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B+ Composite 78.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$185,000

414 414 Stevens St St #1 · Camden, NJ 08103
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,900 sqft · SingleFamily · 15 Days on market
Built 1900 2,000 ac lot Est $304k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Camden Waterfront Area / Downtown

Key facts

  • 2000 acre lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 15 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached structure; Flat roof
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Estimated year built
  • Exterior features: No tidal water nearby; Above-grade other structures

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 7.1% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#262 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Camden City School District (urban): math 3% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #472 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,888/mo this rent would consume 94% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1141% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,225 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
12.80%
Cash-on-cash
23.23%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$304,000
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
604 S 5th St 0.29mi 4/1.0 1,868 (-2%) 8mo $75,200 $40 77
507 S 6th St 0.32mi 4/3.0 1,850 (-3%) 18mo $330,000 $178 58
294 Mount Vernon St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,823 (-4%) 10mo $109,000 $60 50
557 Berkley St 0.26mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,680 (-12%) 20mo $269,000 $160 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$38,957
Equity at exit
$32,922
10-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
3.33×
Total profit
$120,740
Equity at exit
$25,316

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08103

Home prices YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,888 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax est. 1.5%
$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$606
Net cashflow
$1,003

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,618
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
609 Henry St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,600 $1.24 24d 1 0.31mi
1 Market St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0–2.0 1190 $2,456 $2.06 1d 15 0.43mi
1 Dock St Philadelphia, PA 3.0 1.0–3.5 1164 $10,341 $8.88 1d 18 1.11mi
1455 Wildwood Ave Camden, NJ 3.0 1.5 1353 $1,900 $1.40 10d 1 1.23mi
501 N Christopher Columbus Blvd Philadelphia, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1062 $5,148 $4.85 1d 100 1.34mi
503 N Christopher Columbus Blvd Unit 1503 Philadelphia, PA 3.0 2.5 1450 $3,825 $2.64 5d 1 1.42mi
209 Vine St Philadelphia, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 991 $4,325 $4.36 1d 4 1.43mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    remarks 33-char remark
  11. 2026-06-04
    listed $185,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,654
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,775
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,772
− Management
−$2,772
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$9,664
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,319
After-tax cash flow
$9,715/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Camden City School District
NCES district ID
3402640
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$25,845
Composite
6.85/100
National rank
#9981
State rank
#472 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Camden

Score
70/100
State rank
#262
US rank
#7721

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Camden, NJ
County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
20,865
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
12,573
Household income
$36,793
Rent vs Own
65.2% rent · 34.8% own
Severe rent burden
1141.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 9% White 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 19% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.36%
Current HPI
162.557
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+105.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-01-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-07-23 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…