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Linden Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 39.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0

$305,990

Linden Plan · Beasley, TX 77417
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,125 sqft · SingleFamily · 394 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Linden is a spacious and versatile 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom home designed for modern living. The open-concept downstairs layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining and living areas, creating the perfect space for gathering and entertaining. The large owner's retreat features a walk-in closet and the option for a luxury bath with a garden tub and oversized shower. Upstairs, a generous gameroom provides extra space for fun and relaxation, while the fourth bedroom can easily serve as a home office. Step outside and enjoy the outdoors with two covered patio options. The Linden offers the perfect combination of space, style and flexibility.

Key facts

  • Luxury bath
  • Walk-in closet
  • Oversized shower

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTWALK-IN CLOSETLUXURY BATHGARDEN TUBOVERSIZED SHOWERGAMEROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $305,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $318,303.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $306k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-341 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (12.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (23.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,273 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Beasley El (math 42% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 366 students, 86% FRL); George J H (math 27% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,156 of 1,662 statewide, top 71%, 1,173 students, 81% FRL); B F Terry H S (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #888 of 1,632 statewide, top 55%, 1,739 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 43% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lamar CISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 232 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
  • Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 394 days — a 12% lower offer ($269k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $235,310 (23.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 394 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.01%
Cash-on-cash
-4.59%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$318,303
List price
$305,990
Delta
-3.87%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
430 Tejas Village Pkwy 0.20mi 4/3.0 2,125 (0%) 4mo $343,003 $161 87
422 Tejas Village Pkwy 0.18mi 4/2.5 2,049 (-4%) 2mo $304,503 $149 82
518 Tejas Village Pkwy 0.25mi 4/3.0 2,084 (-2%) 7mo $346,229 $166 80
506 Tejas Village Pkwy 0.22mi 4/3.0 2,084 (-2%) 9mo $340,858 $164 79
426 Tejas Village Pkwy 0.19mi 4/3.0 2,084 (-2%) 14mo $338,064 $162 76
723 Tejas Village Pkwy 0.39mi 4/3.0 2,084 (-2%) 8mo $315,773 $152 72
823 Tejas Village Pkwy 0.45mi 4/2.5 2,049 (-4%) 1mo $324,916 $159 70
8011 Alamo Ct 0.27mi 4/2.5 2,049 (-4%) 15mo $318,266 $155 67
502 Tejas Village Pkwy 0.21mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,416 (+14%) 4mo $358,172 $148 57
8002 Jim Bowie Ct 0.22mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,416 (+14%) 5mo $345,140 $143 56
418 Tejas Village Pkwy 0.18mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,416 (+14%) 12mo $358,047 $148 52
514 Tejas Village Pkwy 0.24mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,416 (+14%) 9mo $350,000 $145 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$36,529
Equity at exit
$164,244
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$137,229
Equity at exit
$270,941

Cash invested: $89,125 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77417

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
232
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,353 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,669
Tax est. 1.5%
$398 /mo · $4,775/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$494
Net cashflow
$-341

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,784
Max offer price $268,993
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-121 -5% $-231 +0% $-341 +5% $-451 +10% $-561
Rent -10% $-527 -5% $-434 +0% $-341 +5% $-248 +10% $-155
Rate -1.0pp $-180 -0.5pp $-260 base $-341 +0.5pp $-423 +1.0pp $-507

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,576
Closing costs
$9,549
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
119 S 8th St Beasley, TX 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,680 $1.00 26d 1 0.21mi
402 N 4th St Beasley, TX 3.0 2.5 1700 $3,750 $2.21 0d 1 0.43mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $305,990 Active 394 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $305,990 Active 391 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $305,990 Active 390 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $305,990 Active 389 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $305,990 Active 388 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $305,990 Active 386 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $305,990 Active 382 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $305,990 Active 381 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $305,990 Active 380 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $305,990 Active 377 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $305,990 Active 376 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $305,990 Active 375 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $305,990 Active 374 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $305,990 Active 373 DOM
  15. 2026-04-02
    price $305,990 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    The Linden is a spacious and versatile 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom home designed for modern living. The open-concept downstairs layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining and living areas, creating the perfect space for gathering and entertaining. The large owner's retreat features a walk-in closet and the option for a luxury bath with a garden tub and oversized shower. Upstairs, a generous gameroom provides extra space for fun and relaxation, while the fourth bedroom can easily serve as a home office. Step outside and enjoy the outdoors with two covered patio options. The Linden offers the perfect combination of space, style and flexibility.

  16. 2026-01-06
    price $304,990 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    The Linden is a spacious and versatile 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom home designed for modern living. The open-concept downstairs layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining and living areas, creating the perfect space for gathering and entertaining. The large owner's retreat features a walk-in closet and the option for a luxury bath with a garden tub and oversized shower. Upstairs, a generous gameroom provides extra space for fun and relaxation, while the fourth bedroom can easily serve as a home office. Step outside and enjoy the outdoors with two covered patio options. The Linden offers the perfect combination of space, style and flexibility.

