #191 of 301 in MN
Livability — Silver Creek
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #582
- US rank
- #13955
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,277
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,943 people
- By 2030
- 9,437 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 8,326 · -16.3%
- By 2050
- 7,365 · -25.9%
- By 2075
- 6,008 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 5,038 · -49.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 18% Scottish 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.1% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.1pp · 2024: 3.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.9 2020: D+3.5 2016: D+2.2 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+22.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.94%
- Current HPI
- 182.619
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Listed $78,888 LSAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…