  17. 2025-12-09
    price $301,990 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    The Linden is a spacious and versatile 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom home designed for modern living. The open-concept downstairs layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining and living areas, creating the perfect space for gathering and entertaining. The large owner's retreat features a walk-in closet and the option for a luxury bath with a garden tub and oversized shower. Upstairs, a generous gameroom provides extra space for fun and relaxation, while the fourth bedroom can easily serve as a home office. Step outside and enjoy the outdoors with two covered patio options. The Linden offers the perfect combination of space, style and flexibility.

  18. 2025-10-19
    price $299,990 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    The Linden is a spacious and versatile 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom home designed for modern living. The open-concept downstairs layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining and living areas, creating the perfect space for gathering and entertaining. The large owner's retreat features a walk-in closet and the option for a luxury bath with a garden tub and oversized shower. Upstairs, a generous gameroom provides extra space for fun and relaxation, while the fourth bedroom can easily serve as a home office. Step outside and enjoy the outdoors with two covered patio options. The Linden offers the perfect combination of space, style and flexibility.

  19. 2025-10-17
    status Active 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    The Linden is a spacious and versatile 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom home designed for modern living. The open-concept downstairs layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining and living areas, creating the perfect space for gathering and entertaining. The large owner's retreat features a walk-in closet and the option for a luxury bath with a garden tub and oversized shower. Upstairs, a generous gameroom provides extra space for fun and relaxation, while the fourth bedroom can easily serve as a home office. Step outside and enjoy the outdoors with two covered patio options. The Linden offers the perfect combination of space, style and flexibility.

  20. 2025-10-05
    historical 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    The Linden is a spacious and versatile 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom home designed for modern living. The open-concept downstairs layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining and living areas, creating the perfect space for gathering and entertaining. The large owner's retreat features a walk-in closet and the option for a luxury bath with a garden tub and oversized shower. Upstairs, a generous gameroom provides extra space for fun and relaxation, while the fourth bedroom can easily serve as a home office. Step outside and enjoy the outdoors with two covered patio options. The Linden offers the perfect combination of space, style and flexibility.

  21. 2025-10-04
    price $338,003 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    The Linden is a spacious and versatile 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom home designed for modern living. The open-concept downstairs layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining and living areas, creating the perfect space for gathering and entertaining. The large owner's retreat features a walk-in closet and the option for a luxury bath with a garden tub and oversized shower. Upstairs, a generous gameroom provides extra space for fun and relaxation, while the fourth bedroom can easily serve as a home office. Step outside and enjoy the outdoors with two covered patio options. The Linden offers the perfect combination of space, style and flexibility.

  22. 2025-09-20
    status Active 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    The Linden is a spacious and versatile 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom home designed for modern living. The open-concept downstairs layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining and living areas, creating the perfect space for gathering and entertaining. The large owner's retreat features a walk-in closet and the option for a luxury bath with a garden tub and oversized shower. Upstairs, a generous gameroom provides extra space for fun and relaxation, while the fourth bedroom can easily serve as a home office. Step outside and enjoy the outdoors with two covered patio options. The Linden offers the perfect combination of space, style and flexibility.

  23. 2025-09-18
    historical 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    The Linden is a spacious and versatile 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom home designed for modern living. The open-concept downstairs layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining and living areas, creating the perfect space for gathering and entertaining. The large owner's retreat features a walk-in closet and the option for a luxury bath with a garden tub and oversized shower. Upstairs, a generous gameroom provides extra space for fun and relaxation, while the fourth bedroom can easily serve as a home office. Step outside and enjoy the outdoors with two covered patio options. The Linden offers the perfect combination of space, style and flexibility.

  24. 2025-05-09
    listed $299,990 Active 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    The Linden is a spacious and versatile 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom home designed for modern living. The open-concept downstairs layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining and living areas, creating the perfect space for gathering and entertaining. The large owner's retreat features a walk-in closet and the option for a luxury bath with a garden tub and oversized shower. Upstairs, a generous gameroom provides extra space for fun and relaxation, while the fourth bedroom can easily serve as a home office. Step outside and enjoy the outdoors with two covered patio options. The Linden offers the perfect combination of space, style and flexibility.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,237
− Mortgage interest
−$17,830
− Property taxes
−$4,775
− Insurance
−$1,592
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,259
− Management
−$2,259
− Depreciation
−$9,260
Taxable loss
−$9,736
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,337
After-tax cash flow
$-1,753/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lamar CISD
NCES district ID
4826580
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$75,213
Composite
46.43/100
National rank
#2452
State rank
#116 of 826 in TX

Livability — Beasley

Score
57/100
State rank
#1273
US rank
#22130

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing F Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beasley, TX
Population (ZIP)
3,232

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,004,526 people
By 2030
1,153,104 · +14.8%
By 2040
1,453,718 · +44.7%
By 2050
1,753,781 · +74.6%
By 2075
2,455,772 · +144.5%
By 2100
2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 49% White 22% Black 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 24%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.15%
Current HPI
337.8236
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $305,990 Zillow
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $304,990 Zillow
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $301,990 Zillow
  • 2025-10-19 Price Changed $299,990 Zillow
  • 2025-10-17 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-10-05 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-10-04 Price Changed $338,003 Zillow
  • 2025-09-20 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-09-18 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-05-09 Listed $299,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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